Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2014 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

Prices for U.S. imports fell 0.5 percent in September, after declining 0.6 percent in August and 0.3 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each of the 3 monthly decreases was led by falling fuel prices.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Prices for U.S. imports fell 0.5 percent in September, after declining 0.6 percent in August and 0.3 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each of the 3 monthly decreases was led by falling fuel prices. The price index for U.S. exports also declined in September, decreasing 0.2 percent following a 0.5-percent drop in August.

Imports

All Imports: Overall import prices continued a 3-month downward trend in September, falling 0.5 percent. Prices for imports decreased 1.4 percent from June to September, the largest quarterly drop since the index declined 1.4 percent during the final quarter of 2013. In September, fuel prices drove the decrease, although nonfuel prices also declined. The price index for overall imports fell 0.9 percent for the year ended in September, the largest 12-month decrease since the index fell 1.1 percent in February.

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel decreased 2.1 percent in September following a 3.1-percent drop in August and a 1.5-percent decline in July. Lower petroleum and natural gas prices contributed to the September decline, falling 2.0 percent and 5.0 percent, respectively. Fuel prices decreased 5.8 percent over the past 12 months, the largest year-over-year decline since the index fell 8.1 percent between April 2012 and April 2013. The decrease in fuel prices over the past year was led by a 6.6-percent drop in petroleum prices which more than offset a 35.6-percent increase in natural gas prices.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Nonfuel import prices edged down 0.1 percent in September, after recording no change the previous month. In September, lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials and automotive vehicles more than offset an increase in the price index for foods, feeds, and beverages. Despite the decline, prices for nonfuel imports rose 0.5 percent over the past year. Higher prices for consumer goods; nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; and foods, feeds, and beverages all contributed to the advance.

Exports

All Exports: The price index for exports declined 0.2 percent in September, which continued an overall downward trend for the index since April. In September, lower prices for both agricultural exports and nonagricultural exports contributed to the decline. Export prices decreased 0.2 percent for the year ended in September, the first 12-month decline for the index since a 0.1-percent drop in April.

Agricultural Exports: Agricultural prices declined 0.9 percent in September following declines of 3.0 percent, 1.8 percent, and 1.9 percent over the previous 3 months. In September, the decrease was driven by a 6.2-percent drop in soybean prices, a 2.1-percent decline in meat prices, and a 3.9-percent fall in corn prices. The price index for agricultural exports fell 2.9 percent over the past year, led by lower prices for soybeans and corn.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Prices for nonagricultural exports declined 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month in September. Decreasing prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles all contributed to the drop in overall nonagricultural prices. The price index for nonagricultural prices recorded no change for the year ended in September. Each of the major finished goods categories rose over the past 12 months, while nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices declined.

SELECTED SEPTEMBER HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China edged down 0.1 percent in September, after recording no change in August. The September decline was led by lower prices for computers and electronic equipment. Prices for imports from Japan also decreased 0.1 percent in September, after remaining unchanged the previous month. The price indexes for imports from the European Union, Canada, and Mexico all decreased in September, falling 0.9 percent, 0.7 percent, and 0.4 percent, respectively. Lower fuel prices contributed to these declines.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials decreased 0.2 percent in September, after recording no change the previous month. In September, the decrease was driven by a 0.5-percent drop in unfinished metals prices, which was led by lower prices for gold and other precious metals.

Finished Goods: The price indexes for each of the major finished goods areas were mostly unchanged for the second consecutive month in September. Automotive vehicles prices fell 0.1 percent in September, after ticking up 0.1 percent in August. In September, prices for capital goods were unchanged for the third consecutive month and prices for consumer goods were unchanged for the second consecutive month.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Foods, feeds, and beverages prices increased 0.2 percent in September following a 0.6-percent advance in August and a 1.1-percent rise in July. The September advance was driven by a 2.2-percent rise in fish and shellfish prices and a 2.4-percent increase in vegetable prices.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares decreased 0.3 percent in September following a 4.3- percent decline in August and a 2.8-percent drop in July. The September fall was led by a 7.2-percent decrease in Asian fares, after the 2 previous monthly declines were driven mostly by lower European fares. Despite the recent drops, the index for import air passenger fares increased 6.3 percent for the year ended in September. Import air freight prices declined 0.5 percent in September, the largest monthly drop since a 0.5- percent decline in April. Prices for import air freight rose 1.3 percent over the past year.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials declined 0.5 percent in September following a 0.7-percent drop the previous month. Falling fuel and gold prices contributed to both decreases.

Finished Goods: Capital goods prices ticked up 0.1 percent in September, after recording no change in August. In contrast, the price indexes for consumer goods and automotive vehicles each declined in September, falling 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. Consumer goods prices were unchanged the previous month while automotive vehicles prices decreased 0.2 percent.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares fell 11.1 percent in September, the largest monthly drop since the index declined 12.5 percent in February. The September decrease was caused by a 23.0- percent decline in Asian fares. Despite the September drop, export air passenger fares increased 2.9 percent over the past 12 months. Export air freight prices edged down 0.1 percent in September and advanced 8.6 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Price Index data for October 2014 are scheduled for release on Friday, November 14, 2014 at 8:30 a.m. (EST).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 10, 2014.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 10, 2014Publication referenceOct 10, 201430 days laterNov 9, 2014
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.10%Observed 4.12%Observed +2 bps vs. earlier reference4.02%Observed −10 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 10, 2014 – Jan 10, 2015
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 10, 2014Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.15% · Jul 10, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.13% · Jul 17, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.13% · Jul 24, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Jul 31, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · Aug 7, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Aug 14, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Aug 21, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Aug 28, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Sep 4, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Sep 11, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.23% · Sep 18, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Sep 25, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.19% · Oct 2, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Oct 9, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Oct 16, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Oct 23, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Oct 30, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.02% · Nov 6, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Nov 13, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · Nov 20, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 26, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Dec 4, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 11, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.80% · Dec 18, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.83% · Dec 24, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Dec 31, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Jan 8, 2015Jul 10, 2014Oct 10, 2014Jan 10, 2015
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,453.08/month

4.12% · Oct 9, 2014

At the later reference$1,435.71/month

4.02% · Nov 6, 2014

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $17.37 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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