Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

May 2021 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.8 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.6 percent in April and 1.0 percent in March. (See table A.) On…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.8 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.6 percent in April and 1.0 percent in March. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index advanced 6.6 percent for the 12 months ended in May, the largest increase since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Nearly 60 percent of the May increase in the index for final demand can be traced to a 1.5- percent rise in prices for final demand goods. The index for final demand services moved up 0.6 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services increased 0.7 percent in May, the same as in April. For the 12 months ended in May, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services climbed 5.3 percent, the largest increase since 12-month data were first calculated in August 2014.

Final Demand

Final demand goods: Prices for final demand goods advanced 1.5 percent in May after rising 0.6 percent in April. Over 40 percent of the broad-based increase in May can be traced to the index for final demand goods less foods and energy, which moved up 1.1 percent. Prices for final demand foods and for final demand energy also advanced, 2.6 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Within the index for final demand goods in May, prices for nonferrous metals rose 6.9 percent. The indexes for beef and veal; diesel fuel; gasoline; hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds; and motor vehicles also advanced. In contrast, prices for fresh fruits and melons declined 1.9 percent. The indexes for primary basic organic chemicals and for asphalt also moved lower. (See table 4.)

Final demand services: Prices for final demand services rose 0.6 percent in May, the fifth consecutive increase. Forty percent of the broad-based May advance can be traced to the index for final demand trade services, which moved up 0.7 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing and for final demand transportation and warehousing services also rose, 0.2 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively.

Product Detail: Over 40 percent of the May increase in the index for final demand services is attributable to margins for automobile retailing (partial), which jumped 27.3 percent. The indexes for truck transportation of freight; apparel, footwear, and accessories retailing; portfolio management; chemicals and allied products wholesaling; and hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing also rose. Conversely, margins for food retailing fell 3.6 percent. The indexes for traveler accommodation services and for airline passenger services also decreased.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in May, prices for processed goods increased 2.8 percent, the index for unprocessed goods rose 8.4 percent, and prices for services advanced 0.8 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved up 2.8 percent in May following a 1.6-percent advance in April. Over 60 percent of the broad-based increase in May can be traced to prices for processed materials less foods and energy, which climbed 2.3 percent. The indexes for processed energy goods and for processed foods and feeds rose 4.8 percent and 2.5 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in May, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand increased 21.9 percent, the largest advance since jumping 23.6 percent for the 12 months ended February 1975.

Product Detail: A major factor in the May advance in prices for processed goods for intermediate demand was the index for lumber, which increased 15.5 percent. Prices for diesel fuel; utility natural gas; structural, architectural, and pre-engineered metal products; ethanol; and beef and veal also moved higher. In contrast, the index for primary basic organic chemicals fell 4.2 percent. Prices for commercial electric power and for pork also declined. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand advanced 8.4 percent in May after a 3.8-percent decline in April. Forty percent of the broad- based rise can be attributed to prices for unprocessed energy materials, which climbed 9.6 percent. The indexes for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs and for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy also advanced, 6.4 percent and 9.3 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in May, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand surged 57.9 percent, the largest rise since jumping 59.3 percent for the 12 months ended August 1973.

Product Detail: Nearly 30 percent of the May increase in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand can be traced to prices for crude petroleum, which rose 12.8 percent. The indexes for corn; natural gas; hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds; raw milk; and nonferrous metals also moved higher. Conversely, prices for slaughter hogs dropped 12.9 percent. The index for logs, bolts, timber, pulpwood, and wood chips and prices for coal also fell.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand rose 0.8 percent in May, the sixth consecutive increase. Nearly half of the broad-based advance in May can be traced to a 1.7-percent jump in margins for trade services for intermediate demand. Prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand and for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand also moved higher, rising 0.3 percent and 1.5 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in May, the index for services for intermediate demand climbed 7.9 percent, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Product detail: Leading the May increase in prices for services for intermediate demand, margins for metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling rose 6.4 percent. The indexes for hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing; truck transportation of freight; portfolio management; chemicals and allied products wholesaling; and arrangement of freight and cargo transportation also moved higher. In contrast, prices for cable network advertising time sales fell 14.6 percent. The indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling and for airline passenger services also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 1.5 percent in May, the largest advance since the index began in December 2009. In May, the index for total goods inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand jumped 2.4 percent, and prices for total services inputs rose 0.8 percent. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for corn; structural, architectural, and pre- engineered metal products; lumber; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; portfolio management; and utility natural gas outweighed declines in the indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, fresh fruits and melons, and commercial electric power. (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in May, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand climbed 11.1 percent, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 3 intermediate demand increased 2.1 percent in May after rising 2.7 percent in April. In May, the index for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand climbed 3.6 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved up 0.7 percent. Advances in the indexes for corn; raw milk; diesel fuel; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; steel mill products; and lumber outweighed decreasing prices for slaughter hogs, cable network advertising time sales, and asphalt. For the 12 months ended in May, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 19.9 percent, the largest increase since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand advanced 3.1 percent in May following a 2.1-percent decline in April. In May, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand jumped 6.3 percent, and the index for total services inputs increased 0.4 percent. Higher prices for crude petroleum, gas fuels, oilseeds, ethanol, nonferrous scrap, and arrangement of freight and cargo transportation outweighed decreases in the indexes for fuels and lubricants retailing, primary basic organic chemicals, and loan services (partial). For the 12 months ended in May, prices for stage 2 intermediate demand moved up 21.5 percent, the largest rise since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand increased 2.6 percent in May, the largest advance since rising 2.8 percent in December. In May, the index for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand jumped 4.0 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved up 1.4 percent. Increases in the indexes for corn; diesel fuel; utility natural gas; hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing; fabricated structural metal products; and metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling outweighed falling prices for primary basic organic chemicals, traveler accommodation services, and commercial electric power. For the 12 months ended in May, the index for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 21.6 percent, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jun 15, 2021.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMay 16, 2021Publication referenceJun 15, 202130 days laterJul 15, 2021
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®2.94%Observed 2.96%Observed +2 bps vs. earlier reference2.88%Observed −8 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.63%Observed 1.51%Observed −12 bps vs. earlier reference1.31%Observed −20 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Mar 15, 2021 – Sep 15, 2021
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jun 15, 2021Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.25%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Mar 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.17% · Mar 25, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.18% · Apr 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.13% · Apr 8, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.04% · Apr 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.97% · Apr 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Apr 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · May 6, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.94% · May 13, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.00% · May 20, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.95% · May 27, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Jun 3, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · Jun 10, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.93% · Jun 17, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.02% · Jun 24, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Jul 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.90% · Jul 8, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Jul 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.78% · Jul 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.80% · Jul 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Aug 5, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 12, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Aug 19, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 26, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Sep 2, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Sep 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.71% · Mar 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Mar 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Mar 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Apr 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Apr 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Apr 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · Apr 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · May 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · May 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · May 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · May 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · May 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · May 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jun 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Jun 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jun 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jun 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Jun 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jun 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jun 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jun 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jun 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Jun 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Jul 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Jul 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Jul 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Jul 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Jul 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Jul 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Jul 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Jul 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Jul 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Jul 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Jul 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.20% · Aug 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Aug 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Aug 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Aug 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Aug 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Aug 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Aug 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Aug 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Sep 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Sep 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Sep 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Sep 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 15, 2021Mar 15, 2021Jun 15, 2021Sep 15, 2021
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury130 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,258.35/month

2.96% · Jun 10, 2021

At the later reference$1,245.48/month

2.88% · Jul 15, 2021

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $12.87 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →