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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2016 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand decreased 0.4 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.5 percent in June and 0.4 percent in May. On an unadjusted…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Producer Price Index for final demand decreased 0.4 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.5 percent in June and 0.4 percent in May. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved down 0.2 percent for the 12 months ended in July. (See table A.)

In July, the decline in the final demand index was led by prices for final demand services, which fell 0.3 percent. The index for final demand goods decreased 0.4 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services were unchanged in July after rising 0.3 percent in June. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services increased 0.8 percent.

Final Demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services fell 0.3 percent in July, the largest decline since moving down 0.3 percent in March. The July decrease can be traced to margins for final demand trade services, which fell 1.3 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Conversely, prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing advanced 0.2 percent, and the index for final demand transportation and warehousing services increased 0.1 percent.

Product detail: Nearly 60 percent of the decrease in prices for final demand services is attributable to margins for apparel, jewelry, footwear, and accessories retailing, which fell 6.0 percent. The indexes for machinery and equipment wholesaling; health, beauty, and optical goods retailing; food retailing; loan services (partial); and automotive fuels and lubricants retailing also declined. In contrast, prices for traveler accommodation services climbed 3.9 percent. The indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling and for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services also moved higher. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods declined 0.4 percent in July following three straight increases. Almost half of the decrease can be traced to prices for final demand foods, which fell 1.1 percent. The index for final demand energy moved down 1.0 percent. Prices for final demand goods less foods and energy were unchanged.

Product detail: A major factor in the decrease in the index for final demand goods was prices for beef and veal, which fell 9.8 percent. Prices for gasoline, corn, motor vehicles, oilseeds, and iron and steel scrap also moved lower. Conversely, the index for utility natural gas advanced 4.3 percent. Prices for eggs for fresh use and nonferrous scrap also increased.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in July, prices for processed goods increased 0.2 percent, the index for unprocessed goods fell 0.4 percent, and prices for services rose 0.3 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved up 0.2 percent in July, the third consecutive advance. Nearly three-quarters of the July increase can be traced to prices for processed energy goods, which rose 0.8 percent. The index for processed materials less foods and energy inched up 0.1 percent. Prices for processed foods and feeds were unchanged. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand fell 3.7 percent.

Product detail: About half of the July advance in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand can be attributed to prices for utility natural gas, which increased 4.3 percent. The indexes for lubricating oil base stocks, residual fuels, industrial electric power, semifinished steel mill products, and natural cheese (except cottage cheese) also moved higher. Conversely, prices for gasoline dropped 6.6 percent. The indexes for primary basic organic chemicals and for beef and veal also decreased. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand declined 0.4 percent in July following four straight increases. Most of the decrease can be traced to a 3.6-percent drop in prices for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs. The index for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy moved down 0.8 percent. In contrast, prices for unprocessed energy materials rose 5.0 percent. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 8.7 percent.

Product detail: Leading the July decrease in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand, the index for corn dropped 22.2 percent. Prices for crude petroleum, oilseeds, slaughter livestock, coal, and iron and steel scrap also moved lower. Conversely, the index for natural gas surged 40.3 percent. Prices for nonferrous metal ores and raw milk also advanced.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand increased 0.3 percent in July following a 0.8-percent rise in June. Nearly 60 percent of the broad-based July advance can be traced to prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand, which climbed 0.2 percent. The indexes for trade services for intermediate demand and for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand moved up 0.4 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for services for intermediate demand increased 1.6 percent.

Product detail: About three-fifths of the July increase in the index for services for intermediate demand is attributable to prices for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services, which rose 1.9 percent. The indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling; television advertising time sales; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; deposit services (partial); and courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services also increased. In contrast, prices for loan services (partial) fell 1.5 percent. The indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling and for passenger car rental also decreased.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: The index for stage 4 intermediate demand was unchanged in July after increasing 0.7 percent in June. In July, prices for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand rose 0.1 percent. Conversely, the index for total goods inputs fell 0.1 percent. Increases in the indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; industrial electric power; and natural cheese (except cottage cheese) offset declines in the indexes for corn, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, beef and veal, gasoline, and loan services (partial). For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 4 intermediate demand moved down 0.5 percent. Stage 3 intermediate demand: The index for stage 3 intermediate demand was unchanged in July after increasing 0.9 percent in June. In July, the index for total services inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand rose 0.3 percent. In contrast, prices for total goods inputs declined 0.3 percent. Increases in the indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; raw milk; chemicals and allied products wholesaling; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; and courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services offset lower prices for gasoline, primary basic organic chemicals, slaughter livestock, agricultural chemicals and chemical products, and passenger car rental. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand decreased 3.9 percent.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand rose 0.7 percent in July, the fifth consecutive increase. In July, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand moved up 1.1 percent. The index for total services inputs advanced 0.5 percent. Higher prices for natural gas; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; cable network advertising time sales; thermoplastic resins and materials; semifinished steel mill products; and lubricating oil base stocks outweighed decreases in the indexes for crude petroleum, oilseeds, and portfolio management. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand fell 0.6 percent.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: The index for stage 1 intermediate demand was unchanged in July after increasing 1.2 percent in June. In July, the index for total services inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand advanced 0.3 percent. Conversely, prices for total goods inputs fell 0.1 percent. Increases in the indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling; natural gas; nonferrous scrap; diesel fuel; and securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services offset declining prices for primary basic organic chemicals, corn, iron and steel scrap, loan services (partial), and gasoline. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for stage 1 intermediate demand fell 3.2 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 12, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 13, 2016Publication referenceAug 12, 201630 days laterSep 11, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.41%Observed 3.45%Observed +4 bps vs. earlier reference3.44%Observed −1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.48%Observed 1.51%Observed +3 bps vs. earlier reference1.67%Observed +16 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 12, 2016 – Nov 12, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 12, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.50%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · May 12, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · May 19, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · May 26, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jun 2, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Jun 9, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Jun 16, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Jun 23, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jun 30, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.41% · Jul 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Jul 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Jul 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jul 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Aug 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 25, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.46% · Sep 1, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.44% · Sep 8, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.50% · Sep 15, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Sep 22, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Sep 29, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Oct 6, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 13, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.52% · Oct 20, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 27, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Nov 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Nov 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · May 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · May 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · May 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jun 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jun 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Jun 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Jun 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Jun 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.64% · Jun 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jun 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Jun 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Jun 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jun 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.40% · Jul 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.43% · Jul 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jul 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jul 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Jul 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Aug 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Sep 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.54% · Sep 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.61% · Sep 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Sep 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Sep 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Sep 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Sep 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Sep 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.66% · Sep 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Sep 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Sep 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Sep 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Sep 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Oct 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Oct 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Oct 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Oct 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Oct 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Oct 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Oct 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.82% · Nov 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Nov 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Nov 9, 201610-year Treasury: 2.15% · Nov 10, 2016May 12, 2016Aug 12, 2016Nov 12, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,338.77/month

3.45% · Aug 11, 2016

At the later reference$1,337.11/month

3.44% · Sep 8, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.67 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →