Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

August 2026 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices increased 0.7 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.3-percent decrease in July. Higher prices for nonfuel imports more than offset lower prices for fuel imports in…

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U.S. import prices increased 0.7 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.3-percent decrease in July. Higher prices for nonfuel imports more than offset lower prices for fuel imports in August. Prices for U.S. exports advanced 0.6 percent in August after falling 1.4 percent the previous month.

Imports

Import prices rose 0.7 percent in August following consecutive declines of 0.3 percent in July and June. Prices for U.S. imports advanced 7.0 percent from August 2025 to August 2026, the largest over-the-year increase since the index rose 7.7 percent for the 12-month period ended August 2022. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Fuel prices edged down 0.1 percent in August following a decrease of 6.6 percent in July and a decline of 3.7 percent in June. Import fuel prices declined 10.2 percent for the 3-month period ended in August, the largest quarterly decrease since the index fell 10.6 percent for the 3-months ended May 2025. In August, lower prices for natural gas, down 1.0 percent for the month, more than offset higher prices for petroleum and petroleum products, which ticked up 0.1 percent. Despite the recent monthly declines, import fuel prices increased 26.8 percent from August 2025 to August 2026. The price index for petroleum and petroleum products imports increased 27.3 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for import natural gas advanced 102.6 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports increased 0.8 percent in August following an advance of 0.3 percent in July. Higher prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; capital goods; as well as consumer goods, excluding automotives, drove the increase in August. Nonfuel import prices rose 5.5 percent from August 2025 to August 2026, the largest over-the-year increase since the index advanced 5.9 percent for the 12-month period ended May 2022. Higher prices for capital goods; nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; consumer goods, excluding automotives; foods, feeds, and beverages; as well as automotive vehicles, parts, and engines drove the 12-month increase for the year ended in August.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Import prices for foods, feeds, and beverages ticked up 0.1 percent in August following an increase of 0.7 percent in July and a decrease of 0.1 percent in June. Higher prices for fish and shellfish, bakery and confectionery products, cane and beet sugar, as well as distilled alcoholic beverages more than offset lower prices for other animal and vegetable preparations and products as well as meat.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Import prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials increased 2.0 percent in August after a 0.9-percent decrease in July. Higher prices for finished metals shapes and advanced manufacturing as well as finished nonmetals (boxes, belting, glass, etc.) drove the increase in August.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods import categories were mostly up in August. Import capital goods prices increased 0.9 percent. Higher prices for computers, peripherals, and semiconductors; industrial and service machinery; as well as telecommunications equipment drove the increase. The price index for import consumer goods, excluding automotives, increased 0.5 percent in August, and import prices for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines were unchanged over the same period.

Exports

Prices for U.S. exports increased 0.6 percent in August. Prices for both nonagricultural exports and agricultural exports increased. U.S. export prices advanced 8.6 percent over the 12-month period ended in August. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports advanced 0.5 percent in August following a 0.4-percent increase in July. The price index hasn't declined on a monthly basis since December 2025. Higher prices for corn and animal feeds more than offset lower prices for meat. Agricultural export prices rose 5.8 percent from August 2025 to August 2026, the largest over-the-year increase since the index advanced 9.3 percent for the 12-month period ended December 2022. Higher prices for corn, soybeans, oilseeds and food oils, as well as animal feeds drove the 12-month rise for the year ended in August.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural export prices rose 0.7 percent in August after declines of 1.6 percent in July and 0.8 percent in June. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials; capital goods; as well as automotive vehicles, parts, and engines drove the increase. Prices for nonagricultural exports increased 8.9 percent from August 2025 to August 2026. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials; capital goods; consumer goods, excluding automotives; as well as automotive vehicles, parts, and engines drove the 12-month increase.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices increased 1.4 percent in August after a decrease of 4.0 percent the previous month. Higher prices for petroleum and petroleum products as well as for nonferrous and other metals more than offset lower prices for natural gas.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods export categories were mostly up in August. Capital goods prices increased 0.2 percent. Higher prices for telecommunications equipment; industrial and service machinery; as well as computers, peripherals, and semiconductors drove the increase. Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines prices increased 0.3 percent in August and prices for consumer goods, excluding automotives, were unchanged over the same period.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China increased 1.0 percent in August, the largest monthly advance since the index was first published in January 2004. Higher prices for computer and electronic product manufacturing drove the increase. The index for import prices from China rose 3.0 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for imports from Japan increased 0.2 percent in August following decreases of 0.2 percent in July and 0.5 percent in June. Import prices from Japan rose 1.1 percent over the past 12 months. The price indexes for imports from the European Union and from Mexico increased in August, rising 0.9 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. In contrast, prices for imports from Canada decreased 0.8 percent in August following a decline of 2.3 percent in July. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Prices for exports to China decreased 1.1 percent in August, the largest monthly decline since the index fell 2.6 percent in June 2025. Despite recent monthly declines, the price index for exports to China advanced 4.4 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for exports to Japan decreased 0.4 percent in August following a decline of 0.8 percent in July and an increase of 0.6 percent in June. The price index for exports to Japan increased 6.1 percent over the past 12 months. In August, export prices to the European Union increased 0.6 percent, and the price index for exports to Mexico increased 1.3 percent following a 0.7-percent rise the previous month. Prices for exports to Canada advanced 1.6 percent in August after declining 0.2 percent in July and 0.5 percent in June. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. The U.S. terms of trade index with China decreased 2.1 percent in August following a 0.7-percent decline in July. Lower export prices to China and higher import prices from China contributed to the decrease in the U.S. terms of trade index with China. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan decreased 0.5 percent. The index for U.S. terms of trade with the European Union decreased 0.4 percent in August after falling 1.8 percent in July. In August, the U.S. terms of trade indexes with Canada and Mexico increased 2.4 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares decreased 11.2 percent in August after a decline of 11.0 percent in July. The decrease in August was the largest monthly drop since the index declined 14.3 percent in July 2025. In August, lower prices for European and Asian fares more than offset higher prices for Latin American/Caribbean fares. Despite the recent monthly declines, import air passenger fares increased 13.2 percent over the past year. Prices for import air freight increased 1.8 percent in August and advanced 27.0 percent over the past 12 months. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares decreased 4.3 percent in August following a 0.1-percent increase the previous month. Lower prices for European and Asian fares more than offset higher prices for Latin American/Caribbean fares. The price index for export air passenger fares increased 5.7 percent from August 2025 to August 2026, the largest over-the-year rise since the index advanced 9.1 percent for the 12 months ended April 2023. Export air freight prices rose 2.8 percent in August and increased 18.1 percent over the past year. The 12-month movement in August for export air freight prices was the largest over-the-year increase since the index advanced 18.8 percent for the 12 months ended September 2022.

The U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes news release for September is scheduled to be published on Friday, October 16, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Sep 16, 2026.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierAug 17, 2026Publication referenceSep 16, 202630 days laterOct 16, 2026
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.67%Observed 6.76%Observed +9 bps vs. earlier reference7.40%Observed +64 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.72%Observed 5.01%Observed +29 bps vs. earlier reference5.09%Observed +8 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jun 16, 2026 – Dec 16, 2026
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Sep 16, 2026Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.00%5.75%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.47% · Jun 18, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jun 25, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Jul 2, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jul 9, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.55% · Jul 16, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Jul 23, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Jul 30, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Aug 6, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Aug 13, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Aug 20, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Aug 27, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Sep 3, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.76% · Sep 10, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.95% · Sep 17, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.03% · Sep 24, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.28% · Oct 1, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.40% · Oct 8, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.40% · Oct 15, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.32% · Oct 22, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.24% · Oct 29, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Nov 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jun 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jun 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.44% · Jun 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jul 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.54% · Jul 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.62% · Jul 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.58% · Jul 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · Jul 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.60% · Jul 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Jul 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.71% · Jul 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Jul 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Jul 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.61% · Jul 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Jul 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.75% · Jul 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Aug 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Aug 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.72% · Aug 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Aug 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Aug 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.72% · Aug 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.71% · Aug 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Aug 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Aug 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.74% · Aug 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.64% · Aug 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.66% · Aug 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Aug 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.73% · Aug 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.75% · Aug 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.79% · Sep 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.79% · Sep 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.77% · Sep 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.78% · Sep 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.80% · Sep 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.83% · Sep 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.95% · Sep 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.97% · Sep 14, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Sep 15, 202610-year Treasury: 5.01% · Sep 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.94% · Sep 17, 202610-year Treasury: 5.01% · Sep 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 22, 202610-year Treasury: 5.11% · Sep 23, 202610-year Treasury: 5.18% · Sep 24, 202610-year Treasury: 5.17% · Sep 25, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Sep 28, 202610-year Treasury: 5.26% · Sep 29, 202610-year Treasury: 5.29% · Sep 30, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Oct 1, 202610-year Treasury: 5.28% · Oct 2, 202610-year Treasury: 5.31% · Oct 5, 202610-year Treasury: 5.27% · Oct 6, 202610-year Treasury: 5.28% · Oct 7, 202610-year Treasury: 5.22% · Oct 8, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Oct 9, 202610-year Treasury: 5.21% · Oct 13, 202610-year Treasury: 5.19% · Oct 14, 202610-year Treasury: 5.10% · Oct 15, 202610-year Treasury: 5.09% · Oct 16, 202610-year Treasury: 5.15% · Oct 19, 202610-year Treasury: 5.12% · Oct 20, 202610-year Treasury: 5.13% · Oct 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Oct 22, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Oct 23, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Oct 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.99% · Oct 27, 202610-year Treasury: 5.05% · Oct 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.98% · Oct 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.94% · Oct 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.91% · Nov 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.95% · Nov 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.90% · Nov 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.84% · Nov 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.86% · Nov 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.88% · Nov 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.98% · Nov 10, 2026Jun 16, 2026Sep 16, 2026Dec 16, 2026
30-year fixed mortgage21 observations10-year Treasury102 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The future portion of the window has no observations. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,947.79/month

6.76% · Sep 10, 2026

At the later reference$2,077.14/month

7.40% · Oct 15, 2026

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $129.35 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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