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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2021 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 1.3 percent in January and 0.3 percent in December.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 1.3 percent in January and 0.3 percent in December. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved up 2.8 percent for the 12 months ended in February, the largest increase since rising 3.1 percent for the 12 months ended October 2018.

Most of the February advance in prices for final demand can be traced to a 1.4-percent rise in the index for final demand goods. Prices for final demand services increased 0.1 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 0.2 percent in February, the tenth consecutive advance. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 2.2 percent, the largest increase since a 2.4-percent advance for the 12 months ended May 2019.

Final Demand

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods rose 1.4 percent in February, the same as in January. Over two-thirds of the broad-based February increase can be traced to prices for final demand energy, which climbed 6.0 percent. The indexes for final demand goods less foods and energy and for final demand foods advanced 0.3 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Forty percent of the February increase in the index for final demand goods is attributable to gasoline prices, which jumped 13.1 percent. The indexes for diesel fuel, beef and veal, basic organic chemicals, residential electric power, and chicken eggs also moved higher. Conversely, prices for fresh and dry vegetables fell 16.7 percent. The indexes for iron and steel scrap and for distilled and bottled liquor (except brandy) also declined. (See table 4.)

Final demand services: The index for final demand services inched up 0.1 percent in February after increasing 1.3 percent in January. Two-thirds of the February advance in prices for final demand services can be traced to a 1.1-percent rise in the index for final demand transportation and warehousing services. Margins for final demand trade services edged up 0.1 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) The index for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing was unchanged.

Product detail: A 3.6-percent increase in the index for transportation of passengers (partial) was a major factor in the February advance in prices for final demand services. The indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, and investment advice; machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; health, beauty, and optical goods retailing; and hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing also moved higher. In contrast, margins for apparel, jewelry, footwear, and accessories retailing decreased 6.5 percent. The indexes for traveler accommodation services, machinery and vehicle wholesaling, and portfolio management also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in February, prices for processed goods increased 2.7 percent, the index for unprocessed goods rose 4.3 percent, and prices for services moved up 0.7 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand jumped 2.7 percent in February, the largest rise since a 2.7-percent advance in July 2008. Half of the broad-based February increase can be traced to a 1.8-percent advance in prices for processed materials less foods and energy. The indexes for processed energy goods and for processed foods and feeds also moved up 6.5 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand jumped 6.6 percent, the largest advance since increasing 6.7 percent for the 12 months ended July 2018.

Product Detail: A major factor in the February increase in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand was an 11.8-percent jump in prices for steel mill products. The indexes for diesel fuel, gasoline, basic organic chemicals, plastic resins and materials, and beef and veal also moved higher. Conversely, prices for distilled and bottled liquor (excluding brandy) dropped 8.3 percent. The indexes for pork and for industrial electric power also declined. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: Prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand increased 4.3 percent in February, the tenth consecutive rise. Over three-quarters of the February advance can be traced to a 9.8-percent jump in the index for unprocessed energy materials. Prices for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs rose 3.5 percent. In contrast, the index for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy decreased 1.3 percent. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand jumped 19.0 percent, the largest increase since advancing 19.2 percent for the 12 months ended February 2017.

Product Detail: Forty percent of the February increase in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand can be traced to a 14.5-percent rise in prices for natural gas. The indexes for crude petroleum, slaughter chickens, corn, raw milk, and slaughter cattle also advanced. Conversely, prices for iron and steel scrap decreased 10.3 percent. The indexes for fresh vegetables (except potatoes) and for coal also fell.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand increased 0.7 percent in February after rising 1.3 percent in January. Over 60 percent of the broad-based advance in February is attributable to margins for trade services for intermediate demand, which jumped 2.0 percent. Prices for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand increased 1.5 percent, and the index for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand edged up 0.1 percent. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for services for intermediate demand climbed 3.7 percent, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Product detail: Over 40 percent of the February rise in prices for services for intermediate demand can be traced to margins for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, which moved up 4.7 percent. The indexes for metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; securities brokerage, dealing, and investment advice; hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing; arrangement of freight and cargo transportation; and gross rents of office buildings also increased. In contrast, prices for gross rents of retail properties fell 7.7 percent. The indexes for marketing consulting services and for food and alcohol wholesaling also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 4 intermediate demand advanced 1.1 percent in February following a 1.4-percent rise in January. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand jumped 1.6 percent, and prices for total services inputs climbed 0.9 percent. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for steel mill products; machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; securities brokerage, dealing, and investment advice; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; gasoline; and gross rents of office buildings outweighed decreasing prices for gross rents of retail properties, distilled and bottled liquor (excluding brandy), and portfolio management. (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 5.1 percent, the largest advance since rising 5.4 percent for the 12 months ended September 2011.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 2.2 percent in February, the largest advance since the index began in December 2009. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand jumped 4.1 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved up 0.6 percent. Increases in the indexes for diesel fuel; steel mill products; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; arrangement of freight and cargo transportation; slaughter chickens; and raw milk outweighed falling prices for gross rents of retail properties, marketing consulting services, and slaughter turkeys. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 4.8 percent, the largest advance since climbing 5.5 percent for the 12 months ended October 2018.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 2 intermediate demand moved up 2.0 percent in February following a 2.7-percent jump in January. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand increased 4.4 percent, and prices for total services inputs rose 0.2 percent. Advances in the indexes for gas fuels, crude petroleum, basic organic chemicals, arrangement of freight and cargo transportation, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, and steel mill products outweighed declines in the indexes for iron and steel scrap, business loans (partial), and food and alcohol wholesaling. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for stage 2 intermediate demand moved up 8.6 percent, the largest increase since rising 11.8 percent for the 12 months ended September 2011.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 1.9 percent in February, the ninth consecutive increase. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand jumped 2.8 percent, and prices for total services inputs climbed 1.0 percent. Advances in the indexes for diesel fuel; steel mill products; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing; basic organic chemicals; and securities brokerage, dealing, and investment advice outweighed decreases in prices for gross rents of retail properties, traveler accommodation services, and iron and steel scrap. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 1 intermediate demand moved up 7.0 percent, the largest increase since rising 7.2 percent for the 12 months ended July 2018.

Resampling of Industries

Effective with the release of data for February 2021, the Producer Price Index (PPI) includes data for 12 resampled industries classified according to the 2017 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). The Bureau of Labor Statistics periodically updates the sample of producers providing data for the PPI to reflect current conditions more accurately when the structure, membership, technology, or product mix of an industry shifts. The first results of this systematic process were published in July 1986. Subsequent efforts have been completed at regular intervals.

For information on index additions, deletions, and recodes effective February 2021, see the current issue of the PPI Detailed Report online at www.bls.gov/ppi/ppidr202102.pdf, or contact the PPI Section of Index Analysis and Public Information at ppi-info@bls.gov or (202) 691-7705.

NAICS Code Industry 311352 Confectionery manufacturing from purchased chocolate 325199 All other basic organic chemical manufacturing 327211 Flat glass manufacturing 332312 Fabricated structural metal manufacturing 424100 Paper and paper product merchant wholesalers 424200 Drugs and druggists' sundries merchant wholesalers 424300 Apparel and piece goods merchant wholesalers 424400 Grocery and related product merchant wholesalers 424600 Chemicals and allied products merchant wholesalers 424700 Petroleum and petroleum products merchant wholesalers 424800 Beer, wine, and distilled alcoholic beverage merchant wholesalers 424900 Miscellaneous nondurable goods merchant wholesalers

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 12, 2021.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 10, 2021Publication referenceMar 12, 202130 days laterApr 11, 2021
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®2.73%Observed 3.05%Observed +32 bps vs. earlier reference3.13%Observed +8 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.15%Observed 1.64%Observed +49 bps vs. earlier reference1.67%Observed +3 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 12, 2020 – Jun 12, 2021
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 12, 2021Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.0.50%2.00%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 2.67% · Dec 17, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.66% · Dec 24, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.67% · Dec 31, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.65% · Jan 7, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.79% · Jan 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Jan 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Jan 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Feb 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Feb 11, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.81% · Feb 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.97% · Feb 25, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.02% · Mar 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Mar 11, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Mar 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.17% · Mar 25, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.18% · Apr 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.13% · Apr 8, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.04% · Apr 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.97% · Apr 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Apr 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · May 6, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.94% · May 13, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.00% · May 20, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.95% · May 27, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Jun 3, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · Jun 10, 202110-year Treasury: 0.90% · Dec 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.96% · Dec 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 31, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Jan 4, 202110-year Treasury: 0.96% · Jan 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.04% · Jan 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.08% · Jan 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.13% · Jan 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Jan 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.04% · Jan 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.07% · Jan 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.09% · Feb 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Feb 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Feb 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Feb 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.18% · Feb 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.16% · Feb 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.20% · Feb 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Feb 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Feb 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Feb 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Feb 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Feb 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Feb 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Feb 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Feb 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Feb 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Mar 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Mar 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Mar 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Mar 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Mar 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Mar 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Mar 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Mar 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Mar 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Mar 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.71% · Mar 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Mar 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Mar 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Apr 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Apr 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Apr 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · Apr 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · May 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · May 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · May 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · May 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · May 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · May 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jun 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Jun 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jun 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jun 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Jun 11, 2021Dec 12, 2020Mar 12, 2021Jun 12, 2021
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury125 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,272.92/month

3.05% · Mar 11, 2021

At the later reference$1,285.94/month

3.13% · Apr 8, 2021

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $13.03 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →