Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

August 2016 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices declined 0.4 percent in July and rose 0.5 percent in June. On an unadjusted…

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The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices declined 0.4 percent in July and rose 0.5 percent in June. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index was unchanged for the 12 months ended in August. (See table A.)

In August, a 0.1-percent advance in the index for final demand services offset a 0.4-percent decrease in prices for final demand goods.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services increased 0.3 percent in August after no change in July. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 1.2 percent, the largest rise since climbing 1.3 percent for the 12 months ended December 2014.

Final Demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services edged up 0.1 percent in August following a 0.3-percent decline in July. The advance can be traced to prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing, which increased 0.5 percent. In contrast, the index for final demand trade services fell 0.6 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services moved down 0.4 percent.

Product detail: Within the index for final demand services in August, prices for outpatient care (partial) advanced 0.5 percent. The indexes for apparel, jewelry, footwear, and accessories retailing; guestroom rental; portfolio management; and residential real estate services (partial) also moved higher. Conversely, margins for machinery and equipment wholesaling decreased 2.9 percent. The indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling, services related to securities brokerage and dealing, and airline passenger services also declined. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods fell 0.4 percent in August, the same as in July. Eighty percent of the August decrease can be traced to a 1.6-percent drop in prices for final demand foods. Also contributing to the decline in the index for final demand goods, prices for final demand energy moved down 0.8 percent. In contrast, the index for final demand goods less foods and energy inched up 0.1 percent.

Product detail: Thirty percent of the August decrease in the index for final demand goods is attributable to a 3.6-percent drop in prices for meats. The indexes for gasoline, fresh and dry vegetables, jet fuel, chicken eggs, and diesel fuel also fell. Conversely, prices for pharmaceutical preparations increased 1.0 percent. The indexes for electric power and natural, processed, and imitation cheese also rose.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in August, prices for processed goods inched down 0.1 percent, the index for unprocessed goods fell 2.8 percent, and prices for services were unchanged. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand edged down 0.1 percent in August following four straight increases. Leading the decrease, prices for processed energy goods fell 1.1 percent. The index for processed foods and feeds declined 1.9 percent. In contrast, prices for processed materials less foods and energy advanced 0.3 percent. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand fell 3.1 percent.

Product detail: Leading the August decline in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand, prices for diesel fuel decreased 6.1 percent. The indexes for prepared animal feeds, jet fuel, meats, and semifinished steel mill products also moved lower. Conversely, prices for primary basic organic chemicals advanced 8.5 percent. The indexes for electric power; cold rolled steel sheet and strip; and natural, processed, and imitation cheese also increased. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand moved down 2.8 percent in August, the largest decline since falling 3.9 percent in December 2015. Nearly 80 percent of the August decrease can be traced to a 6.8-percent drop in the index for unprocessed energy materials. Prices for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs moved down 1.8 percent. In contrast, the index for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy advanced 0.8 percent. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 8.4 percent.

Product detail: Nearly half of the August decline in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand is attributable to the index for crude petroleum, which fell 9.1 percent. Prices for natural gas, slaughter poultry, slaughter barrows and gilts, coal, and carbon steel scrap also moved lower. Conversely, the index for nonferrous metal ores advanced 4.1 percent. Prices for raw milk and corn also moved higher.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand was unchanged in August following two consecutive increases. In August, prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand rose 0.4 percent and the index for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand edged up 0.1 percent. In contrast, margins for trade services for intermediate demand declined 1.3 percent. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for services for intermediate demand increased 1.4 percent.

