Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2025 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.9 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices were unchanged in June and moved up 0.4 percent in May. (See table A.) On…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.9 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices were unchanged in June and moved up 0.4 percent in May. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand advanced 3.3 percent for the 12 months ended in July, the largest 12-month increase since rising 3.4 percent in February 2025.

Within final demand, more than three-quarters of the broad-based advance in July can be traced to the index for final demand services, which rose 1.1 percent. Prices for final demand goods increased 0.7 percent.

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 0.6 percent in July, the largest increase since rising 0.9 percent in March 2022. For the 12 months ended in July, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services advanced 2.8 percent.

Final Demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services moved up 1.1 percent in July, the largest advance since rising 1.3 percent in March 2022. Over half of the broad-based July increase is attributable to margins for final demand trade services, which jumped 2.0 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing and for final demand transportation and warehousing services advanced 0.7 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Thirty percent of the July rise in prices for final demand services can be traced to margins for machinery and equipment wholesaling, which jumped 3.8 percent. The indexes for portfolio management; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; traveler accommodation services; automobiles retailing (partial); and truck transportation of freight also advanced. In contrast, prices for hospital outpatient care fell 0.5 percent. The indexes for furniture retailing and for pipeline transportation of energy products also declined. (See table 2.)

Final demand goods: Prices for final demand goods moved up 0.7 percent in July, the largest advance since rising 0.7 percent in January. Forty percent of the broad-based increase in July can be attributed to the index for final demand foods, which jumped 1.4 percent. Prices for final demand goods less foods and energy and for final demand energy moved up 0.4 percent and 0.9 percent, respectively.

Product detail: A quarter of the July advance in the index for final demand goods can be traced to prices for fresh and dry vegetables, which jumped 38.9 percent. The indexes for meats, diesel fuel, jet fuel, nonferrous scrap, and eggs for fresh use also rose. Conversely, prices for gasoline decreased 1.8 percent. The indexes for canned, cooked, smoked, or prepared poultry and for plastic resins and materials also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in July, prices for processed goods increased 0.8 percent, the index for unprocessed goods rose 1.8 percent, and prices for services advanced 0.8 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved up 0.8 percent in July, the largest increase since rising 1.0 percent in January. Leading the July advance, prices for processed energy goods jumped 2.2 percent. The index for processed materials less foods and energy moved up 0.5 percent. In contrast, prices for processed foods and feeds declined 0.1 percent. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand increased 2.1 percent, the largest 12-month advance since rising 2.1 percent in February 2023.

Product detail: Over half of the July increase in prices for processed goods for intermediate demand is attributable to the diesel fuel index, which jumped 11.8 percent. Prices for industrial electric power, jet fuel, meats, aluminum mill shapes, and commercial electric power also moved higher. Conversely, the index for canned, cooked, smoked, or prepared poultry fell 14.1 percent. Prices for natural gas to electric utilities and for cold rolled steel sheet and strip also decreased.

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand rose 1.8 percent in July after advancing 2.6 percent in June. In July, nearly two-thirds of the broad-based increase can be traced to prices for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs, which jumped 2.9 percent. The indexes for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy and for unprocessed energy materials also moved higher, rising 2.0 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in July, prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand advanced 0.5 percent.

Product detail: Over 30 percent of the July increase in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand is attributable to the index for raw milk, which jumped 9.1 percent. Prices for crude petroleum, nonferrous scrap, slaughter poultry, livestock, and corn also moved higher. In contrast, the natural gas index declined 2.1 percent. Prices for oilseeds and for recyclable paper also fell.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand rose 0.8 percent in July, the largest increase since moving up 0.8 percent in January 2024. More than half of the broad-based advance in July can be traced to prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand, which climbed 0.6 percent. The indexes for trade services for intermediate demand and for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand also moved up, 1.3 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in July, prices for services for intermediate demand rose 2.0 percent.

Product detail: Nearly 20 percent of the July increase in the index for services for intermediate demand can be attributed to a 3.2-percent advance in prices for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services. The indexes for portfolio management; courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services; food and alcohol wholesaling; data processing and related services; and metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling also rose. Conversely, prices for business loans (partial) fell 1.3 percent. The indexes for pipeline transportation of energy products and for building materials, paint, and hardware wholesaling also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: In July, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand advanced 0.8 percent, the largest rise since jumping 1.0 percent in January 2023. In July, the index for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand increased 1.0 percent, and prices for total goods inputs rose 0.5 percent. (See table D.) Advances in the indexes for portfolio management; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services; food and alcohol wholesaling; meats; and diesel fuel outweighed decreases in prices for natural gas to electric utilities, cherries, and business loans (partial). For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 2.6 percent, the largest 12-month increase since rising 2.6 percent in March 2025.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: In July, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand advanced 1.1 percent, the largest increase since moving up 1.2 percent in August 2023. In July, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand jumped 2.0 percent, and the index for total services inputs rose 0.5 percent. Increases in prices for diesel fuel; raw milk; jet fuel; courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services; slaughter poultry; and livestock outweighed declines in the indexes for freight forwarding, metal coating and allied services, and ungraded chicken eggs. For the 12 months ended in July, prices for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 2.1 percent, the largest 12-month advance since moving up 2.1 percent in February 2025.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: In July, prices for stage 2 intermediate demand advanced 0.5 percent after rising 0.9 percent in June. In July, the index for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand increased 0.6 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved up 0.4 percent. Advances in the indexes for crude petroleum, food and alcohol wholesaling, nonferrous scrap, data processing and related services, portfolio management, and carbon steel scrap outweighed declining prices for pipeline transportation of energy products, natural gas, and business loans (partial). For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand fell 0.2 percent.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand increased 1.1 percent in July, the largest advance since rising 1.3 percent in August 2023. In July, the index for total services inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand jumped 1.4 percent, and prices for total goods inputs moved up 0.8 percent. Increases in the indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; diesel fuel; data processing and related services; portfolio management; courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services; and traveler accommodation services outweighed decreasing indexes for natural gas to electric utilities; soybean cake and meal; and building materials, paint, and hardware wholesaling. For the 12 months ended in July, prices for stage 1 intermediate demand advanced 2.5 percent, the largest 12-month rise since moving up 3.8 percent in February 2023.

BLS Discontinues Selected PPIs

With the release of Producer Price Index (PPI) data for July 2025 on August 14, 2025, BLS has ended calculation and publication of 5 Final Demand-Intermediate Demand (FD-ID) indexes, listed below.

FD-ID code FD-ID Title FD49103 Final demand less foods, food and nonalcoholic beverages for immediate consumption, and energy FD49105 Final demand less foods and food and nonalcoholic beverages for immediate consumption FD49202 Total finished less foods, food and nonalcoholic beverages for immediate consumption, and energy FD49204 Total finished less foods and food and nonalcoholic beverages for immediate consumption ID69215 Nonfood materials excluding fuel for manufacturing, excluding selected items

In addition, with the release of July 2025 PPI data, BLS has stopped calculation and publication of about 350 PPIs from the industry, commodity, and special index categories. Details of these index eliminations are available at www.bls.gov/ppi/notices/2025/bls-to-discontinue-selected- ppis.htm.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 14, 2025.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 15, 2025Publication referenceAug 14, 202530 days laterSep 13, 2025
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.72%Observed 6.58%Observed −14 bps vs. earlier reference6.35%Observed −23 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.50%Observed 4.29%Observed −21 bps vs. earlier reference4.06%Observed −23 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 14, 2025 – Nov 14, 2025
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 14, 2025Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%5.25%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · May 15, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.86% · May 22, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · May 29, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.85% · Jun 5, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.84% · Jun 12, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jun 18, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Jun 26, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jul 3, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.72% · Jul 10, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.75% · Jul 17, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jul 24, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.72% · Jul 31, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Aug 7, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Aug 14, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Aug 21, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.56% · Aug 28, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.50% · Sep 4, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · Sep 11, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Sep 18, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Sep 25, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Oct 2, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Oct 9, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Oct 16, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.19% · Oct 23, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Oct 30, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Nov 6, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.53% · May 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · May 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.48% · May 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.58% · May 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.54% · May 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.51% · May 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · May 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · May 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.37% · Jun 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.36% · Jun 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.39% · Jun 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jun 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jun 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Jun 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jun 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Jun 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jun 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jul 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jul 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jul 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.42% · Jul 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jul 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jul 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jul 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jul 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.44% · Jul 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jul 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jul 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jul 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.42% · Jul 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jul 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jul 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.37% · Jul 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.27% · Aug 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.27% · Aug 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Aug 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Aug 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Aug 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.33% · Aug 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Aug 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Aug 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.33% · Aug 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.28% · Aug 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Aug 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.28% · Sep 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Sep 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Sep 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Sep 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Sep 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.08% · Sep 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.04% · Sep 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Sep 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.06% · Sep 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Sep 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.04% · Sep 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.06% · Sep 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Sep 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Sep 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.15% · Sep 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Sep 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.16% · Sep 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Sep 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.20% · Sep 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.15% · Sep 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.16% · Sep 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Oct 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Oct 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Oct 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Oct 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Oct 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Oct 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Oct 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Oct 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.03% · Oct 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Oct 15, 202510-year Treasury: 3.99% · Oct 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.00% · Oct 20, 202510-year Treasury: 3.98% · Oct 21, 202510-year Treasury: 3.97% · Oct 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Oct 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Oct 27, 202510-year Treasury: 3.99% · Oct 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.08% · Oct 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Oct 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Oct 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Nov 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Nov 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.08% · Nov 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Nov 14, 2025May 14, 2025Aug 14, 2025Nov 14, 2025
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,912.02/month

6.58% · Aug 14, 2025

At the later reference$1,866.71/month

6.35% · Sep 11, 2025

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $45.31 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →