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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

June 2019 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand advanced 0.1 percent in June, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 0.1 percent in May and 0.2 percent in April. (See table A.) On…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Producer Price Index for final demand advanced 0.1 percent in June, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 0.1 percent in May and 0.2 percent in April. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 1.7 percent for the 12 months ended in June, the lowest rate of increase since advancing 1.7 percent in January 2017.

In June, the rise in final demand prices is attributable to a 0.4-percent increase in the index for final demand services. Conversely, prices for final demand goods fell 0.4 percent.

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services was unchanged in June following advances of 0.4 percent in both April and May. For the 12 months ended in June, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services climbed 2.1 percent.

Final Demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services rose 0.4 percent in June, the largest increase since climbing 0.8 percent in October 2018. Most of the June advance is attributable to margins for final demand trade services, which moved up 1.3 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services rose 0.3 percent, while the index for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing was unchanged.

Product detail: Over a quarter of the June increase in prices for final demand services can be traced to margins for fuels and lubricants retailing, which jumped 12.2 percent. The indexes for health, beauty, and optical goods retailing; apparel, footwear, and accessories retailing; machinery, equipment, parts, and supplies wholesaling; loan services (partial); and truck transportation of freight also moved higher. In contrast, prices for traveler accommodation services fell 4.0 percent. The indexes for jewelry retailing and airline passenger services also declined. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: Prices for final demand goods moved down 0.4 percent in June, the largest decrease since falling 0.6 percent in January. The June decline is attributable to a 3.1-percent drop in the index for final demand energy. Conversely, prices for final demand foods climbed 0.6 percent. The index for final demand goods less foods and energy was unchanged.

Product detail: Nearly 60 percent of the June decrease in the index for final demand goods can be traced to a 5.0-percent decline in prices for gasoline. The indexes for diesel fuel, meats, liquefied petroleum gas, iron and steel scrap, and residual fuels also moved lower. In contrast, corn prices rose 19.9 percent. The indexes for ethanol and residential electric power also increased.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in June, prices for processed goods declined 1.1 percent, the index for unprocessed goods fell 3.3 percent, and prices for services advanced 0.2 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved down 1.1 percent in June, the largest decline since falling 1.2 percent in December 2018. Most of the broad-based decrease in June can be traced to prices for processed energy goods, which dropped 4.9 percent. The indexes for processed materials less foods and energy and for processed foods and feeds moved down 0.1 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in June, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand decreased 2.1 percent, the largest decline since falling 3.0 percent for the 12 months ended in August 2016.

Product detail: About half of the June decline in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand can be attributed to diesel fuel prices, which dropped 13.3 percent. The indexes for gasoline, steel mill products, electric power, liquefied petroleum gas, and meats also moved lower. Conversely, prices for ethanol advanced 14.7 percent. The indexes for lubricating oil base stocks and prepared animal feeds also increased. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 3.3 percent in June following a 5.1-percent decrease in May. Most of the broad-based June decline is attributable to prices for unprocessed energy materials, which moved down 7.5 percent. The indexes for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy and for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs fell 0.5 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in June, prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand dropped 11.0 percent, the largest decline since decreasing 12.8 percent for the 12 months ended in May 2016.

Product detail: Leading the June decline in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand, crude petroleum prices dropped 14.7 percent. The indexes for slaughter hogs, slaughter poultry, iron and steel scrap, hay and hayseeds, and wastepaper also moved lower. In contrast, prices for corn jumped 19.9 percent. The indexes for natural gas and gold ores also advanced.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand rose 0.2 percent in June after no change in May. Over three-quarters of the broad-based increase can be attributed to margins for trade services for intermediate demand, which advanced 1.1 percent. Prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand and for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand both inched up 0.1 percent. For the 12 months ended in June, the index for services for intermediate demand rose 2.6 percent.

Product detail: In June, a major factor in the advance in the index for services for intermediate demand was margins for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, which moved up 2.5 percent. The indexes for nonresidential real estate rents, loan services (partial), fuels and lubricants retailing, truck transportation of freight, and paper and plastics products wholesaling also rose. Conversely, prices for portfolio management dropped 1.8 percent. The indexes for architectural and engineering services and for hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing also decreased.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: The index for stage 4 intermediate demand declined 0.1 percent in June following a 0.2-percent decrease in the previous month. In June, prices for total goods inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand moved down 0.5 percent. In contrast, the index for total services inputs increased 0.4 percent. (See table D.) Lower prices for diesel fuel, portfolio management, electric power, gasoline, and architectural and engineering services outweighed increases in the indexes for nonresidential real estate rents, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, corn, and loan services (partial). (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in June, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 1.4 percent.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: The index for stage 3 intermediate demand declined 0.6 percent in June, the largest decrease since falling 1.2 percent in December 2018. In June, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand dropped 1.8 percent. Conversely, the index for total services inputs advanced 0.4 percent. Decreasing prices for slaughter hogs, gasoline, slaughter poultry, diesel fuel, jet fuel, and architectural and engineering services outweighed increases in the indexes for nonresidential real estate rents, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, and raw milk. For the 12 months ended in June, prices for stage 3 intermediate demand fell 0.5 percent, the largest decline since moving down 1.8 percent for the 12 months ended in October 2016.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand decreased 1.3 percent in June following a 1.1-percent decline in May. In June, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand dropped 2.7 percent, and the index for total services inputs fell 0.3 percent. Lower prices for crude petroleum, liquefied petroleum gas, portfolio management, cable network advertising time sales, diesel fuel, and traveler accommodation services outweighed increases in the indexes for corn; thermoplastic resins and materials; and securities brokerage, dealing, and investment advice. For the 12 months ended in June, prices for stage 2 intermediate demand declined 3.3 percent, the largest drop since decreasing 3.3 percent for the 12 months ended in April 2016.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: The index for stage 1 intermediate demand declined 1.0 percent in June, the same as in May. In June, prices for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand decreased 2.2 percent. In contrast, the index for total services inputs rose 0.4 percent. Lower prices for diesel fuel, iron and steel scrap, crude petroleum, wastepaper, electric power, and traveler accommodation services outweighed rising indexes for nonresidential real estate rents, corn, and ethanol. For the 12 months ended in June, prices for stage 1 intermediate demand declined 2.8 percent, the largest decrease since falling 3.1 percent for 12 months ended in July 2016.

Resampling of Industries

Effective with the release of data for June 2019, the Producer Price Index (PPI) includes data for 17 resampled industries classified according to the 2017 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). The Bureau of Labor Statistics periodically updates the sample of producers providing data for the PPI to reflect current conditions more accurately when the structure, membership, technology, or product mix of an industry shifts. The first results of this systematic process were published in July 1986. Subsequent efforts have been completed at regular intervals.

For information on index additions, deletions, and recodes effective June 2019, see the current issue of the PPI Detailed Report online at www.bls.gov/ppi/ppidr201906.pdf, or contact the PPI Section of Index Analysis and Public Information at ppi-info@bls.gov or (202) 691-7705.

NAICS Code Industry 213113 Support activities for coal mining 236222 New school building construction 423100 Motor vehicle and parts merchant wholesalers* 423200 Furniture and home furnishing merchant wholesalers* 423300 Lumber and other construction materials merchant wholesalers* 423400 Professional and commercial equipment and supplies merchant wholesalers* 423500 Metal and mineral (except petroleum) merchant wholesalers* 423600 Household appliances and electrical and electronic goods merchant wholesalers* 423700 Hardware, plumbing, and heating equipment and supplies merchant wholesalers* 423800 Machinery and supply merchant wholesalers* 423900 Miscellaneous durable goods, except recyclable material, merchant wholesalers* 442110 Furniture stores 442210 Floor covering stores 488330 Navigational services to shipping 488510 Freight transportation arrangement 531130 Miniwarehouse and self-storage unit operators 623210 Residential developmental disability homes

* These retail trade industries were formerly organized under a single NAICS code, 423000.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jul 12, 2019.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJun 12, 2019Publication referenceJul 12, 201930 days laterAug 11, 2019
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.82%Observed 3.75%Observed −7 bps vs. earlier reference3.60%Observed −15 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.13%Observed 2.12%Observed −1 bps vs. earlier reference1.74%Observed −38 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Apr 12, 2019 – Oct 12, 2019
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jul 12, 2019Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.75%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.17% · Apr 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Apr 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · May 2, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · May 9, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.07% · May 16, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.06% · May 23, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · May 30, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Jun 6, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Jun 13, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Jun 20, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Jun 27, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 11, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jul 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Aug 1, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 8, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 15, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.55% · Aug 22, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Aug 29, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.49% · Sep 5, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Sep 12, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Sep 19, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Sep 26, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Oct 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Oct 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.56% · Apr 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · Apr 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.60% · Apr 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.53% · Apr 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · May 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · May 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · May 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · May 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.49% · May 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.47% · May 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.40% · May 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.42% · May 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.37% · May 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.40% · May 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · May 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · May 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.43% · May 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · May 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.31% · May 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.32% · May 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.26% · May 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.25% · May 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.22% · May 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.14% · May 31, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jun 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jun 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jun 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jun 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jun 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jun 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jun 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jun 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jun 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jun 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jun 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jun 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jul 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.98% · Jul 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.96% · Jul 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.04% · Jul 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jul 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jul 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jul 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jul 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.04% · Jul 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jul 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Aug 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.86% · Aug 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Aug 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Aug 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.71% · Aug 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Aug 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Aug 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.65% · Aug 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.68% · Aug 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 14, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.60% · Aug 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Aug 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.49% · Aug 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Aug 28, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.63% · Sep 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Sep 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Sep 11, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Sep 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Sep 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Sep 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.81% · Sep 17, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Sep 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Sep 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Sep 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Sep 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.64% · Sep 24, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Sep 25, 201910-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.69% · Sep 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.68% · Sep 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.60% · Oct 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Oct 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.56% · Oct 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.67% · Oct 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 11, 2019Apr 12, 2019Jul 12, 2019Oct 12, 2019
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,389.35/month

3.75% · Jul 11, 2019

At the later reference$1,363.94/month

3.60% · Aug 8, 2019

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $25.41 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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