Product detail: In August, prices for portfolio management climbed 2.8 percent. The indexes for loan services (partial); broadcast and network television advertising time sales; courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services; and machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling also advanced. Conversely, margins for chemicals and allied products wholesaling fell 5.2 percent. The indexes for services related to securities brokerage and dealing; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; food wholesaling; and airline passenger services also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: The index for stage 4 intermediate demand was unchanged in August, the same as in July. In August, prices for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand edged up 0.1 percent. The index for total goods inputs was unchanged. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for portfolio management; loan services (partial); legal services; machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; and natural, processed, and imitation cheese offset declines in the indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling; diesel fuel; services related to securities brokerage and dealing; meats; and metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling. (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in August, the index for stage 4 intermediate demand fell 0.3 percent.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: The index for stage 3 intermediate demand declined 0.6 percent in August, the first decrease since falling 0.8 percent in February. In August, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand moved down 0.7 percent and the index for total services inputs declined 0.3 percent. Decreases in the indexes for slaughter poultry, jet fuel, slaughter barrows and gilts, gasoline, chemicals and allied products wholesaling, and services related to securities brokerage and dealing outweighed increases in prices for raw milk, primary basic organic chemicals, and loan services (partial). For the 12 months ended in August, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand decreased 3.9 percent.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand declined 0.7 percent in August following five consecutive increases. In August, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand fell 1.9 percent. In contrast, the index for total services inputs edged up 0.1 percent. Lower prices for crude petroleum, gas fuels, services related to securities brokerage and dealing, prepared animal feeds, thermoplastic resins and materials, and semifinished steel mill products outweighed increases in the indexes for portfolio management, legal services, and cold rolled steel sheet and strip. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand inched down 0.1 percent.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: The index for stage 1 intermediate demand declined 0.3 percent in August, the first decrease since dropping 0.8 percent in February. In August, prices for total services inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand fell 0.4 percent and the index for total goods inputs moved down 0.3 percent. Declines in the indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling; diesel fuel; carbon steel scrap; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; services related to securities brokerage and dealing; and crude petroleum outweighed increases in prices for primary basic organic chemicals, loan services (partial), and wastepaper. For the 12 months ended in August, the stage 1 intermediate demand index decreased 2.5 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Sep 15, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierAug 16, 2016Publication referenceSep 15, 201630 days laterOct 15, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.45%Observed 3.50%Observed +5 bps vs. earlier reference3.47%Observed −3 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.57%Observed 1.71%Observed +14 bps vs. earlier reference1.80%Observed +9 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jun 15, 2016 – Dec 15, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Sep 15, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.75%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Jun 16, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Jun 23, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jun 30, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.41% · Jul 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Jul 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Jul 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jul 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Aug 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 25, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.46% · Sep 1, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.44% · Sep 8, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.50% · Sep 15, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Sep 22, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Sep 29, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Oct 6, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 13, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.52% · Oct 20, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 27, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Nov 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Nov 10, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Nov 17, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.03% · Nov 23, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Dec 1, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.13% · Dec 8, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.16% · Dec 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jun 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Jun 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Jun 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jun 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.40% · Jul 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.43% · Jul 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jul 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jul 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Jul 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Aug 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Sep 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.54% · Sep 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.61% · Sep 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Sep 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Sep 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Sep 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Sep 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Sep 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.66% · Sep 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Sep 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Sep 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Sep 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Sep 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Oct 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Oct 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Oct 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Oct 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Oct 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Oct 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Oct 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.82% · Nov 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Nov 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Nov 9, 201610-year Treasury: 2.15% · Nov 10, 201610-year Treasury: 2.23% · Nov 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.23% · Nov 15, 201610-year Treasury: 2.22% · Nov 16, 201610-year Treasury: 2.29% · Nov 17, 201610-year Treasury: 2.34% · Nov 18, 201610-year Treasury: 2.33% · Nov 21, 201610-year Treasury: 2.31% · Nov 22, 201610-year Treasury: 2.36% · Nov 23, 201610-year Treasury: 2.36% · Nov 25, 201610-year Treasury: 2.32% · Nov 28, 201610-year Treasury: 2.30% · Nov 29, 201610-year Treasury: 2.37% · Nov 30, 201610-year Treasury: 2.45% · Dec 1, 201610-year Treasury: 2.40% · Dec 2, 201610-year Treasury: 2.39% · Dec 5, 201610-year Treasury: 2.39% · Dec 6, 201610-year Treasury: 2.34% · Dec 7, 201610-year Treasury: 2.40% · Dec 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.47% · Dec 9, 201610-year Treasury: 2.49% · Dec 12, 201610-year Treasury: 2.48% · Dec 13, 201610-year Treasury: 2.54% · Dec 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.60% · Dec 15, 2016Jun 15, 2016Sep 15, 2016Dec 15, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,347.13/month

3.50% · Sep 15, 2016

At the later reference$1,342.12/month

3.47% · Oct 13, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $5.02 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →