Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2021 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.0 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 1.0 percent in June and 0.8 percent in May. (See table A.) On an…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.0 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 1.0 percent in June and 0.8 percent in May. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved up 7.8 percent for the 12 months ended in July, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Nearly three-fourths of the July increase in the final demand index can be traced to a 1.1-percent advance in prices for final demand services. The index for final demand goods rose 0.6 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 0.9 percent in July, the largest advance since climbing 1.0 percent in January. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 6.1 percent, the largest increase since 12-month data were first calculated in August 2014.

Final Demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services rose 1.1 percent in July, the largest one-month increase since data were first calculated in December 2009. Nearly half of the broad- based advance in July is attributable to margins for final demand trade services, which jumped 1.7 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing and for final demand transportation and warehousing services also moved higher, 0.6 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively.

Product detail: About 20 percent of the July advance in prices for final demand services can be traced to margins for automobiles and automobile parts retailing, which climbed 11.2 percent. The indexes for airline passenger services; hospital outpatient care; machinery and equipment wholesaling; traveler accommodation services; and securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services also increased. In contrast, prices for portfolio management fell 1.8 percent. The indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling and for fuels and lubricants retailing also declined. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods moved up 0.6 percent in July following a 1.2-percent jump in June. Leading the July advance in prices for final demand goods, the index for final demand goods less foods and energy increased 1.0 percent. Prices for final demand energy rose 2.6 percent. Conversely, the index for final demand foods decreased 2.1 percent.

Product detail: Among prices for final demand goods in July, the index for tobacco products increased 2.7 percent. Prices for gasoline; diesel fuel; gas fuels; consumer, institutional, and commercial plastic products; and eggs for fresh use also moved higher. In contrast, the index for beef and veal fell 11.6 percent. Prices for residential electric power and for softwood lumber (not edge worked) also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in July, prices for processed goods rose 1.7 percent, the index for unprocessed goods increased 1.4 percent, and prices for services advanced 1.0 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved up 1.7 percent in July following a 1.9-percent rise in June. Two-thirds of the increase in July can be attributed to prices for processed materials less foods and energy, which advanced 1.6 percent. The index for processed energy goods moved up 4.0 percent. Conversely, prices for processed foods and feeds decreased 1.6 percent. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand increased 22.9 percent, the largest 12-month rise since jumping 23.6 percent in February 1975.

Product detail: Nearly one-fifth of the July advance in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand can be traced to a 22.9-percent increase in prices for cold rolled steel sheet and strip. The indexes for natural gas to electric utilities, diesel fuel, hot rolled steel sheet and strip, gasoline, and steel pipe and tube also moved higher. In contrast, prices for beef and veal dropped 11.6 percent. The indexes for softwood lumber (not edge worked) and for canned, cooked, smoked, or prepared poultry also decreased. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand rose 1.4 percent in July, the fourth consecutive increase. The advance in July can be traced to prices for unprocessed energy materials, which moved up 6.5 percent. Conversely, the index for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs decreased 2.5 percent. Prices for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy were unchanged. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand jumped 55.0 percent.

