Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2023 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

Prices for U.S. imports advanced 0.4 percent in July following a 0.1-percent decline the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The July increase was driven by higher fuel prices. U.S. export prices rose 0.7…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Prices for U.S. imports advanced 0.4 percent in July following a 0.1-percent decline the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The July increase was driven by higher fuel prices. U.S. export prices rose 0.7 percent in July, after decreasing 0.7 percent in June.

Imports

The price index for U.S. imports rose 0.4 percent in July, only the second monthly advance in 2023. Despite the July rise, U.S. import prices declined 4.4 percent over the past 12 months, after increasing 8.8 percent from July 2021 to July 2022. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices advanced 3.6 percent in July, after increasing 1.9 percent in June. Higher prices for petroleum and natural gas in July contributed to the rise. Despite the advances the past 2 months, import fuel prices decreased 29.0 percent over the past year. Prices for import petroleum rose 3.5 percent in July following a 2.1-percent increase the previous month. Petroleum prices last advanced in consecutive months in June 2022. Prices for import petroleum fell 28.2 percent for the year ended in July. The price index for natural gas rose for the first time since January 2023, increasing 12.1 percent, after a 1.5-percent drop in June. The July advance was the largest rise since the index advanced 68.4 percent in December 2022. Import natural gas prices declined 58.8 percent over the past 12 months, less than the record 70.7- percent over-the-year decrease in June.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Nonfuel import prices were unchanged in July following a 0.3-percent decrease the previous month. Lower prices in July for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials and consumer goods offset higher prices for foods, feeds, and beverages; automotive vehicles; and capital goods. Nonfuel import prices declined 0.9 percent from July 2022 to July 2023.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Import prices for foods, feeds, and beverages advanced 2.5 percent in July, after edging down 0.1 percent in June. Higher prices for fruit, vegetables, and meat all contributed to the increase in July.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: The price index for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials decreased 1.4 percent in July following a 1.2-percent drop the previous month. The decreases in both July and June were led by lower unfinished metal prices.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods import categories were mixed in July. Automotive vehicles prices rose 0.3 percent following a 0.1-percent drop the previous month. The July advance was driven by higher prices for both passenger cars and vehicles designed to transport goods. Capital goods prices ticked up 0.1 percent in July, after edging down 0.1 percent in June. The increase was led by higher prices in July for civilian aircraft, engines, and parts. In contrast, consumer goods prices fell 0.1 percent in July, after declining 0.2 percent in June. The decrease in July was driven by lower prices for nonmanufactured consumer goods.

Exports

U.S. export prices increased 0.7 percent in July, after declining 0.7 percent the previous month. The advance in July was the largest monthly increase since a 1.1-percent rise in June 2022. Higher prices in July for both agricultural and nonagricultural exports contributed to the overall advance. Despite the July increase, U.S. export prices fell 7.9 percent from July 2022 to July 2023. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports rose 0.9 percent in July following declines of 1.5 percent in June and 2.3 percent in May. Higher prices for soybeans, meat, and wheat in July more than offset lower prices for corn, fruit, and nuts. Export agricultural prices declined 5.8 percent for the year ended in July.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Prices for nonagricultural exports advanced 0.6 percent in July, after decreasing 0.6 percent the previous month. The July increase was the first monthly rise since February 2023 and the largest 1-month advance since a 1.2-percent increase in June 2022. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and automotive vehicles more than offset lower prices for consumer goods and nonagricultural foods. Nonagricultural export prices declined 8.2 percent over the past year.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices rose 1.5 percent in July following a 1.5-percent decrease the previous month. The advance in July was driven by a 6.7-percent increase in export fuel prices.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods export categories were mixed in July. Capital goods prices ticked up 0.1 percent, after advancing 0.2 percent in June. Prices for export capital goods have not declined on a monthly basis since November 2022. Automotive vehicles prices rose 0.2 percent in July following a 0.1-percent increase the previous month. The July advance was driven by higher parts prices. In contrast, consumer goods prices declined 0.2 percent in July, after rising 0.1 percent in June. The decrease in July was the first 1-month drop since the index declined 0.3 percent in November 2022 and was led by lower prices for manufactured nondurable goods and nonmanufactured consumer goods.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China fell 0.2 percent in July following a 0.4- percent decrease the previous month. Import prices from China have not recorded a monthly increase since October 2022. The price index for imports from China declined 2.3 percent for the year ended in July, the largest 12-month drop since November 2009. In contrast, prices for imports from Japan advanced 0.3 percent in July, after being unchanged in June. Higher chemical prices in July led the increase. Import prices from Japan rose 1.0 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for imports from Canada increased 3.0 percent in July, the largest 1-month advance since March 2022. Despite the July rise, prices for imports from Canada declined 15.1 percent over the past year. Import prices from Mexico and the European Union also advanced in July, increasing 2.4 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. The July increase in prices for imports from Mexico was the largest monthly rise since April 2011. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Export prices to China rose 1.5 percent in July, after falling 1.6 percent in June. Despite the July advance, the price index for exports to China declined 8.8 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for exports to Japan increased 0.3 percent following a 1.2-percent drop the previous month. The July advance was the first monthly rise since February 2023. Export prices to Japan decreased 11.2 percent from July 2022 to July 2023. The price index for exports to Canada rose 1.0 percent in July, the largest 1-month advance since May 2022. Despite the July increase, export prices to Canada decreased 1.8 percent over the past year. Prices for exports to Mexico and the European Union also advanced in July, rising 0.7 percent and 0.9 percent, respectively. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China rose 1.7 percent in July, after declining 1.2 percent in June. Higher export prices to China and lower import prices from China each contributed to the July increase. U.S. terms of trade with China decreased 6.7 percent over the past 12 months. U.S. terms of trade with Japan were unchanged in July following a 1.2-percent decline in June. U.S. terms of trade with Japan fell 12.1 percent for the year ended in July. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Canada fell 1.8 percent in July, after ticking up 0.1 percent in June. The July decrease was the largest monthly drop since March 2022. U.S. terms of trade with Mexico fell 1.7 percent in July and U.S. terms of trade with the European Union rose 0.7 percent over the same period. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares fell 9.2 percent in July, following a 10.0-percent increase in June. The July drop was the largest 1-month decline since a 12.4-percent decrease in January 2023 and was mostly driven by lower European fares. Import air passenger fares fell 3.5 percent for the year ended in July, the first 12-month decline since February 2022. The price index for import air freight rose 1.3 percent in July following a 6.1-percent increase the previous month. Higher Asian air freight prices in July more than offset lower European air freight prices. Despite the recent advances, import air freight prices decreased 22.4 percent over the past 12 months. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares increased 4.2 percent in July, after rising 9.3 percent the previous month. Higher Latin American/Caribbean fares mainly led the July advance in export air passenger fares. The index for export air passenger fares rose 0.2 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month advance since the index last fell on an over-the-year basis in November 2021. Prices for export air freight rose 1.0 percent in July, after falling 3.8 percent in each of the 2 previous months. Despite the July increase, export air freight prices declined 16.4 percent over the past 12 months.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for August 2023 are scheduled for release on Friday, September 15, 2023, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 15, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 16, 2023Publication referenceAug 15, 202330 days laterSep 14, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.96%Observed 6.96%Observed Unchanged vs. earlier reference7.18%Observed +22 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.83%Observed 4.21%Observed +38 bps vs. earlier reference4.29%Observed +8 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 15, 2023 – Nov 15, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 15, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%5.75%8.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 18, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.57% · May 25, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jun 1, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 8, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 15, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 22, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 29, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Jul 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jul 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.90% · Aug 3, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Aug 10, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.09% · Aug 17, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.23% · Aug 24, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Aug 31, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.12% · Sep 7, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Sep 14, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.19% · Sep 21, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.31% · Sep 28, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.49% · Oct 5, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.57% · Oct 12, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.63% · Oct 19, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.79% · Oct 26, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.76% · Nov 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.50% · Nov 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.50% · May 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · May 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · May 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.65% · May 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · May 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · May 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · May 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · May 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · May 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · May 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jun 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Jun 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jun 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jun 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jun 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jun 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jun 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jun 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jun 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jun 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Jul 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Jul 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.06% · Jul 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.99% · Jul 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.76% · Jul 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jul 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jul 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jul 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jul 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jul 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jul 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.91% · Jul 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.96% · Jul 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Jul 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Aug 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.02% · Aug 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.00% · Aug 9, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.16% · Aug 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.21% · Aug 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.28% · Aug 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Aug 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 23, 202310-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Aug 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 30, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.18% · Sep 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Sep 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Sep 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Sep 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.33% · Sep 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.32% · Sep 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.37% · Sep 19, 202310-year Treasury: 4.35% · Sep 20, 202310-year Treasury: 4.49% · Sep 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.44% · Sep 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.55% · Sep 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.56% · Sep 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.61% · Sep 27, 202310-year Treasury: 4.59% · Sep 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.59% · Sep 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.69% · Oct 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.81% · Oct 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.73% · Oct 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.72% · Oct 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.78% · Oct 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.66% · Oct 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.58% · Oct 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.70% · Oct 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.63% · Oct 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.71% · Oct 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.83% · Oct 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.91% · Oct 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.98% · Oct 19, 202310-year Treasury: 4.93% · Oct 20, 202310-year Treasury: 4.86% · Oct 23, 202310-year Treasury: 4.83% · Oct 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.95% · Oct 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.86% · Oct 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.84% · Oct 27, 202310-year Treasury: 4.88% · Oct 30, 202310-year Treasury: 4.88% · Oct 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.77% · Nov 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.67% · Nov 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.57% · Nov 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.67% · Nov 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.58% · Nov 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.49% · Nov 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.62% · Nov 9, 202310-year Treasury: 4.61% · Nov 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.63% · Nov 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.44% · Nov 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.53% · Nov 15, 2023May 15, 2023Aug 15, 2023Nov 15, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury128 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,987.85/month

6.96% · Aug 10, 2023

At the later reference$2,032.30/month

7.18% · Sep 14, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $44.45 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →