Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

May 2023 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices decreased 0.6 percent in May, after increasing 0.3 percent the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel and nonfuel prices each contributed to the May decline. Prices for U.S.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices decreased 0.6 percent in May, after increasing 0.3 percent the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel and nonfuel prices each contributed to the May decline. Prices for U.S. exports fell 1.9 percent in May following a revised 0.1-percent drop in April.

Imports

The price index for U.S. imports declined 0.6 percent in May, resuming the trend of monthly decreases in 2023 following a 0.3-percent increase in April. U.S. import prices fell 5.9 percent for the year ended in May, the largest 12-month drop since the index declined 6.3 percent from May 2019 to May 2020. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices fell 6.4 percent in May following a 4.1-percent increase in April. Lower petroleum and natural gas prices contributed to the May decline which was the largest 1-month drop since August 2022. Prices for import fuel decreased 35.2 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the- year decline since the index fell 37.5 percent from June 2019 to June 2020. The price index for petroleum fell 5.9 percent in May, after rising 5.4 percent the previous month. Import petroleum prices declined 34.1 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since June 2020. Prices for natural gas decreased 26.1 percent in May, after an 18.9-percent drop in April. Import natural gas prices fell 67.9 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year decline since the index fell 68.6 percent for the year ended July 2009.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports edged down 0.1 percent in May, after being unchanged the previous month. Lower prices in May for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials and foods, feeds, and beverages more than offset higher prices for automotive vehicles and capital goods. Nonfuel import prices declined 1.6 percent over the past year.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: The price index for foods, feeds, and beverages decreased 1.1 percent in May, after being unchanged in April. The May decline was the largest 1-month drop since a 1.5-percent decrease in August 2022. Lower fruit prices drove the decline in May and more than offset higher vegetable prices.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices fell 0.4 percent in May following a 0.1-percent decline the previous month. Lower prices for agricultural products used for industrial supplies and materials and chemicals led the decrease in nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices.

Finished Goods: Import prices for the major finished goods categories were mostly up in May. The price index for automotive vehicles rose 0.4 percent, after ticking up 0.1 percent in April. Higher automotive parts prices drove the May advance. Prices for capital goods ticked up 0.1 percent in May following a 0.1-percent decrease the previous month. Higher prices for industrial and service machinery led the advance in May. Consumer goods prices were unchanged in May, after rising 0.1 percent in April.

Exports

Prices for U.S. exports declined 1.9 percent in May, the largest monthly drop since December 2022. Lower prices for nonagricultural exports and agricultural exports in May each contributed to the overall decrease. U.S. export prices fell 10.1 percent for the year ended in May, the largest 12-month decline since the 12- month percent change series was first published in September 1984. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: Agricultural export prices decreased 2.1 percent in May, after advancing 0.4 percent in April. The May decline was the largest monthly drop since December 2022. Lower prices for corn, soybeans, and wheat in May more than offset higher meat and fruit prices. Prices for agricultural exports fell 8.1 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year decline since a 9.1-percent drop in April 2016.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: The price index for nonagricultural exports fell 1.8 percent in May following a 0.1-percent drop the previous month. The May decrease was the largest 1-month decline since December 2022. Lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and nonagricultural foods more than offset higher prices for capital goods, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles. Nonagricultural export prices decreased 10.5 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in March 1986.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 4.5 percent in May following a 0.5-percent drop the previous month. The May decline was the largest monthly drop since December 2022. The May decrease was led by a 10.1-percent drop in export fuel prices.

Finished Goods: Prices for each of the major finished goods export categories were up in May. Capital goods prices advanced 0.1 percent, after increasing 0.2 percent in April. The price index for capital goods has not recorded a monthly decline since November 2022. Consumer goods prices advanced 0.2 percent in May following 0.3-percent increases in each of the previous 2 months. The May advance in consumer goods prices was driven by higher prices for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials. Prices for automotive vehicles ticked up 0.1 percent in May, after declining 0.3 percent in April.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China fell 0.2 percent in May, after declining 0.5 percent the previous month. Import prices from China have not recorded a monthly advance since October 2022. The price index for imports from China decreased 2.0 percent for the year ended in May. Prices for imports from Japan declined 0.2 percent in May following a 0.5-percent increase in April. Import prices from Japan rose on a 12-month basis, advancing 0.6 percent from May 2022 to May 2023. The price index for imports from Canada fell 2.9 percent in May, after advancing 0.5 percent the previous month. Prices for imports from Canada declined 22.4 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since a 26.0- percent decrease in May 2020. Import prices from Mexico edged down 0.1 percent in May following a 0.6- percent advance in April. In contrast, the price index for imports from the European Union rose 0.3 percent in May, after increasing 0.5 percent the previous month. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: The price index for exports to China fell 2.1 percent in May, after declining 0.3 percent in April and 0.4 percent in March. Export prices to China fell 11.5 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in December 2018. Prices for exports to Japan fell 2.2 percent in May following a 0.8-percent drop the previous month. Export prices to Japan declined 12.9 percent for the year ended in May, the largest 12- month drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in December 2018. The price index for exports to Canada decreased 0.9 percent in May, after declining 0.5 percent in April. Prices for exports to Mexico and the European Union also fell in May, decreasing 2.0 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China declined 1.9 percent in May, the first monthly decrease since December 2022. Lower export prices to China in May more than offset lower import prices from China. The index for U.S. terms of trade with China fell 9.8 percent over the past year. U.S. terms of trade with Japan decreased 2.0 percent in May and 13.3 percent over the past 12 months. The indexes for U.S. terms of trade with Mexico and the European Union also fell in May, declining 1.9 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively. In contrast, U.S. terms of trade with Canada rose 2.2 percent in May and increased 23.9 percent from May 2022 to May 2023. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares rose 8.0 percent in May following a 5.4-percent decline in April. The May increase was the largest monthly rise since June 2022 and was primarily led by higher European fares. Import air passenger fares increased 6.3 percent over the past year. Prices for import air freight decreased 4.5 percent in May, after rising 2.3 percent in April. The May drop was driven by lower Asian air freight prices. Import air freight prices declined 37.7 percent for the year ended in May, the largest over-the-year drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in September 1991. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares declined 5.5 percent in May following a 0.6-percent increase the previous month. The May decline was led by lower Latin American/Caribbean fares which more than offset higher European and Asian fares. The index for export air passenger fares rose 0.4 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month advance since the most recent decline in November 2021. Export air freight prices fell 3.2 percent in May, after a 0.8-percent drop in April. Prices for export air freight decreased 15.4 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decline since the index fell 15.7 percent in September 2009.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for June 2023 are scheduled for release on Friday, July 14, 2023, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jun 15, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMay 16, 2023Publication referenceJun 15, 202330 days laterJul 15, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.35%Observed 6.69%Observed +34 bps vs. earlier reference6.96%Observed +27 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.54%Observed 3.72%Observed +18 bps vs. earlier reference3.83%Observed +11 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Mar 15, 2023 – Sep 15, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jun 15, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%5.25%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.60% · Mar 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Mar 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Mar 30, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Apr 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Apr 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · Apr 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Apr 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 4, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · May 11, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 18, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.57% · May 25, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jun 1, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 8, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 15, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 22, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 29, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Jul 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jul 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.90% · Aug 3, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Aug 10, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.09% · Aug 17, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.23% · Aug 24, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Aug 31, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.12% · Sep 7, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Sep 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.51% · Mar 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.56% · Mar 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Mar 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.47% · Mar 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · Mar 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Mar 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Mar 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.35% · Apr 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Apr 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.45% · Apr 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.58% · Apr 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Apr 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Apr 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Apr 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Apr 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · Apr 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · May 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · May 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · May 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · May 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · May 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · May 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · May 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · May 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.50% · May 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · May 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · May 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.65% · May 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · May 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · May 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · May 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · May 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · May 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · May 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jun 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Jun 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jun 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jun 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jun 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jun 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jun 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jun 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jun 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jun 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Jul 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Jul 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.06% · Jul 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.99% · Jul 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.76% · Jul 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jul 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jul 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jul 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jul 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jul 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jul 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.91% · Jul 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.96% · Jul 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Jul 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Aug 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.02% · Aug 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.00% · Aug 9, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.16% · Aug 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.21% · Aug 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.28% · Aug 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Aug 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 23, 202310-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Aug 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 30, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.18% · Sep 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Sep 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Sep 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Sep 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.33% · Sep 15, 2023Mar 15, 2023Jun 15, 2023Sep 15, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury129 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,933.84/month

6.69% · Jun 15, 2023

At the later reference$1,987.85/month

6.96% · Jul 13, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $54.01 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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