Product detail: Leading the July advance in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand, the index for natural gas jumped 13.5 percent. Prices for crude petroleum, recyclable paper, slaughter poultry, iron and steel, and wheat also moved up. In contrast, the index for corn fell 4.8 percent. Prices for slaughter barrows and gilts and for nonferrous metal ores also decreased.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand rose 1.0 percent in July, the eighth consecutive increase. In July, nearly half of the broad-based advance can be traced to margins for trade services for intermediate demand, which moved up 2.1 percent. Prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand rose 0.7 percent. The index for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand advanced 0.6 percent. For the 12 months ended in July, prices for services for intermediate demand jumped 9.2 percent, the largest increase since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Product detail: Over a quarter of the July increase in prices for services for intermediate demand can be attributed to margins for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, which rose 4.6 percent. The indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; metals, minerals and ores wholesaling; nonresidential real estate rents; airline passenger services; and internet advertising (excluding print publishers) also advanced. Conversely, prices for tax preparation and planning fell 6.2 percent. The indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling and for arrangement of freight and cargo transportation also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 4 intermediate demand advanced 1.1 percent in July, the same as in June. In July, the index for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand rose 1.2 percent, and prices for total goods inputs moved up 1.1 percent. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; nonresidential real estate rents; cold rolled steel sheet and strip; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; and motor vehicles and equipment outweighed declining prices for softwood lumber (not edge worked), portfolio management, and beef and veal. (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 4 intermediate demand rose 12.0 percent, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 3 intermediate demand advanced 1.1 percent in July, following a 2.1-percent increase in June. In July, the index for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand rose 1.5 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved up 0.8 percent. Advances in the indexes for cold rolled steel sheet and strip; hot rolled steel sheet and strip; cable network advertising time sales; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; diesel fuel; and jet fuel outweighed decreasing prices for raw milk, softwood lumber (not edge worked), and tax preparation and planning. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand moved up 20.2 percent.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand advanced 1.7 percent in July, the fourth consecutive increase. In July, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand rose 3.1 percent, and the index for total services inputs moved up 0.5 percent. Increases in the indexes for gas fuels, crude petroleum, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, loan services (partial), recyclable paper, and cold rolled steel sheet and strip outweighed decreasing prices for softwood lumber (not edge worked), oilseeds, and broadcast and network television advertising time sales. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand advanced 23.0 percent, the largest rise since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: The index for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 1.9 percent in July following a 1.6-percent increase in June. In July, prices for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand moved up 2.2 percent, and prices for total services inputs advanced 1.7 percent. Increases in the indexes for natural gas to electric utilities; cold rolled steel sheet and strip; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; internet advertising (excluding print publishers); metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; and diesel fuel outweighed decreases in the indexes for corn, portfolio management, and chemicals and allied products wholesaling. For the 12 months ended in July, prices for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 21.8 percent, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 12, 2021.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 13, 2021Publication referenceAug 12, 202130 days laterSep 11, 2021
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®2.90%Observed 2.87%Observed −3 bps vs. earlier reference2.88%Observed +1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.42%Observed 1.36%Observed −6 bps vs. earlier reference1.35%Observed −1 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 12, 2021 – Nov 12, 2021
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 12, 2021Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.25%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 2.94% · May 13, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.00% · May 20, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.95% · May 27, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Jun 3, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · Jun 10, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.93% · Jun 17, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.02% · Jun 24, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Jul 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.90% · Jul 8, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Jul 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.78% · Jul 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.80% · Jul 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Aug 5, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 12, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Aug 19, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 26, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Sep 2, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Sep 9, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Sep 16, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Sep 23, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.01% · Sep 30, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Oct 7, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Oct 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Oct 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.14% · Oct 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Nov 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Nov 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · May 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · May 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · May 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · May 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jun 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Jun 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jun 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jun 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Jun 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jun 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jun 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jun 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jun 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Jun 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Jul 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Jul 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Jul 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Jul 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Jul 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Jul 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Jul 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Jul 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Jul 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Jul 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Jul 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.20% · Aug 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Aug 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Aug 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Aug 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Aug 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Aug 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Aug 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Aug 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Sep 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Sep 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Sep 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Sep 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Sep 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Sep 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.32% · Sep 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.41% · Sep 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Sep 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Sep 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Sep 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Oct 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Oct 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Oct 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Oct 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · Oct 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Oct 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Oct 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Oct 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · Oct 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Oct 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Oct 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Oct 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · Nov 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Nov 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Nov 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Nov 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.46% · Nov 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 12, 2021May 12, 2021Aug 12, 2021Nov 12, 2021
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury128 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,243.88/month

2.87% · Aug 12, 2021

At the later reference$1,245.48/month

2.88% · Sep 9, 2021

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.60 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →