Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

November 2015 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

Prices for U.S. imports fell 0.4 percent in November following a 0.3-percent decline in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A decrease in import fuel prices drove the November decline in the price index for…

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Prices for U.S. imports fell 0.4 percent in November following a 0.3-percent decline in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A decrease in import fuel prices drove the November decline in the price index for overall imports. U.S. export prices declined 0.6 percent in November, after a 0.2-percent decrease the previous month.

Imports

All Imports: Overall import prices decreased 0.4 percent in November, after falling 0.3 percent in October and 1.1 percent in September. Import prices have trended down throughout 2015, declining each month with the exception of May and June. Prices for imports fell 9.4 percent for the year ended in November, and have not increased on a 12-month basis since the index rose 0.9 percent in July 2014.

Fuel Imports: Fuel prices resumed a downward trend in November, declining 2.5 percent following a 0.1- percent uptick the previous month. The price index for import fuel decreased 24.9 percent between June and September. A 2.5-percent drop in petroleum prices and a 4.6-percent decline in natural gas prices both contributed to the November decline in overall import fuel prices. Prices for overall fuel fell 43.2 percent over the past 12 months, after decreasing 15.9 percent between November 2013 and November 2014. Petroleum prices declined 44.5 percent over the past year, while prices for natural gas fell 32.3 percent.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: The price index for nonfuel imports also decreased in November, falling 0.2 percent following 0.3-percent declines in each of the previous 4 months. Lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages; capital goods; and automotive vehicles all factored into the November decline in nonfuel import prices. Prices for nonfuel imports decreased 3.2 percent for the year ended in November. Prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages; and each of the major finished goods categories all fell over the past 12 months.

Exports

All Exports: Prices for U.S exports declined 0.6 percent in November, following a 0.2-percent decline in October and a 0.6-percent decrease in September. Lower prices for both agricultural and nonagricultural exports contributed to the November decline in overall export prices. The price index for overall exports only recorded 1 monthly advance over the past year and declined 6.3 percent between November 2014 and November 2015.

Agricultural Exports: Agricultural prices decreased 1.1 percent in November, after rising 0.1 percent the previous month. In November, the decline was led by a 6.6-percent drop in nut prices and a 2.4-percent decrease in soybean prices which more than offset a 4.0-percent advance in fruit prices. Prices for agricultural exports fell 12.8 percent over the past year. A 24.5-percent decrease in meat prices was the primary factor for the 12-month drop in overall agricultural prices.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: The price index for nonagricultural exports decreased 0.6 percent in November, following a 0.3-percent drop in October. In November, falling prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and automotive vehicles more than offset higher consumer goods prices. Nonagricultural prices fell 5.7 percent over the past year.

SELECTED NOVEMBER HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China declined 0.3 percent in November, matching a 0.3-percent decrease in May. Those were the largest monthly drops since the index fell 0.6 percent in May 2013. Import prices from China decreased 1.5 percent over the past 12 months, the largest year-over-year drop since the index declined 1.7 percent for the year ended in January 2010. The price indexes for imports from Canada, the European Union, and Mexico all fell in November declining 0.5 percent, 0.4 percent, and 0.3 percent, respectively. All were led by lower fuel prices. Prices for imports from Japan recorded no change for the second consecutive month in November.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices fell 0.9 percent in November, after declining 1.0 percent in October. Both declines were driven by lower prices for unfinished metals and chemicals. Prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials fell 10.5 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decrease since the index fell 11.3 percent between October 2008 and October 2009.

Finished Goods: The price indexes for capital goods and automotive vehicles each edged down 0.1 percent in November, following declines of 0.2 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively, the previous month. Capital goods prices fell 2.3 percent on a 12-month basis for the second consecutive month, the largest year-over- year declines since the index fell 2.4 percent in December 2002.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages declined 0.5 percent in November, after falling 1.1 percent in October. Both decreases were driven by lower vegetable prices.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares increased 3.7 percent in November, following a 5.2- percent rise the previous month. The November advance was led by a 5.1-percent increase in European fares which more than offset a 0.7-percent drop in Asian fares. Overall import air passenger fares fell 2.2 percent over the past 12 months despite the recent increases. Import air freight prices rose 0.8 percent in November and fell 1.5 percent over the past year.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 1.6 percent in November, following a 0.7-percent drop the previous month. Falling prices for fuel, metals, and chemicals drove the November decline.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices were mixed in November. Capital goods prices edged down 0.1 percent for the fourth consecutive month in November and have not recorded a monthly advance since the index rose 0.2 percent in February. Prices for automotive vehicles fell 0.2 percent. The last time the index fell more than 0.2 percent was a 0.3-percent drop in August 2012. In contrast, consumer goods prices ticked up 0.1 percent in November.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares declined 0.8 percent in November, following a 1.4- percent decrease in October and an 11.5-percent drop in September. The November decline was driven by a 1.0-percent decrease in Asian fares. Export air passenger fares fell 11.9 percent for the year ended in November. Export air freight prices rose 0.4 percent in November and decreased 1.1 percent over the past 12 months.

Import and Export Price Index data for December 2015 are scheduled for release on Thursday, January 14, 2016 at 8:30 a.m. (EST).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Dec 10, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierNov 10, 2015Publication referenceDec 10, 201530 days laterJan 9, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.87%Observed 3.95%Observed +8 bps vs. earlier reference3.97%Observed +2 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.2.13%Observed

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Sep 10, 2015 – Mar 10, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Dec 10, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.50%3.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Sep 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Sep 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Sep 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Oct 1, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Oct 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Oct 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Nov 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Nov 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Nov 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Dec 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Dec 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.96% · Dec 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Dec 31, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Jan 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Jan 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jan 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Jan 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.72% · Feb 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.62% · Feb 25, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Mar 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Mar 10, 201610-year Treasury: 2.24% · Jan 4, 201610-year Treasury: 2.25% · Jan 5, 201610-year Treasury: 2.18% · Jan 6, 201610-year Treasury: 2.16% · Jan 7, 201610-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jan 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.17% · Jan 11, 201610-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jan 12, 201610-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jan 13, 201610-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jan 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 15, 201610-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jan 19, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 20, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 21, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jan 22, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 25, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 26, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 27, 201610-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jan 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Jan 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Feb 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Feb 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Feb 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Feb 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Feb 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Feb 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Mar 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.90% · Mar 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.93% · Mar 10, 2016Sep 10, 2015Dec 10, 2015Mar 10, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury47 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,423.61/month

3.95% · Dec 10, 2015

At the later reference$1,427.06/month

3.97% · Jan 7, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $3.45 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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