Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

March 2023 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices decreased 0.6 percent in March following a 0.2-percent decline in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower prices for fuel and nonfuel imports each contributed to the March drop in U.S.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices decreased 0.6 percent in March following a 0.2-percent decline in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower prices for fuel and nonfuel imports each contributed to the March drop in U.S. import prices. Prices for U.S. exports fell 0.3 percent in March, after increasing 0.4 percent in February and 0.3 percent in January.

Imports

Prices for U.S. imports fell 0.6 percent in March, the largest 1-month decline since November 2022. The price index for U.S. imports decreased 4.6 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since the index declined 6.3 percent in May 2020. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices declined 2.9 percent in March following a 5.7-percent drop the previous month. Prices for import fuel have not recorded a 1-month advance since June 2022. Lower prices for both petroleum and natural gas contributed to the decrease in overall fuel prices in March. Import fuel prices decreased 27.9 percent for the year ended in March. Petroleum prices fell 1.2 percent in March, after declining 0.2 percent in February. Prices for import petroleum declined 28.6 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year decrease since September 2020. Natural gas prices declined 31.3 percent in March following a 49.9-percent drop in February. Prices for natural gas decreased 28.3 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decline since March 2020.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: The price index for nonfuel imports decreased 0.5 percent in March, after rising 0.9 percent over the previous 3 months. The decline is the largest monthly drop since July 2022. Lower March prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; consumer goods; foods, feeds, and beverages; capital goods; and automotive vehicles all contributed to the overall decrease in nonfuel import prices. Nonfuel import prices declined 1.5 percent from March 2022 to March 2023, the first 12-month drop since June 2020.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Foods, feeds, and beverages prices decreased 0.5 percent in March, the first 1-month decline since a 1.0-percent drop in October 2022. Lower fruit prices in March more than offset higher prices for vegetables and meat.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials fell 1.5 percent in March, after edging up 0.1 percent the previous month. Lower prices for unfinished metals and chemicals drove the decrease in March.

Finished Goods: Import prices decreased for each of the major finished goods categories in March. The price index for consumer goods declined 0.3 percent, the largest monthly drop since June 2022. Consumer goods prices also fell 0.3 percent over the past 12 months, the first over-the-year drop since July 2020. Prices for import capital goods edged down 0.1 percent in March, led by a 2.3-percent decline in computer accessories, peripherals, and parts prices. The price index for automotive vehicles fell 0.1 percent in March, driven by lower passenger cars prices.

Exports

U.S. export prices declined 0.3 percent in March, the first 1-month drop since December 2022. Lower prices in March for agricultural exports and nonagricultural exports each contributed to the overall decrease. Prices for U.S. exports decreased 4.8 percent for the year ended in March, the largest 12-month decline since a 6.7- percent drop from May 2019 to May 2020. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports decreased 1.5 percent in March, after increasing 1.2 percent the previous month. Lower prices for corn, soybeans, wheat, and fruit in March more than offset higher meat prices. Prices for agricultural exports declined 2.3 percent over the past year, the first 12-month drop since the index fell 2.9 percent for the year ended in August 2020. The March 12-month decrease was primarily led by lower prices for soybeans, wheat, corn, and meat.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Prices for nonagricultural exports declined 0.2 percent in March following a 0.3-percent advance in February. Lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and nonagricultural foods in March more than offset higher prices for capital goods and consumer goods. Nonagricultural export prices fell 5.2 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year drop since the index declined 7.0 percent in May 2020.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 0.5 percent in March, after being unchanged the previous month. The March decline was driven by lower prices for nonferrous metals and fuels.

Finished Goods: Export prices for the major finished goods categories were mostly up in March. The price index for capital goods rose 0.2 percent in March following increases of 0.5 percent in February and 0.8 percent in January. Prices for consumer goods ticked up 0.1 percent in March, after rising 0.6 percent in February and 1.0 percent in January. The March advance was led by a 5.5-percent increase in jewelry prices. Automotive vehicles prices were unchanged in March following a 0.1-percent drop in February and a 1.5-percent advance in January.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China fell 0.5 percent in March following a 0.1-percent advance in February and a 0.5-percent decline in January. The March and January declines are the largest monthly drops since a 0.6-percent decrease in May 2013. The March decrease was led by lower prices for communications equipment manufacturing. The price index for imports from China declined 1.3 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for imports from Japan fell 0.3 percent in March, the largest 1-month drop since May 2020. Despite the decrease, prices for imports from Japan increased 0.7 percent for the year ended in March. Import prices from Canada and the European Union also declined in March, decreasing 1.1 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively. The March declines followed a 3.9-percent decrease in prices for imports from Canada in February and a 0.4-percent increase in prices for imports from the European Union. The price index for imports from Mexico was unchanged in March. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Prices for exports to China declined 1.2 percent in March, after advancing 1.6 percent the previous month. Export prices to China decreased 9.0 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decrease since the 12-month percent change series was first published in December 2018. The price index for exports to Japan decreased 1.9 percent in March following a 1.2-percent advance in February. Prices for exports to Japan declined 8.3 percent for the year ended in March. Export prices to Canada fell 0.9 percent in March, after a 0.2-percent increase in February. The price index for exports to the European Union declined 0.2 percent in March following a 0.3-percent drop the previous month. In contrast, prices for exports to Mexico rose 0.2 percent in March. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China declined 0.7 percent in March, after increasing 1.5 percent the previous month. Lower export prices to China in March more than offset falling import prices from China. U.S. terms of trade with China fell 7.8 percent over the past 12 months, the largest decrease since the 12-month percent change series was first published in December 2018. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan decreased 1.6 percent in March following a 1.4-percent advance in February. U.S. terms of trade with Japan fell 8.9 percent for the year ended in March. In contrast, U.S. terms of trade with Canada and the European Union rose in March, increasing 0.2 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively. U.S. terms of trade with Mexico advanced 0.3 percent in March. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: The index for import air passenger fares rose 1.9 percent in March, after increasing 2.1 percent the previous month. Higher Latin American/Caribbean and European fares in March more than offset lower Asian fares. Import air passenger fares advanced 11.3 percent from March 2022 to March 2023. Prices for import air freight declined 2.9 percent in March following a 5.3-percent decrease in February and an 11.8- percent drop in January. Lower prices for European and Asian air freight each contributed to the March decline. Import air freight prices fell 35.8 percent over the past year. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares increased 6.4 percent in March, after decreasing 13.7 percent in February and advancing 12.4 percent in January. In March, higher Latin American/Caribbean and European fares more than offset lower Asian fares. Export air passenger fares rose 8.5 percent for the year ended in March. Export air freight prices fell 4.4 percent in March, the first monthly decline since the index decreased 2.9 percent in November 2022, and the largest 1-month drop since a 6.7-percent decline in October 2020. Prices for export air freight fell 5.9 percent over the past 12 months, the first over-the-year decrease since November 2020.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for April 2023 are scheduled for release on Friday, May 12, 2023, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Apr 14, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 15, 2023Publication referenceApr 14, 202330 days laterMay 14, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.73%Observed 6.27%Observed −46 bps vs. earlier reference6.35%Observed +8 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.51%Observed 3.52%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference3.46%Observed −6 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 14, 2023 – Jul 14, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 14, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%5.00%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Jan 19, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Jan 26, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Feb 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.12% · Feb 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Feb 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.50% · Feb 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Mar 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Mar 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.60% · Mar 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Mar 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Mar 30, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Apr 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Apr 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · Apr 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Apr 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 4, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · May 11, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 18, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.57% · May 25, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jun 1, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 8, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 15, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 22, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 29, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Jul 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · Jan 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Jan 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Jan 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Feb 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Feb 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Feb 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.63% · Feb 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.67% · Feb 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.63% · Feb 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.67% · Feb 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Feb 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Feb 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Feb 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Feb 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Feb 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.82% · Feb 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Feb 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Feb 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.88% · Feb 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Feb 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Mar 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Mar 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Mar 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Mar 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · Mar 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.51% · Mar 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.56% · Mar 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Mar 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.47% · Mar 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · Mar 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Mar 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Mar 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.35% · Apr 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Apr 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.45% · Apr 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.58% · Apr 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Apr 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Apr 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Apr 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Apr 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · Apr 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · May 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · May 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · May 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · May 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · May 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · May 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · May 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · May 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.50% · May 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · May 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · May 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.65% · May 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · May 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · May 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · May 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · May 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · May 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · May 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jun 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Jun 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jun 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jun 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jun 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jun 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jun 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jun 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jun 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jun 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Jul 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Jul 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.06% · Jul 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.99% · Jul 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.76% · Jul 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jul 14, 2023Jan 14, 2023Apr 14, 2023Jul 14, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury125 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,851.06/month

6.27% · Apr 13, 2023

At the later reference$1,866.71/month

6.35% · May 11, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $15.65 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →