Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2026 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices decreased 0.4 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.3-percent decline in June. Lower prices for fuel imports more than offset higher prices for nonfuel imports in July.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices decreased 0.4 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.3-percent decline in June. Lower prices for fuel imports more than offset higher prices for nonfuel imports in July. Prices for U.S. exports decreased 1.3 percent in July after falling 0.7 percent the previous month.

Imports

Import prices fell 0.4 percent in July following a decline of 0.3 percent in June and an advance of 1.7 percent in May. The July decrease in U.S. import prices was the largest monthly decline since the price index fell 0.5 percent in May 2025. Despite the monthly decline, prices for U.S. imports increased 5.9 percent from July 2025 to July 2026. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel fell 7.2 percent in July following a decrease of 3.8 percent in June and an increase of 12.1 percent in May. The July decrease was the largest monthly decline since the index fell 7.2 percent in September 2024. Lower prices for petroleum and petroleum products more than offset higher prices for natural gas. In July, prices for import petroleum and petroleum products fell 7.5 percent, and import natural gas prices advanced 5.3 percent. From July 2025 to July 2026, import fuel prices increased 25.2 percent. Over the same period, the price index for import petroleum and petroleum products advanced 26.3 percent, and prices for import natural gas increased 74.3 percent.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports increased 0.4 percent in July. Higher prices for capital goods; foods, feeds, and beverages; as well as automotive vehicles, parts, and engines more than offset lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials. From July 2025 to July 2026, nonfuel import prices rose 4.5 percent, the largest over-the-year advance since the index increased 4.6 percent for the year ended June 2022. Higher prices for capital goods; nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; consumer goods, excluding automotives; as well as foods, feeds, and beverages more than offset lower prices for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines for the year ended July 2026.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for import foods, feeds, and beverages advanced 0.9 percent in July following decreases of 0.1 percent in June and 0.3 percent in May. In July, higher prices for other animal and vegetable preparations and products, fruit, as well as food oils and oilseeds more than offset lower prices for cane and beet sugar, green coffee, as well as bakery and confectionery products.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Import prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials declined 0.5 percent in July after a 0.3-percent increase in June. Lower prices for major nonferrous metals- crude as well as for finished metals shapes and advanced manufacturing more than offset higher prices for finished nonmetals (boxes, belting, glass, etc.).

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods import categories were mostly up in July. Import capital goods prices increased 0.9 percent. Higher prices for computers, peripherals and semiconductors; industrial and service machinery; as well as civilian aircraft, engines, and parts drove the increase. The price index for import automotive vehicles, parts, and engines increased 0.2 percent in July, and prices for import consumer goods, excluding automotives, were unchanged over the same period.

Exports

Prices for U.S. exports decreased 1.3 percent in July following a decline of 0.7 percent in June and an advance of 1.2 percent in May. Lower prices for nonagricultural exports more than offset higher prices for agricultural exports. Over the past year, U.S. export prices increased 8.2 percent. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports increased 1.0 percent in July after ticking up 0.1 percent in June. Prices for agricultural exports have not recorded a 1-month decline since December 2025. Agricultural export prices advanced 5.7 percent over the past 12 months, as higher prices for soybeans, other foods and food preparations, as well as oilseeds and food oils drove the over-the-year rise.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural export prices declined 1.5 percent in July after falling 0.7 percent in June and rising 1.2 percent in May. Lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials more than offset higher prices for capital goods; automotive vehicles, parts, and engines; as well as consumer goods, excluding automotives, in July. Prices for nonagricultural exports increased 8.5 percent from July 2025 to July 2026. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials; capital goods; as well as consumer goods, excluding automotives, drove the 12-month increase.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 4.1 percent in July after declining 2.1 percent the previous month. Lower prices for fuel, nonferrous metals, and chemicals drove the decrease in July.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods export categories were up in July. Capital goods export prices increased 0.5 percent in July following advances of 0.5 percent in June and 0.4 percent in May. In July, higher prices for scientific and medical machinery; industrial and service machinery; as well as computers, peripherals, and semiconductors drove the increase. Over the same period, export consumer goods, excluding automotives, prices increased 0.2 percent. Prices for export automotive vehicles, parts, and engines rose 0.7 percent in July, the largest 1-month advance since April 2025.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China advanced 0.8 percent in July, the largest monthly increase since the price index rose 0.8 percent in July 2008. Over the past 12 months, the price index for imports from China increased 2.7 percent. Prices for imports from Japan increased 0.6 percent in July following a decrease of 0.5 percent in June and an increase of 0.3 percent in May. The price index for imports from Japan increased 1.7 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for imports from the European Union decreased 0.2 percent in July following a decline of 0.5 percent in June. Import prices from Mexico decreased 0.3 percent for the second consecutive month in July. Prices for imports from Canada fell 2.1 percent in July, the first 1-month decline for this index since September 2025. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Prices for exports to China decreased 0.5 percent in July, after ticking up 0.1 percent in June. The July decrease was the largest monthly decline since the index fell 0.7 percent in December 2025. The price index for exports to China increased 5.6 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for exports to Japan increased 0.2 percent in July following advances of 0.6 percent in June and 0.5 percent in May. The price index for exports to Japan increased 10.4 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over the year advance since July 2022. The price index for exports to the European Union decreased 1.9 percent in July, and export prices to Mexico increased 0.3 percent over the same period. Prices for exports to Canada increased 2.2 percent in July, the largest monthly advance since the index rose 3.0 percent in March 2022. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. The U.S. terms of trade index with China decreased 1.3 percent in July following a 0.5-percent decline in June. Higher import prices from China and lower export prices to China contributed to the decrease in the U.S. terms of trade index with China in July. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan declined 0.3 percent. The index for U.S. terms of trade with the European Union decreased 1.6 percent in July after falling 0.8 percent in June. In July, the U.S. terms of trade index with Canada increased 4.3 percent, and the index for U.S. terms of trade with Mexico increased 0.6 percent. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares decreased 11.0 percent in July after rising 12.6 percent in June and 11.3 percent in May. Lower prices for European and Asian fares more than offset higher prices for Latin American/Caribbean fares in July. Import air passenger fares increased 16.9 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month advance since February 2023. Prices for import air freight fell 2.2 percent in July following an increase of 1.4 percent in June. Despite the monthly decline, import air freight prices advanced 23.4 percent over the past 12 months. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares ticked up 0.1 percent in July following a 3.5-percent increase the previous month. Higher prices for Latin American/Caribbean and Asian fares more than offset lower prices for European fares in July. The price index for export air passenger fares increased 2.6 percent from July 2025 to July 2026. Export air freight prices decreased 1.5 percent in July following a decline of 2.9 percent the previous month. In spite of the recent declines, prices for export air freight advanced 12.5 percent over the past 12 months.

The U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes news release for August is scheduled to be published on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 18, 2026.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 19, 2026Publication referenceAug 18, 202630 days laterSep 17, 2026
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.55%Observed 6.67%Observed +12 bps vs. earlier reference6.95%Observed +28 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.55%Observed 4.71%Observed +16 bps vs. earlier reference4.94%Observed +23 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 18, 2026 – Nov 18, 2026
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 18, 2026Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.00%5.75%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.51% · May 21, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · May 28, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jun 4, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Jun 11, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.47% · Jun 18, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jun 25, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Jul 2, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jul 9, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.55% · Jul 16, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Jul 23, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Jul 30, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Aug 6, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Aug 13, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Aug 20, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Aug 27, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Sep 3, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.76% · Sep 10, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.95% · Sep 17, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.03% · Sep 24, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.28% · Oct 1, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.40% · Oct 8, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.40% · Oct 15, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.32% · Oct 22, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.24% · Oct 29, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Nov 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.61% · May 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · May 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · May 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · May 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · May 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · May 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · May 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jun 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.53% · Jun 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · Jun 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jun 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jun 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jun 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.44% · Jun 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jul 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.54% · Jul 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.62% · Jul 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.58% · Jul 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · Jul 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.60% · Jul 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Jul 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.71% · Jul 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Jul 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Jul 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.61% · Jul 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Jul 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.75% · Jul 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Aug 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Aug 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.72% · Aug 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Aug 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Aug 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.72% · Aug 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.71% · Aug 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Aug 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Aug 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.74% · Aug 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.64% · Aug 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.66% · Aug 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Aug 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.73% · Aug 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.75% · Aug 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.79% · Sep 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.79% · Sep 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.77% · Sep 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.78% · Sep 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.80% · Sep 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.83% · Sep 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.95% · Sep 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.97% · Sep 14, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Sep 15, 202610-year Treasury: 5.01% · Sep 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.94% · Sep 17, 202610-year Treasury: 5.01% · Sep 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 22, 202610-year Treasury: 5.11% · Sep 23, 202610-year Treasury: 5.18% · Sep 24, 202610-year Treasury: 5.17% · Sep 25, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Sep 28, 202610-year Treasury: 5.26% · Sep 29, 202610-year Treasury: 5.29% · Sep 30, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Oct 1, 202610-year Treasury: 5.28% · Oct 2, 202610-year Treasury: 5.31% · Oct 5, 202610-year Treasury: 5.27% · Oct 6, 202610-year Treasury: 5.28% · Oct 7, 202610-year Treasury: 5.22% · Oct 8, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Oct 9, 202610-year Treasury: 5.21% · Oct 13, 202610-year Treasury: 5.19% · Oct 14, 202610-year Treasury: 5.10% · Oct 15, 202610-year Treasury: 5.09% · Oct 16, 202610-year Treasury: 5.15% · Oct 19, 202610-year Treasury: 5.12% · Oct 20, 202610-year Treasury: 5.13% · Oct 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Oct 22, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Oct 23, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Oct 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.99% · Oct 27, 202610-year Treasury: 5.05% · Oct 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.98% · Oct 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.94% · Oct 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.91% · Nov 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.95% · Nov 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.90% · Nov 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.84% · Nov 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.86% · Nov 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.88% · Nov 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.98% · Nov 10, 2026May 18, 2026Aug 18, 2026Nov 18, 2026
30-year fixed mortgage25 observations10-year Treasury122 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The future portion of the window has no observations. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,929.87/month

6.67% · Aug 13, 2026

At the later reference$1,985.84/month

6.95% · Sep 17, 2026

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $55.98 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →