Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2023 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

Prices for U.S. imports edged down 0.1 percent in February, after declining 0.4 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel prices in February more than offset higher nonfuel prices. U.S. export…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Prices for U.S. imports edged down 0.1 percent in February, after declining 0.4 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel prices in February more than offset higher nonfuel prices. U.S. export prices increased 0.2 percent in February following a 0.5-percent advance the previous month.

Imports

The price index for U.S. imports declined 0.1 percent in February. Prices for U.S. imports decreased each month since June 2022 with the exception of a 0.1-percent advance in December 2022. U.S. import prices declined 1.1 percent from February 2022 to February 2023, the first 12-month decrease since the index fell 0.3 percent in December 2020 and the largest over-the-year drop since a 1.3-percent decline in September 2020. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel fell 4.9 percent for the second consecutive month in February. Those are the largest monthly drops since September 2022 and import fuel prices have not risen on a 1-month basis since June 2022. Lower natural gas prices in February more than offset higher petroleum prices. Natural gas prices decreased 55.6 percent in February following a 10.3-percent advance in January and a 68.4-percent increase in December. In contrast, prices for import petroleum rose 1.5 percent in February. Import fuel prices declined 11.6 percent over the past year. The price index for import natural gas fell 16.4 percent for the year ended in February, and petroleum prices decreased 11.8 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Nonfuel import prices rose 0.4 percent in February following a 0.2-percent advance in January. Higher prices in February for consumer goods; foods, feeds, and beverages; capital goods; and automotive vehicles more than offset lower nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices. Prices for nonfuel imports advanced 0.2 percent from February 2022 to February 2023.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: The price index for import foods, feeds, and beverages increased 1.3 percent in February, after advancing 1.2-percent the previous month. In February, higher fruit prices more than offset lower vegetable prices.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials edged down 0.1 percent in February following a 0.3-percent drop in January. The February decline was driven by lower chemical prices.

Finished Goods: Import prices increased for each of the major finished goods categories in February. The price index for consumer goods increased 0.5 percent in February, led in part by higher prices for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials. The February increase in consumer goods prices was the largest monthly advance since December 2021. Capital goods prices rose 0.3 percent for the second consecutive month in February and those are the largest 1-month advances since May 2022. Prices for automotive vehicles increased 0.2 percent in February, after rising 0.3 percent the previous month. Both monthly advances were driven by higher parts prices.

Exports

Prices for U.S. exports advanced 0.2 percent in February, after rising 0.5 percent in January. Those are the first monthly increases in export prices since June 2022. Despite the recent advances, U.S. export prices declined 0.8 percent over the past 12 months, the first over-the-year decrease since the index fell 1.0 percent from November 2019 to November 2020. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports rose 1.0 percent in February following declines of 0.9 percent in January and 2.4 percent in December. Higher prices in February for vegetables, soybeans, and corn more than offset declining meat prices. Agricultural export prices increased 3.3 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month advance since October 2020.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural export prices ticked up 0.1 percent in February, after rising 0.6 percent the previous month. Higher prices for capital goods and consumer goods more than offset lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, automotive vehicles, and nonagricultural foods. Prices for nonagricultural exports declined 1.5 percent for the year ended in February, the first 12- month drop since the index edged down 0.1 percent in December 2020 and the largest over-the-year decrease since a 1.6-percent decline in November 2020.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials fell 0.5 percent in February following a 0.3-percent increase the previous month. The February decline was led by a 2.2-percent decrease in export fuel prices.

