Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2023 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for Final Demand decreased 0.1 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.3 percent in January and declined 0.2 percent in…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

The Producer Price Index for Final Demand decreased 0.1 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.3 percent in January and declined 0.2 percent in December 2022. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 4.6 percent for the 12 months ended in February.

In February, the decline in the final demand index was led by prices for final demand goods, which fell 0.2 percent. The index for final demand services edged down 0.1 percent.

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services increased 0.2 percent in February after rising 0.5 percent in January. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services advanced 4.4 percent.

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods fell 0.2 percent in February following a 1.2- percent advance in January. A 2.2-percent decline in prices for final demand foods was a major factor in the February decrease. The index for final demand energy moved down 0.2 percent. In contrast, prices for final demand goods less foods and energy rose 0.3 percent.

Product detail: Over 80 percent of the February decline in the index for final demand goods can be attributed to a 36.1-percent drop in prices for chicken eggs. The indexes for residential natural gas, fresh and dry vegetables, diesel fuel, home heating oil, and primary basic organic chemicals also fell. Conversely, prices for iron and steel scrap advanced 10.6 percent. The indexes for gasoline and for sugar and confectionery products also increased. (See table 2.)

Final demand services: The index for final demand services inched down 0.1 percent in February, the same as in January. Leading the February decline, margins for final demand trade services fell 0.8 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services decreased 1.1 percent. In contrast, the index for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing advanced 0.3 percent.

Product detail: A major factor in the February decrease in prices for final demand services was margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling, which fell 3.9 percent. The indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling, automobiles and automobile parts retailing, guestroom rental, and airline passenger services also declined. Conversely, prices for outpatient care (partial) rose 0.5 percent. The indexes for food and alcohol retailing; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; and loan services (partial) also increased.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in February, prices for processed goods fell 0.4 percent, the index for unprocessed goods declined 3.8 percent, and prices for services increased 0.3 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: Prices for processed goods for intermediate demand moved down 0.4 percent in February following a 1.1-percent increase in January. Over three-quarters of the decrease can be traced to the index for processed energy goods, which fell 1.6 percent. Prices for processed foods and feeds declined 1.9 percent. In contrast, the index for processed materials less foods and energy advanced 0.1 percent. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand rose 2.1 percent.

Product detail: Over half of the February decline in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand can be attributed to prices for diesel fuel, which fell 4.7 percent. The indexes for industrial electric power, primary basic organic chemicals, agricultural chemicals and chemical products, commercial natural gas, and steel pipe and tube also moved lower. Conversely, prices for thermoplastic resins and materials rose 1.8 percent. The indexes for gasoline and for sugar and confectionery products also moved higher.

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 3.8 percent in February following a 6.3-percent decrease in January. Leading the February decline, prices for unprocessed energy materials moved down 9.1 percent. The index for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs fell 1.1 percent. In contrast, prices for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy advanced 1.2 percent. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand decreased 10.9 percent, the first 12-month decline since October 2020.

Product detail: A major factor in the decrease in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand was the index for natural gas, which dropped 41.4 percent. Prices for ungraded chicken eggs, raw milk, fresh fruits and melons, fresh vegetables (except potatoes), and slaughter cattle also declined. Conversely, the index for iron and steel scrap increased 10.6 percent. Prices for crude petroleum and for slaughter chickens also advanced.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand moved up 0.3 percent in February following a 0.7-percent increase in January. The February advance can be traced to a 0.6-percent rise in prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand. In contrast, the indexes for trade services for intermediate demand and for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand fell 0.7 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for services for intermediate demand increased 6.0 percent.

Product detail: Leading the advance in the index for services for intermediate demand, prices for loan services (partial) rose 8.3 percent. The indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; legal services; staffing services; warehousing, storage, and related services; and gross rents for office buildings also moved higher. Conversely, margins for chemicals and allied products wholesaling decreased 5.7 percent. Prices for gross rents for retail properties and for arrangement of freight and cargo transportation also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: The index for stage 4 intermediate demand was unchanged in February after increasing 0.9 percent in January. In February, prices for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand edged up 0.1 percent, while the index for total goods inputs was unchanged. (See table D.) Advances in prices for loan services (partial); securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; gasoline; warehousing, storage, and related services; and gross rents for office buildings offset decreases in the indexes for gross rents for retail properties, chemicals and allied products wholesaling, industrial electric power, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, and diesel fuel. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 4.8 percent.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: The index for stage 3 intermediate demand decreased 0.2 percent in February after inching up 0.1 percent in January. In February, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand declined 0.7 percent. In contrast, the index for total services inputs rose 0.2 percent. Falling prices for raw milk, television advertising time sales, diesel fuel, ungraded chicken eggs, gross rents for retail properties, and primary basic organic chemicals outweighed increases in the indexes for loan services (partial), slaughter chickens, and staffing services. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for stage 3 intermediate demand advanced 2.3 percent.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 2 intermediate demand fell 1.0 percent in February following a 1.9-percent decline in January. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand dropped 3.7 percent. Conversely, prices for total services inputs moved up 1.2 percent. Decreases in the indexes for natural gas, chemicals and allied products wholesaling, deposit services (partial), primary basic organic chemicals, food wholesaling, and arrangement of freight and cargo transportation outweighed rising prices for loan services (partial), crude petroleum, and iron and steel scrap. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand moved down 1.0 percent, the first 12-month decline since October 2020.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand decreased 0.4 percent in February after rising 0.7 percent in January. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand moved down 0.6 percent, and prices for total services inputs fell 0.3 percent. Declines in the indexes for diesel fuel, gross rents for retail properties, chemicals and allied products wholesaling, primary basic organic chemicals, industrial electric power, and agricultural chemicals and chemical products outweighed increases in prices for securities brokerage, dealing, and investment advice; iron and steel scrap; and gasoline. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 1 intermediate demand advanced 3.6 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 15, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 13, 2023Publication referenceMar 15, 202330 days laterApr 14, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.12%Observed 6.73%Observed +61 bps vs. earlier reference6.27%Observed −46 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.72%Observed 3.51%Observed −21 bps vs. earlier reference3.52%Observed +1 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 15, 2022 – Jun 15, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 15, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%5.00%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Dec 15, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Dec 22, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Dec 29, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jan 5, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Jan 12, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Jan 19, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Jan 26, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Feb 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.12% · Feb 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Feb 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.50% · Feb 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Mar 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Mar 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.60% · Mar 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Mar 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Mar 30, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Apr 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Apr 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · Apr 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Apr 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 4, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · May 11, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 18, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.57% · May 25, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jun 1, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 8, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · Dec 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.48% · Dec 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Dec 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Dec 20, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Dec 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Dec 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.75% · Dec 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.84% · Dec 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Dec 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jan 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jan 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jan 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jan 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Jan 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Jan 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · Jan 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Jan 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Jan 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Feb 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Feb 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Feb 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.63% · Feb 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.67% · Feb 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.63% · Feb 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.67% · Feb 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Feb 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Feb 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Feb 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Feb 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Feb 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.82% · Feb 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Feb 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Feb 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.88% · Feb 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Feb 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Mar 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Mar 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Mar 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Mar 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · Mar 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.51% · Mar 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.56% · Mar 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Mar 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.47% · Mar 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · Mar 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Mar 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Mar 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.35% · Apr 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Apr 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.45% · Apr 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.58% · Apr 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Apr 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Apr 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Apr 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Apr 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · Apr 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · May 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · May 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · May 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · May 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · May 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · May 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · May 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · May 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.50% · May 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · May 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · May 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.65% · May 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · May 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · May 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · May 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · May 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · May 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · May 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jun 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Jun 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jun 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jun 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jun 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jun 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 15, 2023Dec 15, 2022Mar 15, 2023Jun 15, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,941.81/month

6.73% · Mar 9, 2023

At the later reference$1,851.06/month

6.27% · Apr 13, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $90.75 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →