Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2025 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.2 percent in November and 0.1 percent in October. (See…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.2 percent in November and 0.1 percent in October. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand rose 3.0 percent in 2025 after moving up 3.5 percent in 2024.

The December increase in prices for final demand can be traced to a 0.7-percent advance in the index for final demand services. Prices for final demand goods were unchanged.

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 0.4 percent in December, the eighth consecutive increase. Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 3.5 percent in 2025 following a 3.6-percent advance in 2024.

Final Demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services advanced 0.7 percent in December, the largest increase since moving up 0.9 percent in July. Two-thirds of the broad-based December rise in prices for final demand services can be traced to a 1.7-percent jump in margins for final demand trade services. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) The indexes for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing and for final demand transportation and warehousing services also moved up, 0.3 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Over 40 percent of the December increase in prices for final demand services can be traced to a 4.5-percent rise in margins for machinery and equipment wholesaling. The indexes for guestroom rental; food and alcohol retailing; health, beauty, and optical goods retailing; portfolio management; and airline passenger services also advanced. Conversely, prices for bundled wired telecommunications access services fell 4.4 percent. The indexes for automotive fuels and lubricants retailing and for long-distance motor carrying also moved lower. (See table 2.)

Final demand goods: Prices for final demand goods were unchanged in December following a 0.8- percent increase in November. In December, a 0.4-percent advance in the index for final demand goods less foods and energy offset declines in prices for final demand energy and for final demand foods, which fell 1.4 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Within final demand goods in December, the index for nonferrous metals moved up 4.5 percent. Prices for residential natural gas, motor vehicles, soft drinks, and aircraft and aircraft equipment also increased. In contrast, the index for diesel fuel dropped 14.6 percent. Prices for gasoline, jet fuel, beef and veal, and iron and steel scrap also decreased.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in December, prices for processed goods edged down 0.1 percent, the index for unprocessed goods increased 2.3 percent, and prices for services advanced 0.7 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: Prices for processed goods for intermediate demand moved down 0.1 percent in December after rising 0.5 percent in November. A major factor in the decline was the index for processed energy goods, which fell 2.4 percent. Prices for processed foods and feeds decreased 1.3 percent. Conversely, the index for processed materials less foods and energy increased 0.7 percent. Prices for processed goods for intermediate demand rose 3.4 percent in 2025 following a 0.1-percent advance in 2024.

Product detail: Leading the December decline in prices for processed goods for intermediate demand, the index for diesel fuel dropped 14.6 percent. Prices for jet fuel, gasoline, agricultural chemicals and chemical products, and natural cheese (except cottage cheese) also fell. In contrast, the index for nonferrous mill shapes rose 2.6 percent. Prices for utility natural gas, electric power, and synthetic organic plasticizers also advanced.

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand moved up 2.3 percent in December, the largest increase since jumping 5.8 percent in January. More than three-fourths of the December rise can be traced to prices for unprocessed energy materials, which advanced 5.5 percent. The index for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy moved up 2.6 percent. Conversely, prices for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs decreased 0.6 percent. The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 0.3 percent in 2025 after rising 4.5 percent in 2024.

Product detail: A major factor in the December increase in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand was the index for natural gas, which jumped 34.8 percent. Prices for raw milk, nonferrous metal ores, nonferrous scrap, slaughter poultry, and slaughter cows and bulls also advanced. In contrast, the index for slaughter hogs declined 10.1 percent. Prices for crude petroleum and for carbon steel scrap also fell.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand moved up 0.7 percent in December, the largest increase since rising 0.7 percent in July. Nearly seventy percent of the broad-based advance in December can be traced to prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand, which climbed 0.7 percent. The indexes for trade services for intermediate demand and for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand also moved higher, 0.6 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively. Prices for services for intermediate demand rose 2.7 percent in 2025 following a 3.1-percent increase in 2024.

Product detail: Thirty percent of the December advance in the index for services for intermediate demand is attributable to a 10.1-percent increase in prices for gross rents for retail properties. The indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; deposit services (partial); portfolio management; guestroom rental; and courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services also moved higher. Conversely, prices for bundled wired telecommunications access services fell 4.4 percent. The indexes for food wholesaling and for long-distance motor carrying also decreased.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 4 intermediate demand rose 0.6 percent in December, the largest advance since moving up 0.8 percent in July. In December, the index for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand increased 0.9 percent, and prices for total goods inputs climbed 0.2 percent. (See table D.) Advances in the indexes for gross rents for retail properties, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, portfolio management, nonferrous metals, nonresidential property management fees, and gross rents for office buildings outweighed declines in prices for diesel fuel; hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds; and services related to securities brokerage and dealing (partial). The index for stage 4 intermediate demand rose 3.7 percent in 2025 after increasing 2.6 percent in 2024.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 0.2 percent in December after edging up 0.1 percent in November. In December, the index for total services inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand increased 0.4 percent. In contrast, prices for total goods inputs decreased 0.1 percent. Advances in the indexes for gross rents for retail properties; raw milk; nonferrous metals; courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services; slaughter poultry; and metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling outweighed declines in prices for diesel fuel, slaughter hogs, and cable network advertising time sales. The index for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 1.9 percent in 2025 following a 1.8-percent increase in 2024.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand advanced 1.4 percent in December, the largest increase since moving up 1.9 percent in January. In December, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand jumped 2.6 percent, and the index for total services inputs rose 0.5 percent. Advances in prices for gas fuels, nonferrous metals, deposit services (partial), guestroom rental, business loans (partial), and pipeline transportation of energy products outweighed decreases in the indexes for crude petroleum, automotive fuels and lubricants retailing, and food wholesaling. Prices for stage 2 intermediate demand increased 0.8 percent in 2025 after rising 2.2 percent in 2024.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 0.5 percent in December, the fourth consecutive advance. In December, the index for total services inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand moved up 1.0 percent. Conversely, prices for total goods inputs fell 0.1 percent. Increases in the indexes for gross rents for retail properties, guestroom rental, utility natural gas, nonferrous metals, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, and airline passenger services outweighed declines in prices for diesel fuel, services related to securities brokerage and dealing (partial), and agricultural chemicals and chemical products. The index for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 3.9 percent in 2025 following a 0.9-percent advance in 2024.

Effect of Federal Government Shutdown on PPI Data

The Federal government shutdown in October and November has significantly delayed the transmission of Producer Price Index (PPI) price-update requests. Price-update requests asking for information as of the December 9, 2025 pricing date were sent to PPI survey respondents on January 5, 2026. The response rate for December data reflected in this release is within the normal range, and no modifications to PPI methodology or procedures were necessary.

The effects of the government shutdown will continue to delay upcoming PPI data releases, with the January PPI data release rescheduled for February 27, 2026. Revised PPI release dates will be posted at www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm as they become available.

Recalculated Relative Importance Figures and Seasonal Adjustment Factors to be Available on February 27, 2026

Relative Importance Figure Tables for December 2025: * Final demand by individual commodities * Final demand by component series * Individual commodities of intermediate demand by commodity type * Component series of intermediate demand by commodity type * Individual commodities of intermediate demand by production flow * Component series of intermediate demand by production flow * Commodities, all levels * Wherever-provided services and construction

Seasonal Factor Update: * Direct seasonal factors for PPI commodity indexes for 2026 * Recalculated seasonal factors for the last 5 years (2021-2025) for PPI commodity indexes * Recalculated seasonal factors for the last 5 years (2021-2025) for PPI FD-ID indexes

Recalculated seasonal index data for 2021-2025 for the FD-ID and commodity indexes also will be posted to the PPI database on the BLS website on February 27, 2026, at 8:30 AM eastern time.

For additional information, contact the PPI Section of Index Analysis and Public Information at ppi-info@bls.gov or (202) 691-7705.

PPI Updates Commodity Weight Allocations for the Final Demand-Intermediate Demand Aggregation Structure

Effective with the release of data for January 2026 on February 27, 2026, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will update weight allocations used to calculate the Producer Price Index (PPI) Final Demand-Intermediate Demand (FD-ID) indexes to more accurately reflect recent sales patterns. The new allocations will be based primarily on data from the 2017 Input-Output (I-O) Accounts from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The allocations were previously based on the 2012 I-O of Accounts data. PPI commodity index weights continue to be based on shipment values from the 2017 economic census, which were applied in January 2023. It is the proportions of these commodity index weights allocated to the various FD-ID categories, including Final demand, Intermediate demand by commodity type, and Intermediate demand by production flow, that will be updated.

This allocation update will not change the PPI commodity classification system, reference base, the FD-ID aggregation structure, or historical index data. It may, however, result in substantial shifts in the relative importance figures of certain commodity components that make up the FD- ID indexes.

Relative importance figure tables for December 2025, which detail the shift in weight allocations, as well as price movements in 2025, will be available on February 27, 2026 on the BLS website at www.bls.gov/ppi/tables/. This information also may be requested from the PPI Section of Index Analysis and Public Information at ppi-info@bls.gov or (202) 691-7705.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 30, 2026.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 31, 2025Publication referenceJan 30, 202630 days laterMar 1, 2026
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.15%Observed 6.10%Observed −5 bps vs. earlier reference5.98%Observed −12 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.18%Observed 4.26%Observed +8 bps vs. earlier reference3.97%Observed −29 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 30, 2025 – Apr 30, 2026
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 30, 2026Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%5.00%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Oct 30, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Nov 6, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 13, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Nov 20, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.23% · Nov 26, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.19% · Dec 4, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Dec 11, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · Dec 18, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Dec 24, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Dec 31, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Jan 8, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.06% · Jan 15, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Jan 22, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.10% · Jan 29, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Feb 5, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Feb 12, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Feb 19, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Feb 26, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.00% · Mar 5, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Mar 12, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Mar 19, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.38% · Mar 26, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Apr 2, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Apr 9, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Apr 16, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.23% · Apr 23, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Apr 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.11% · Oct 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Oct 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Nov 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Nov 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.08% · Nov 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Nov 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Nov 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Nov 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.06% · Nov 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.04% · Nov 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Nov 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.00% · Nov 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.02% · Nov 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.09% · Dec 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.09% · Dec 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.06% · Dec 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Dec 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Dec 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Dec 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Dec 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Dec 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Dec 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.19% · Dec 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Dec 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.15% · Dec 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.16% · Dec 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Dec 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.16% · Dec 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Dec 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Dec 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.15% · Dec 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Dec 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Dec 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Dec 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Dec 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.19% · Jan 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.17% · Jan 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Jan 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Jan 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.19% · Jan 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Jan 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.19% · Jan 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Jan 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Jan 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.17% · Jan 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jan 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.22% · Jan 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Feb 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.28% · Feb 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Feb 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.21% · Feb 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.22% · Feb 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.22% · Feb 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.16% · Feb 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Feb 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Feb 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.04% · Feb 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Feb 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Feb 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.08% · Feb 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.08% · Feb 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.03% · Feb 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.04% · Feb 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Feb 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.02% · Feb 26, 202610-year Treasury: 3.97% · Feb 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Mar 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.06% · Mar 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Mar 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.13% · Mar 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Mar 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.12% · Mar 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Mar 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.21% · Mar 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.27% · Mar 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.28% · Mar 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.23% · Mar 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.20% · Mar 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Mar 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.25% · Mar 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · Mar 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Mar 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · Mar 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Mar 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · Mar 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.44% · Mar 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Mar 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Mar 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Apr 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Apr 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Apr 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.32% · Apr 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Apr 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.36% · Apr 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · Apr 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Apr 30, 2026Oct 30, 2025Jan 30, 2026Apr 30, 2026
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury125 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,817.98/month

6.10% · Jan 29, 2026

At the later reference$1,794.80/month

5.98% · Feb 26, 2026

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $23.19 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →