Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

October 2015 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices declined 0.5 percent in October, after falling 0.6 percent the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower prices for both fuel and nonfuel imports contributed to the October decrease.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices declined 0.5 percent in October, after falling 0.6 percent the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower prices for both fuel and nonfuel imports contributed to the October decrease. Prices for U.S. exports fell 0.2 percent in October, following a 0.6-percent drop in September.

Imports

All Imports: Overall import prices decreased 0.5 percent in October, continuing a downward trend for the index in 2015. Prices for U.S. imports previously decreased 0.6 percent in September, 1.8 percent in August, and 0.9 percent in July. The price index for overall imports declined 10.5 percent between October 2014 and October 2015, after decreasing 2.1 percent for the year ending in October 2014.

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices decreased 2.0 percent in October, following a 5.4-percent decline the previous month. In October, both a 2.1-percent drop in petroleum prices and a 2.5-percent decrease in natural gas prices contributed to the overall drop in import fuel prices. Fuel prices declined 46.6 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for petroleum fell 48.0 percent for the year ending in October, while natural gas prices decreased 30.3 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Nonfuel import prices also continued to decline in October, falling 0.3 percent, after a 0.2-percent drop the previous month. The price index for nonfuel imports has not recorded a monthly advance since the index ticked up 0.1 percent in July 2014. In October, lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages; automotive vehicles; and capital goods all contributed to the overall decrease in nonfuel import prices. Nonfuel import prices declined 3.2 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop for the index since a 4.2-percent decrease between September 2008 and September 2009.

Exports

All Exports: The price index for U.S. exports declined 0.2 percent in October, following decreases of 0.6 percent in September and 1.4 percent in August. Lower prices for both agricultural exports and nonagricultural exports factored into the overall decrease in October. Overall export prices also declined over the past 12 months, decreasing 6.7 percent after a 0.7-percent decline for the year ending in October 2014.

Agricultural Exports: Prices for agricultural exports edged down 0.1 percent in October, after decreasing 1.3 percent the previous month. A 2.7-percent decline for meat prices led the October decrease, although lower prices for vegetables and nuts also contributed. In contrast, prices for wheat and corn rose in October, partially offsetting the declines. Agricultural export prices fell 11.8 percent over the past year, driven by declining prices for meat, soybeans, and wheat.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural export prices decreased 0.3 percent in October, following a 0.5-percent drop in September. In October, the decline was driven by lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles. The price index for nonagricultural exports declined 6.1 percent for the year ending in October.

SELECTED OCTOBER HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China edged down 0.1 percent in October, after falling 0.2 percent in September. Prices for imports from China have not recorded a monthly increase since the index ticked up 0.1 percent in December, and the index fell 1.4 percent over the past 12 months. Driven by lower fuel prices, the price indexes for imports from Canada and Mexico also declined in October, falling 1.0 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively. In contrast, import prices from the European Union ticked up 0.1 percent in October, while prices for imports from Japan recorded no change.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 1.0 percent in October, following a 0.9-percent drop in September. The October decline was led by a 5.9- percent decrease in fertilizer prices and a 2.9-percent fall in the price index for industrial organic chemicals. Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices fell 10.4 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decline since the index decreased 11.3 percent in October 2009.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods categories were mostly down in October. Automotive vehicles prices declined 0.3 percent while prices for capital goods decreased 0.1 percent. The drop in automotive vehicles prices was driven by a 3.1-percent decline in transport vehicles prices and was the largest monthly decrease since the index fell 0.4 percent in February. In contrast, consumer goods prices ticked up 0.1 percent in October.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: The price index for foods, feeds, and beverages decreased 1.0 percent in October, after a 0.7-percent decline the previous month. The October drop was led by an 8.0-percent decrease in meat prices and a 4.3-percent decline in vegetable prices.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares rose 5.2 percent in October, the first monthly advance since the index increased 8.9 percent in June. The index decreased 4.5 percent in September, 5.1 percent in August, and 4.1 percent in July. Despite the October upturn, import air passenger fares decreased 4.7 percent over the past 12 months. Import air freight prices advanced 6.5 percent in October, while the index declined 2.6 percent over the past year.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials decreased 0.7 percent in October, following a 1.6-percent decline the previous month. Both decreases were led by falling fuel prices, which decreased 1.5 percent in October and 5.0 percent in September.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices declined in October. Both the price indexes for consumer goods and automotive vehicles edged down 0.1 percent. Capital goods prices recorded no change for the second consecutive month in October.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares advanced 0.5 percent in October, after decreasing 10.6 percent in September. The October rise was driven by a 5.6-percent increase in Latin American/Caribbean fares. Despite the October increase, export air passenger fares fell 13.1 percent over the past year. The price index for export air freight declined 0.3 percent in October and 1.7 percent over the past 12 months.

Import and Export Price Index data for November 2015 are scheduled for release on Thursday, December 10, 2015 at 8:30 a.m. (EST).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Nov 10, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierOct 11, 2015Publication referenceNov 10, 201530 days laterDec 10, 2015
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.76%Observed 3.87%Observed +11 bps vs. earlier reference3.95%Observed +8 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Aug 10, 2015 – Feb 10, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Nov 10, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.50%3.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Aug 13, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Aug 20, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Aug 27, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Sep 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Sep 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Sep 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Sep 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Oct 1, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Oct 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Oct 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Nov 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Nov 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Nov 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Dec 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Dec 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.96% · Dec 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Dec 31, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Jan 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Jan 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jan 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Jan 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.72% · Feb 4, 201610-year Treasury: 2.24% · Jan 4, 201610-year Treasury: 2.25% · Jan 5, 201610-year Treasury: 2.18% · Jan 6, 201610-year Treasury: 2.16% · Jan 7, 201610-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jan 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.17% · Jan 11, 201610-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jan 12, 201610-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jan 13, 201610-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jan 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 15, 201610-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jan 19, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 20, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 21, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jan 22, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 25, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 26, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 27, 201610-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jan 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Jan 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Feb 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Feb 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 10, 2016Aug 10, 2015Nov 10, 2015Feb 10, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,409.85/month

3.87% · Nov 5, 2015

At the later reference$1,423.61/month

3.95% · Dec 10, 2015

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $13.76 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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