Finished Goods: Export prices for the major finished goods categories were mostly up in February. Capital goods prices rose 0.6 percent, after advancing 0.8 percent in January. The February advance was driven by higher prices for semiconductors; transportation equipment excluding motor vehicles; and industrial and service machinery. Prices for export consumer goods rose 0.7 percent in February following a 1.1-percent increase the previous month. Higher prices for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials contributed to the advance. The price index for automotive vehicles edged down 0.1 percent in February, after a 1.6- percent increase in January.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China were unchanged in February, after falling 0.5 percent the previous month. Import prices from China have not recorded a monthly advance since October 2022. Prices for imports from China declined 0.4 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over- the-year decrease since July 2020. Import prices from Japan fell 0.5 percent in February following a 0.2- percent rise the previous month. The February decline was the first monthly decrease since November 2022 and the largest decline since June 2015. Despite the February drop, prices for imports from Japan rose 1.4 percent over the past year. The price index for imports from Canada declined 4.4 percent in February, the largest 1-month drop since July 2022. Prices for imports from Canada decreased 10.3 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decline since June 2020. In contrast, import prices from the European Union and Mexico both rose 0.4 percent in February. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Export prices to China rose 1.2 percent in February following a 0.8- percent advance in January. The February increase was the largest monthly rise since June 2022. Despite the recent advances, prices for exports to China fell 3.6 percent over the past year. The price index for exports to Japan increased 3.3 percent in February, the largest 1-month advance since March 2022. Export prices to Japan also rose for the year ended in February, increasing 0.6 percent. Prices for exports to Canada advanced 0.5 percent in February, after declining 0.5 percent the previous month. In contrast, export prices to the European Union fell 0.6 percent in February and prices for exports to Mexico decreased 0.8 percent. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China advanced 1.2 percent for the second consecutive month in February. Despite the recent increases, U.S. terms of trade with China fell 3.2 percent over the past year. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan rose 3.8 percent in February, after declining 0.5 percent the previous month. In February, both higher export prices to Japan and lower import prices from Japan contributed to the advance. U.S. terms of trade with Japan fell 0.9 percent for the year ended in February. U.S. terms of trade with Canada increased 5.1 percent in February and 14.7 percent over the past 12 months. The indexes for U.S. terms of trade with the European Union and Mexico fell in February, declining 1.0 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares advanced 2.1 percent in February following a 12.4-percent drop the previous month. Higher Latin American/Caribbean fares in February more than offset lower European and Asian fares. The index for import air passenger fares rose 18.6 percent for the year ended in February. Import air freight prices decreased 4.7 percent in February, after declining 11.8 percent in January. The February drop was driven by a 7.3-percent decrease in Asian air freight prices. Prices for import air freight fell 31.6 percent from February 2022 to February 2023. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares declined 13.7 percent in February following a 12.4-percent increase in January. The February drop in export air passenger fares was the largest monthly decrease since the 1- month percent change series was first published in January 2001. Lower Latin American/Caribbean, Asian, and European fares in February all contributed to the decline. Despite the February decrease, export air passenger fares rose 9.2 percent over the past year. Export air freight prices advanced 3.5 percent in February, the largest monthly increase since March 2022. Prices for export air freight rose 3.8 percent over the past 12 months.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for March 2023 are scheduled for release on Friday, April 14, 2023, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 16, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 14, 2023Publication referenceMar 16, 202330 days laterApr 15, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.12%Observed 6.60%Observed +48 bps vs. earlier reference6.27%Observed −33 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.77%Observed 3.56%Observed −21 bps vs. earlier reference3.52%Observed −4 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 16, 2022 – Jun 16, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 16, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%5.00%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Dec 22, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Dec 29, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jan 5, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Jan 12, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Jan 19, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Jan 26, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Feb 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.12% · Feb 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Feb 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.50% · Feb 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Mar 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Mar 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.60% · Mar 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Mar 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Mar 30, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Apr 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Apr 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · Apr 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Apr 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 4, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · May 11, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 18, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.57% · May 25, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jun 1, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 8, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Dec 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Dec 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Dec 20, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Dec 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Dec 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.75% · Dec 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.84% · Dec 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Dec 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jan 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jan 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jan 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jan 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Jan 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Jan 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · Jan 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Jan 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Jan 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Feb 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Feb 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Feb 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.63% · Feb 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.67% · Feb 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.63% · Feb 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.67% · Feb 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Feb 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Feb 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Feb 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Feb 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Feb 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.82% · Feb 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Feb 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Feb 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.88% · Feb 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Feb 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Mar 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Mar 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Mar 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Mar 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · Mar 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.51% · Mar 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.56% · Mar 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Mar 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.47% · Mar 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · Mar 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Mar 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Mar 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.35% · Apr 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Apr 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.45% · Apr 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.58% · Apr 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Apr 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Apr 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Apr 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Apr 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · Apr 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · May 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · May 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · May 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · May 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · May 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · May 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · May 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · May 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.50% · May 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · May 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · May 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.65% · May 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · May 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · May 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · May 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · May 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · May 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · May 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jun 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Jun 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jun 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jun 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jun 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jun 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 16, 2023Dec 16, 2022Mar 16, 2023Jun 16, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,915.98/month

6.60% · Mar 16, 2023

At the later reference$1,851.06/month

6.27% · Apr 13, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $64.92 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →