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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

March 2021 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.0 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.5 percent in February and 1.3 percent in January. (See table…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.0 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.5 percent in February and 1.3 percent in January. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved up 4.2 percent for the 12 months ended in March, the largest advance since rising 4.5 percent for the 12 months ended September 2011.

In March, almost 60 percent of the increase in the index for final demand can be traced to a 1.7- percent advance in prices for final demand goods. The index for final demand services moved up 0.7 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.6 percent in March following an increase of 0.2 percent in February. For the 12 months ended in March, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 3.1 percent, the largest advance since climbing 3.1 percent for the 12 months ended September 2018.

Final Demand

Final demand goods: Prices for final demand goods rose 1.7 percent in March, the largest increase since the index began in December 2009. Sixty percent of the broad-based advance in March is attributable to prices for final demand energy, which jumped 5.9 percent. The indexes for final demand goods less foods and energy and for final demand foods moved up 0.9 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Over one-fourth of the March increase in the index for final demand goods can be traced to an 8.8-percent jump in gasoline prices. The indexes for diesel fuel, residential electric power, industrial chemicals, steel mill products, and processed poultry also moved higher. In contrast, beef and veal prices fell 4.3 percent. The indexes for fresh and dry vegetables and for surgical and medical instruments also declined. (See table 4.)

Final demand services: The index for final demand services rose 0.7 percent in March, the third consecutive advance. Nearly half of the broad-based increase in March is attributable to margins for final demand trade services, which moved up 1.0 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing and for final demand transportation and warehousing services advanced 0.4 percent and 1.5 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Over 40 percent of the March increase in prices for final demand services can be traced to margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling, which jumped 6.7 percent. The indexes for apparel, jewelry, footwear, and accessories retailing; transportation of freight and mail; portfolio management; loan services (partial); and food retailing also moved higher. Conversely, margins for health, beauty, and optical goods retailing decreased 4.2 percent. The indexes for automobiles and automobile parts retailing and for traveler accommodation services also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in March, prices for processed goods increased 4.0 percent, the index for unprocessed goods rose 9.3 percent, and prices for services moved up 0.4 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved up 4.0 percent in March, the largest increase since a 4.5-percent jump in August 1974. Nearly 60 percent of the broad-based rise in March can be traced to a 3.2-percent advance in prices for processed materials less foods and energy. The indexes for processed energy goods and for processed foods and feeds moved up 8.8 percent and 0.9 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in March, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand rose 12.5 percent, the largest increase since jumping 15.3 percent for the 12 months ended September 2008.

Product Detail: Nearly one-fifth of the March increase in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand is attributable to a 13.5-percent jump in prices for iron and steel. The indexes for diesel fuel, industrial chemicals, industrial electric power, plastic resins and materials, and commercial electric power also moved higher. In contrast, prices for beef and veal dropped 4.3 percent. The indexes for secondary precious metals and for liquefied petroleum gas also declined. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: Prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand moved up 9.3 percent in March, the largest rise since a 12.3-percent increase in November 2006. Over 80 percent of the broad-based March advance can be traced to a 22.3-percent jump in the index for unprocessed energy materials. Prices for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy and for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs rose 3.2 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in March, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand advanced 41.6 percent, the largest increase since jumping 49.0 percent for the 12 months ended July 2008.

Product Detail: Over four-fifths of the March increase in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand can be traced to a 46.6-percent rise in prices for natural gas. The indexes for crude petroleum; slaughter hogs; carbon steel scrap; ungraded chicken eggs; and hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds also advanced. Conversely, prices for slaughter cows and bulls decreased 9.0 percent. The indexes for strawberries and for raw cotton also fell.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand moved up 0.4 percent in March, the fourth consecutive increase. Over half of the broad-based March rise can be traced to a 0.3-percent advance in prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand. The indexes for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand and for trade services for intermediate demand increased 0.9 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in March, prices for services for intermediate demand climbed 4.0 percent, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Product Detail: Over one-third of the March increase in the index for services for intermediate demand can be traced to a 4.2-percent rise in prices for loan services (partial). The indexes for transportation of freight and mail; paper and plastics products wholesaling; investment banking; portfolio management; and building materials, paint, and hardware wholesaling also advanced. In contrast, margins for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling decreased 1.3 percent. Prices for temporary help services and for broadcast and network television advertising time sales also fell.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: The index for stage 4 intermediate demand rose 1.2 percent in March, the eleventh consecutive increase. In March, prices for total goods inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand advanced 2.0 percent, and the index for total services inputs moved up 0.4 percent. (See table D.) Increases in prices for iron and steel, industrial electric power, fabricated structural metal products, industrial chemicals, diesel fuel, and portfolio management outweighed declines in the indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, strawberries, and temporary help services. (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in March, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand climbed 6.6 percent, the largest increase since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 3 intermediate demand advanced 2.8 percent in March, the largest increase since the index began in December 2009. In March, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand rose 5.2 percent, and the index for total services inputs moved up 0.6 percent. Advances in prices for iron and steel, diesel fuel, plastic resins and materials, industrial chemicals, slaughter hogs, and transportation of freight and mail outweighed decreases in the indexes for slaughter cows and bulls, raw milk, and temporary help services. For the 12 months ended in March, prices for stage 3 intermediate demand jumped 9.4 percent, the largest rise since 12- month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 2 intermediate demand rose 4.5 percent in March, the largest increase since the index began in December 2009. In March, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand jumped 10.0 percent, and the index for total services inputs moved up 0.2 percent. Advances in the indexes for natural gas, crude petroleum, industrial chemicals, iron and steel, loan services (partial), and transportation of freight and mail outweighed declines in prices for temporary help services, broadcast and network television advertising time sales, and secondary precious metals. For the 12 months ended in March, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand jumped 16.7 percent, the largest increase since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand climbed 2.5 percent in March, the largest increase since the index began in December 2009. In March, the index for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand rose 4.5 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved up 0.5 percent. Advances in the indexes for diesel fuel, steel mill products, industrial chemicals, industrial electric power, carbon steel scrap, and investment banking outweighed decreases in the indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, internet advertising (sold by non-print publishers), and corn. For the 12 months ended in March, prices for stage 1 intermediate demand increased 11.2 percent, the largest 12-month advance since an 11.2- percent rise in August 2011.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Apr 9, 2021.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 10, 2021Publication referenceApr 9, 202130 days laterMay 9, 2021
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.02%Observed 3.13%Observed +11 bps vs. earlier reference2.96%Observed −17 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.53%Observed 1.67%Observed +14 bps vs. earlier reference1.60%Observed −7 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 9, 2021 – Jul 9, 2021
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 9, 2021Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.25%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 2.79% · Jan 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Jan 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Jan 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Feb 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Feb 11, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.81% · Feb 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.97% · Feb 25, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.02% · Mar 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Mar 11, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Mar 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.17% · Mar 25, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.18% · Apr 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.13% · Apr 8, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.04% · Apr 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.97% · Apr 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Apr 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · May 6, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.94% · May 13, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.00% · May 20, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.95% · May 27, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Jun 3, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · Jun 10, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.93% · Jun 17, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.02% · Jun 24, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Jul 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.90% · Jul 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Jan 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.04% · Jan 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.07% · Jan 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.09% · Feb 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Feb 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Feb 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Feb 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.18% · Feb 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.16% · Feb 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.20% · Feb 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Feb 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Feb 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Feb 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Feb 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Feb 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Feb 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Feb 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Feb 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Feb 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Mar 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Mar 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Mar 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Mar 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Mar 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Mar 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Mar 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Mar 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Mar 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Mar 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.71% · Mar 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Mar 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Mar 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Apr 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Apr 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Apr 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · Apr 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · May 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · May 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · May 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · May 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · May 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · May 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jun 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Jun 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jun 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jun 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Jun 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jun 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jun 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jun 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jun 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Jun 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Jul 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Jul 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 9, 2021Jan 9, 2021Apr 9, 2021Jul 9, 2021
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,285.94/month

3.13% · Apr 8, 2021

At the later reference$1,258.35/month

2.96% · May 6, 2021

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $27.59 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →