Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

June 2023 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The price index for U.S. imports fell 0.2 percent in June following a 0.4-percent decline in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower nonfuel prices in June more than offset higher fuel prices. Prices for U.S.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The price index for U.S. imports fell 0.2 percent in June following a 0.4-percent decline in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower nonfuel prices in June more than offset higher fuel prices. Prices for U.S. exports decreased 0.9 percent in June, after declining 1.9 percent the previous month.

Imports

U.S. import prices decreased 0.2 percent in June and have fallen in 5 of the first 6 months of 2023, after rising 3.2 percent in 2022. Prices for U.S. imports declined 6.1 percent over the past year, the largest 12- month drop since the year ended May 2020. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel rose 0.8 percent in June following a 4.3-percent decline the previous month. Higher petroleum prices in June more than offset lower natural gas prices. Despite the June advance, import fuel prices fell 36.4 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since a 37.5-percent decrease in June 2020. The price index for petroleum rose 1.1 percent in June, after falling 3.8 percent in May. Petroleum prices declined 35.1 percent for the year ended in June. In contrast, natural gas prices decreased in June, falling 5.6 percent following a 20.9-percent drop the previous month. Prices for import natural gas declined 78.4 percent from January to June, driving the index down 70.8 percent over the past 12 months. The 12-month decrease was the largest over-the-year drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in September 1982.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: The price index for nonfuel imports declined 0.4 percent in June, after being unchanged the previous month. Lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; consumer goods; capital goods; foods, feeds, and beverages; and automotive vehicles all contributed to the overall decline in June. Prices for nonfuel imports decreased 1.4 percent for the year ended in June.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages fell 0.3 percent in June following a 1.3-percent drop in May. Lower prices for fish and shellfish in June more than offset higher prices for fruit and meat.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 1.1 percent in June following a 0.2-percent decline the previous month. The June drop was led by lower prices for unfinished metals and nonmetals related to durable goods.

Finished Goods: Prices for each of the major finished goods import categories were down in June. The price index for consumer goods fell 0.3 percent in June following 0.1-percent advances in both May and April. Lower household goods prices contributed to the decrease in June. Capital goods prices edged down 0.1 percent in June, after being unchanged in May. The decline in June was driven by a 0.3-percent drop in computer prices. Prices for automotive vehicles fell 0.1 percent in June following a 0.3-percent increase the previous month. The June decrease was led by lower prices for parts, engines, bodies, and chassis.

Exports

The price index for U.S. exports declined 0.9 percent in June, after falling 1.9 percent the previous month. Lower prices for nonagricultural exports and agricultural exports in June each contributed to the overall decrease. U.S. export prices fell 12.0 percent from June 2022 to June 2023, the largest over-the-year decline since the 12-month percent change series was first published in September 1984. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: Prices for agricultural exports fell 1.6 percent in June following a 2.4-percent decline the previous month. Lower prices in June for soybeans, fruit, and nuts more than offset higher meat prices. The price index for agricultural exports decreased 9.8 percent for the year ended in June, the largest over-the-year decline since a 10.7-percent drop from March 2015 to March 2016.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural prices decreased 0.9 percent in June following a 1.9- percent drop in May. Lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and nonagricultural foods in June more than offset higher prices for capital goods, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles. Prices for nonagricultural exports declined 12.4 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in March 1986.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials declined 2.4 percent in June, after falling 4.6 percent in May. The 7.2-percent drop in the second quarter of 2023 was the largest 3-month decrease since January 2023. The June drop was led by lower prices for fuels, chemicals, and nonferrous metals.

Finished Goods: Prices for each of the major finished goods export categories were up in June. Capital goods prices advanced 0.2 percent, after ticking up 0.1 percent in May. The June increase was driven by a 1.8-percent rise in the price index for transportation equipment excluding motor vehicles. Prices for consumer goods advanced 0.1 percent in June following a 0.2-percent increase the previous month. The June rise was led by a 3.9-percent advance in jewelry prices. Automotive vehicles prices rose 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month in June. Higher prices for parts, engines, bodies, and chassis contributed to the increases in June and May.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China declined 0.4 percent for the third consecutive month in June, led by a 0.7-percent decrease in prices for computer and electronic product manufacturing. Prices for imports from China have not recorded a monthly advance since October 2022. The price index for imports from China decreased 2.3 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since November 2009. In contrast, import prices from Japan ticked up 0.1 percent in June, after declining 0.2 percent the previous month. Prices for imports from Japan advanced 0.6 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for imports from Canada fell 0.8 percent in June following a 1.0-percent drop in May. Import prices from Canada decreased 21.9 percent for the year ended in June, the largest 12-month decline since a 26.0- percent drop in May 2020. Prices for imports from the European Union decreased 0.3 percent in June and import prices from Mexico increased 0.2 percent over the same period. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Prices for exports to China declined 1.1 percent in June, after falling 2.3 percent the previous month. Export prices to China decreased 14.1 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for exports to Japan fell 1.5 percent in June following a 3.1-percent decline in May. Prices for exports to Japan decreased 14.3 percent for the year ended in June, the largest over-the-year drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in December 2018. Export prices to Canada were unchanged in June following a 0.9-percent decline the previous month. The price index for exports to the European Union fell 0.5 percent in June and prices for exports to Mexico decreased 0.4 percent over the same period. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China fell 0.7 percent in June, after declining 2.0 percent in May. Lower export prices to China in June more than offset lower import prices from China. The index for U.S. terms of trade with China fell 12.1 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in December 2018. U.S. terms of trade with Japan decreased 1.7 percent in June and fell 14.9 percent over the past year. The indexes for U.S. terms of trade with the European Union and Mexico declined 0.3 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively, in June. In contrast, U.S. terms of trade with Canada advanced 0.7 percent in June and rose 22.6 percent for the year ended in June. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares rose 10.0 percent in June following an 8.0-percent increase the previous month. The June advance was the largest monthly rise in import air passenger fares since June 2022. The June 2023 increase was primarily driven by an 11.6-percent advance in European fares. Import air passenger fares rose 6.2 percent for the year ended in June. Import air freight prices increased 4.0 percent in June, after decreasing 4.0 percent in May. The June advance was led by a 4.7-percent rise in Asian air freight prices. Despite the June increase, import air freight prices declined 33.8 percent over the past year. (See table 10.)

Exports: The index for export air passenger fares advanced 9.3 percent in June following a 5.5-percent drop in May. The June increase was the largest 1-month rise since a 12.4-percent advance in January 2023. Higher Latin American/Caribbean and European fares primarily drove the June increase. Export air passenger fares rose 4.2 percent from June 2022 to June 2023. Export air freight prices fell 4.6 percent in June, after declining 3.8 percent the previous month. Prices for export air freight decreased 19.0 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year drop since the 12-month percent change series was first published in December 1997.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for July 2023 are scheduled for release on Tuesday, August 15, 2023, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jul 14, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJun 14, 2023Publication referenceJul 14, 202330 days laterAug 13, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.71%Observed 6.96%Observed +25 bps vs. earlier reference6.96%Observed Unchanged vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.83%Observed 3.83%Observed Unchanged vs. earlier reference4.16%Observed +33 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Apr 14, 2023 – Oct 14, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jul 14, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%5.50%8.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · Apr 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Apr 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 4, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · May 11, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 18, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.57% · May 25, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jun 1, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 8, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 15, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 22, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 29, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Jul 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jul 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.90% · Aug 3, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Aug 10, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.09% · Aug 17, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.23% · Aug 24, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Aug 31, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.12% · Sep 7, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Sep 14, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.19% · Sep 21, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.31% · Sep 28, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.49% · Oct 5, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.57% · Oct 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.58% · Apr 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Apr 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Apr 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Apr 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Apr 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · Apr 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · May 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · May 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · May 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · May 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · May 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · May 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · May 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · May 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.50% · May 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · May 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · May 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.65% · May 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · May 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · May 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · May 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · May 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · May 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · May 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jun 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Jun 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jun 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jun 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jun 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jun 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jun 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jun 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jun 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jun 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Jul 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Jul 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.06% · Jul 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.99% · Jul 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.76% · Jul 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jul 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jul 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jul 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jul 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jul 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jul 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.91% · Jul 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.96% · Jul 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Jul 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Aug 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.02% · Aug 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.00% · Aug 9, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.16% · Aug 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.21% · Aug 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.28% · Aug 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Aug 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 23, 202310-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Aug 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 30, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.18% · Sep 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Sep 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Sep 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Sep 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.33% · Sep 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.32% · Sep 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.37% · Sep 19, 202310-year Treasury: 4.35% · Sep 20, 202310-year Treasury: 4.49% · Sep 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.44% · Sep 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.55% · Sep 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.56% · Sep 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.61% · Sep 27, 202310-year Treasury: 4.59% · Sep 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.59% · Sep 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.69% · Oct 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.81% · Oct 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.73% · Oct 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.72% · Oct 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.78% · Oct 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.66% · Oct 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.58% · Oct 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.70% · Oct 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.63% · Oct 13, 2023Apr 14, 2023Jul 14, 2023Oct 14, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,987.85/month

6.96% · Jul 13, 2023

At the later reference$1,987.85/month

6.96% · Aug 10, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is unchanged. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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