Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2014 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices declined 0.2 percent in July, after increasing each of the 2 previous months, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The July decrease was driven by falling fuel prices. Prices for U.S. exports were…

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U.S. import prices declined 0.2 percent in July, after increasing each of the 2 previous months, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The July decrease was driven by falling fuel prices. Prices for U.S. exports were unchanged in July following a 0.4-percent decrease in June. In July, declining agricultural prices offset higher nonagricultural prices.

Imports

All Imports: Overall import prices fell 0.2 percent in July, the first monthly decline for the index since a 0.6-percent drop in April. Import prices ticked up 0.1 percent in June and rose 0.3 percent in May. The price index for overall imports advanced 0.8 percent over the past 12 months, a similar movement to the 0.9- percent increase from July 2012 to July 2013. Both higher fuel and nonfuel prices contributed to the most recent year-over-year increase, in contrast to the rise for the year ended in July 2013 which was driven solely by higher fuel prices.

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices fell 1.2 percent in July, after rising 1.0 percent in June and 1.3 percent in May. The July decrease was led by a 1.2-percent drop in petroleum prices which more than offset a 1.8- percent increase in natural gas prices. Despite the July decline, import fuel prices rose 2.6 percent over the past year, after increasing 7.7 percent between July 2012 and July 2013. A 1.7-percent rise in petroleum prices and a 44.1-percent jump in natural gas prices both contributed to the year-over-year increase for fuel prices in July.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Nonfuel prices were unchanged for the third time in the past 4 months in July, after edging down 0.1 percent in June. The price indexes for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages; and consumer goods all rose in July, but lower automotive vehicles prices offset the increases. Capital goods prices were unchanged. Prices for nonfuel imports advanced 0.4 percent for the year ended in July, led by 0.3-percent increases in March and January.

Exports

All Exports: Prices for overall exports recorded no change in July following a 0.4-percent decline in June. Export prices fell 1.3 percent over the past 4 months, after increasing 1.7 percent over February and March. Overall, the price index for U.S. exports rose 0.4 percent over the past 12 months. Rising nonagricultural prices between July 2013 and July 2014 more than offset a drop in agricultural prices.

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports fell 2.2 percent in July, the largest monthly drop since the index fell 4.2 percent in August 2013. The July decline followed a 1.7-percent decrease the previous month. A 5.6-percent decline in soybean prices, a 7.6-percent drop in corn prices, and an 8.2- percent decrease in cotton prices were the largest contributors to the July decline. Agricultural export prices fell 2.9 percent over the past year, driven by lower prices for soybeans, corn, and vegetables.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural export prices advanced 0.3 percent in July following a 0.3-percent decline in June. The July increase was led by higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and consumer goods. Capital goods prices edged down 0.1 percent and automotive vehicles prices were unchanged.

SELECTED JULY HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China fell 0.2 percent in July, the largest monthly decline since a 0.6-percent drop in May 2013. The July decrease was led by a 0.2-percent decrease in computer and electronic products prices. Despite the July decline, prices for imports from China advanced 0.3 percent over the past year. The price index for imports from Japan decreased 0.3 percent in July, after recording no change the previous month. Import prices from Japan have trended down since the end of 2012 and fell 1.6 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for imports from Mexico and Canada also declined in July, decreasing 0.4 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. In contrast, import prices from the European Union ticked up 0.1 percent in July.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices increased 0.5 percent in July following a 0.2-percent decline in June. The July advance was driven by 5.8-percent rises in the price indexes for gold and other precious metals.

Finished Goods: The price index for import automotive vehicles declined 0.8 percent in July, the first monthly decrease for the index since a 0.1-percent decline in February and the largest 1-month drop since the index fell 1.1 percent in December 1992. The July decline was driven by a 1.1-percent drop in passenger car prices. In contrast, consumer goods prices ticked up 0.1 percent in July, after recording no change in each of the 2 previous months. Capital goods prices were unchanged in July.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages rose 1.0 percent in July following a 1.6-percent decrease in June. Higher prices for meat, alcohol, coffee, and vegetables all contributed to the increase in July.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares decreased 2.8 percent in July, the first monthly drop since a 3.4-percent decline in March. The July decrease was led by a 5.3-percent decline in European fares. Despite the July drop, import air passenger fares increased 2.6 percent over the past 12 months. Import air freight prices decreased 0.3 percent in July, but rose 1.8 percent over the past year.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices advanced 0.9 percent in July, after falling 0.9 percent the previous month. The July increase was driven by a 4.2-percent rise in nonferrous metal prices, although a 0.5-percent advance in fuel prices also contributed to the increase.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods areas were mixed in July. Consumer goods prices rose 0.3 percent, led by a 1.7-percent advance for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical prices. In contrast, capital goods prices edged down 0.1 percent, driven by a 1.2-percent drop in computers, peripherals, and semiconductor prices. Automotive vehicles prices were unchanged in July.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares advanced 3.5 percent in July following a 4.8-percent increase in June. The index increased 0.4 percent for the year ended in July, led by a 3.3-percent rise in Asian fares. The price index for export air freight fell 0.2 percent in July, but increased 9.4 percent over the past 12 months.

Import and Export Price Index data for August 2014 are scheduled for release on Friday, September 12, 2014 at 8:30 a.m. (EDT).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 14, 2014.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 15, 2014Publication referenceAug 14, 201430 days laterSep 13, 2014
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.15%Observed 4.12%Observed −3 bps vs. earlier reference4.12%Observed Unchanged vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 14, 2014 – Nov 14, 2014
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 14, 2014Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · May 15, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · May 22, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · May 29, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · Jun 5, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Jun 12, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.17% · Jun 19, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · Jun 26, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Jul 3, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.15% · Jul 10, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.13% · Jul 17, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.13% · Jul 24, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Jul 31, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · Aug 7, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Aug 14, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Aug 21, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Aug 28, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Sep 4, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Sep 11, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.23% · Sep 18, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Sep 25, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.19% · Oct 2, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Oct 9, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Oct 16, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Oct 23, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Oct 30, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.02% · Nov 6, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Nov 13, 2014May 14, 2014Aug 14, 2014Nov 14, 2014
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,453.08/month

4.12% · Aug 14, 2014

At the later reference$1,453.08/month

4.12% · Sep 11, 2014

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is unchanged. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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