Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

October 2014 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The price index for U.S. imports decreased 1.3 percent in October following a 0.6-percent decline in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The October drop was mostly led by falling fuel prices. U.S. export…

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The price index for U.S. imports decreased 1.3 percent in October following a 0.6-percent decline in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The October drop was mostly led by falling fuel prices. U.S. export prices declined 1.0 percent in October, after falling 0.4 percent in September and 0.5 percent in August.

Imports

All Imports: Import prices fell 1.3 percent in October, after decreasing 1.6 percent over the previous 3 months. The October decline was the largest monthly drop since a 2.3-percent decrease in June 2012. In October, the drop was led by lower fuel prices, although nonfuel prices fell as well. The price index for overall imports declined 1.8 percent over the past 12 months, the largest year-over-year drop since a 1.8- percent decrease in November 2013.

Fuel Imports: The price index for import fuel declined 6.5 percent in October following decreases in each of the previous 3 months. The October decline was the largest 1-month drop since the index fell 8.5 percent in June 2012. In October, a 6.9-percent decrease in petroleum prices led the decline in overall fuel prices. In contrast, natural gas prices rose 0.8 percent. Fuel prices also fell for the year ended in October, declining 10.1 percent. The price index for petroleum decreased 11.1 percent from October 2013 to October 2014, and natural gas prices increased 25.4 percent for the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports declined 0.2 percent in October, after edging down 0.1 percent the previous month. In October, lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials, consumer goods, and capital goods more than offset rising foods, feeds, and beverages prices. Despite the recent increases, nonfuel import prices increased 0.3 percent over the past year. Higher prices for foods, feeds, and beverages and consumer goods more than offset falling prices for automotive vehicles, capital goods, and nonfuel industrial supplies and materials.

Exports

All Exports: Overall export prices declined 1.0 percent in October. Other than a 1.0-percent decrease in April, that was the largest 1-month drop for the index since a 1.7-percent decline in June 2012. In October lower prices for agricultural exports and nonagricultural exports drove the decrease. Export prices also fell for the year ended in October, declining 0.8 percent, the largest 12-month drop since a 1.0-percent decrease between February 2013 and February 2014.

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports fell 2.1 percent in October following a 1.7- percent decline in September. Lower prices for soybeans, wheat, and corn led the overall decline for both months. Agricultural prices fell 4.6 percent over the past 12 months, a decline also driven by falling grains prices.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Prices for nonagricultural exports decreased 0.9 percent in October, the largest monthly decrease since a 1.2-percent drop in April. Lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and consumer goods more than offset higher automotive vehicle prices. The price index for nonagricultural exports declined 0.4 percent over the past year, driven by decreasing prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials which offset higher prices for each of the major finished goods areas.

SELECTED OCTOBER HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China ticked up 0.1 percent in October, after edging down 0.1 percent in September. Import prices from China rose 0.3 percent for the year ended in October following a 0.9-percent decline for the previous 12-month period. The price index for imports from Japan advanced 0.1 percent in October, led by a 0.7-percent rise in transportation equipment prices. Falling fuel prices drove down prices for imports from Canada, Mexico, and the European Union in October. Import prices from Canada fell 2.3 percent, prices for imports from Mexico declined 0.9 percent, and the price index for imports from the European Union decreased 0.2 percent.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices fell 0.7 percent in October following a 0.4-percent drop the previous month. The October decline was driven by an 8.3-percent decrease in other precious metals prices and a 4.7-percent drop in gold prices.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices declined overall in October. Consumer goods prices declined 0.2 percent and prices for capital goods edged down 0.1 percent. The price index for automotive vehicles recorded no change in October.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages increased 1.4 percent in October, after ticking up 0.1 percent in September. The October advance was led by a 20.5-percent increase in vegetable prices.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares rose 2.4 percent in October, the first monthly advance since the index increased 6.9 percent in June. In October, a 2.3-percent rise in European fares, a 4.5-percent increase in Latin American/Caribbean fares, and a 1.4-percent advance in Asian fares all contributed to the overall rise. Import air passenger fares also increased over the past year, advancing 4.4 percent. The price index for import air freight declined 1.2 percent in October and 1.0 percent over the past 12 months.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials declined 2.0 percent in October, after a 0.6-percent decrease in September. Falling prices for fuel and metals led the drop. In October, fuel prices declined 4.6 percent and prices for metals decreased 3.5 percent.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices were mixed in October. The price indexes for capital goods and consumer goods each declined, falling 0.2 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. In contrast, automotive vehicle prices advanced 0.2 percent, led by a 0.3-percent increase in passenger car prices that were largely attributable to year-end model changeovers.

Transportation Services: In contrast to imports, export air passenger fares declined 2.2 percent in October, after an 11.4-percent decline the previous month. Both decreases were driven by lower Asian fares. The index for export air passenger fares increased 3.2 percent for the year ended in October. Export air freight prices declined 0.4 percent for the second consecutive month in October. Despite the recent drops, export air freight prices rose 7.4 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Price Index data for November 2014 are scheduled for release on Thursday, December 11, 2014 at 8:30 a.m. (EST).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Nov 14, 2014.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierOct 15, 2014Publication referenceNov 14, 201430 days laterDec 14, 2014
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.12%Observed 4.01%Observed −11 bps vs. earlier reference3.93%Observed −8 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Aug 14, 2014 – Feb 14, 2015
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Nov 14, 2014Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Aug 14, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Aug 21, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Aug 28, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Sep 4, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Sep 11, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.23% · Sep 18, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Sep 25, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.19% · Oct 2, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Oct 9, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Oct 16, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Oct 23, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Oct 30, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.02% · Nov 6, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Nov 13, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · Nov 20, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 26, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Dec 4, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 11, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.80% · Dec 18, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.83% · Dec 24, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Dec 31, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Jan 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jan 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.63% · Jan 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jan 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Feb 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Feb 12, 2015Aug 14, 2014Nov 14, 2014Feb 14, 2015
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,433.98/month

4.01% · Nov 13, 2014

At the later reference$1,420.17/month

3.93% · Dec 11, 2014

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $13.81 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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