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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2015 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices declined 1.2 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, driven by a drop in fuel prices. The December decrease followed a 0.5-percent fall the previous month. Prices for U.S. exports also…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices declined 1.2 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, driven by a drop in fuel prices. The December decrease followed a 0.5-percent fall the previous month. Prices for U.S. exports also decreased in December, declining 1.1 percent, after a 0.7-percent drop in November.

Imports

All Imports: Overall import prices fell 1.2 percent in December, the largest monthly drop for the index since a 1.8-percent decline in August. While most of the December decrease was attributable to falling fuel prices, nonfuel prices continued to trend down as well. Import prices fell 8.2 percent in 2015, the largest calendar-year decline since the index fell 10.1 percent in 2008.

Fuel Imports: Fuel prices decreased 9.5 percent in December, following a 3.5-percent drop in November. The December decline was the largest 1-month fall in the index since a 12.7-percent decrease in August and was led by a 10.0-percent drop in petroleum prices. Natural gas prices also declined in December, falling 6.8 percent. The price index for import fuel decreased 40.5 percent in 2015, after a 29.1-percent drop the previous year. The decline over the past 12 months was the largest calendar-year decrease in fuel prices since the index fell 47.0 percent in 2008. For the year ended in December, petroleum prices declined 41.3 percent and natural gas prices decreased 43.3 percent.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports fell 0.3 percent in December and have not recorded a monthly advance since the index rose 0.1 percent in July 2014. Lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages; and each of the major finished goods categories all contributed to the overall drop in nonfuel prices. The price index for nonfuel imports declined 3.4 percent over the past year, the biggest calendar-year drop since the index was first published in 2001.

Exports

All Exports: The price index for U.S. exports decreased 1.1 percent in December, the largest 1-month drop since a 1.4-percent decline in August. In December both agricultural and nonagricultural prices contributed to the overall decline. Prices for U.S. exports decreased 6.5 percent in 2015, the largest calendar-year drop since the index was first published in 1983.

Agricultural Exports: Prices for agricultural exports decreased 1.0 percent in December, following a 0.9- percent decrease in November. Nut prices, which fell 4.0 percent in December after a 6.1-percent decline the previous month, were the largest contributor to both the December and November drops in overall agricultural prices. In December, falling prices for wheat, corn, and meat also factored into the decrease. Agricultural export prices fell 13.0 percent over the past year, the third consecutive calendar-year decline and the largest since the index was first published in 1985.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural prices fell 1.0 percent in December, after a 0.7- percent decline the previous month. In December, lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and consumer goods all contributed to the overall drop in nonagricultural prices. Prices for nonagricultural exports decreased 5.9 percent in 2015, the largest calendar-year decline since the index was first published in 1985.

SELECTED DECEMBER HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: The price index for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in December and has not recorded a monthly increase since the index rose 0.1 percent in December 2014. Import prices from China declined 1.7 percent in 2015, the largest calendar-year decrease since the index fell 1.8 percent in 2009. Prices for imports from Japan declined 0.1 percent in December and 2.9 percent over the past year. The drop over the past 12 months followed decreases of 1.4 percent in 2014 and 3.4 percent in 2013. Import prices from Canada, the European Union, and Mexico also declined in December, falling 2.8 percent, 0.4 percent, and 0.7 percent, respectively. All three indexes were impacted by falling fuel prices.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 1.2 percent in December, following a 0.8-percent decline the previous month. Both drops were driven by lower unfinished metals prices which fell 3.3 percent in December and 2.6 percent in November.

Finished Goods: Each of the major finished goods areas declined in December. Prices for capital goods declined 0.3 percent, and the price indexes for both consumer goods and automotive vehicles edged down 0.1 percent. Capital goods prices fell 2.5 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since the index declined 2.6 percent in November 2002 and the biggest calendar-year decrease since the index declined 2.7 percent in 2001.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Import foods, feeds, and beverages prices edged down 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month in December. The December decline was led by lower prices for meat and food oils which more than offset rising prices for vegetables and fruits.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares declined 0.6 percent in December, following increases of 3.7 percent in November and 5.2 percent in October. The December decrease was driven by an 11.6- percent drop in European fares. Overall air passenger fares fell 9.9 percent in 2015, the largest calendar-year drop since the index was first published in 1989. Import air freight prices decreased 2.7 percent in December and 2.6 percent over the past year.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials declined 3.1 percent in December, led by an 8.6-percent drop in export fuel prices.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices were mostly down in December. Capital goods prices declined 0.2 percent in December. Prices for consumer goods fell 0.4 percent for the month, and 2.4 percent over the past 12 months. The decrease in 2015 was the largest calendar-year decline since the index was first published in 1983.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares advanced 4.1 percent in December, the largest increase since the index rose 8.3 percent in December 2014. Despite the advance, export air passenger fares declined 15.0 percent in 2015, the largest calendar-year drop since the index was first published in 1987. The price index for export air freight edged down 0.1 percent in December and increased 0.4 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Price Index data for January 2016 are scheduled for release on Friday, February 12, 2016 at 8:30 a.m. (EST).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 14, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 15, 2015Publication referenceJan 14, 201630 days laterFeb 13, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.95%Observed 3.92%Observed −3 bps vs. earlier reference3.65%Observed −27 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.2.10%Observed 1.74%Observed −36 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 14, 2015 – Apr 14, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 14, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.50%3.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Oct 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Oct 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Nov 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Nov 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Nov 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Dec 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Dec 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.96% · Dec 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Dec 31, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Jan 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Jan 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jan 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Jan 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.72% · Feb 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.62% · Feb 25, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Mar 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Mar 10, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Mar 17, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 24, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 31, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Apr 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Apr 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.24% · Jan 4, 201610-year Treasury: 2.25% · Jan 5, 201610-year Treasury: 2.18% · Jan 6, 201610-year Treasury: 2.16% · Jan 7, 201610-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jan 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.17% · Jan 11, 201610-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jan 12, 201610-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jan 13, 201610-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jan 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 15, 201610-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jan 19, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 20, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 21, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jan 22, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 25, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 26, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 27, 201610-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jan 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Jan 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Feb 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Feb 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Feb 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Feb 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Feb 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Feb 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Mar 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.90% · Mar 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.93% · Mar 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.98% · Mar 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.92% · Mar 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.89% · Mar 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Mar 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Mar 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Apr 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Apr 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Apr 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Apr 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Apr 14, 2016Oct 14, 2015Jan 14, 2016Apr 14, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury71 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,418.44/month

3.92% · Jan 14, 2016

At the later reference$1,372.38/month

3.65% · Feb 11, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $46.07 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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