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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

August 2007 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index decreased 0.3 percent in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, following a 1.3 percent advance in July. The August decline was led by a 1.3 percent downturn in…

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- AUGUST 2007 -

The U.S. Import Price Index decreased 0.3 percent in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, following a 1.3 percent advance in July. The August decline was led by a 1.3 percent downturn in petroleum prices. In contrast, export prices rose 0.2 percent in August after edging down 0.1 percent the previous month.

Import Goods

The decline in import prices in August was the first since a 1.2 percent drop in January. A comparatively modest 1.3 percent decrease in petroleum prices followed six months of higher prices during which the index rose 34.9 percent. Nonpetroleum prices also decreased in August, falling 0.1 percent. The modest decline was the first downturn for this index since a 0.1 percent drop in January. Excluding a 12.9 percent drop in natural gas prices, however, nonfuel import prices rose 0.2 percent in August. Nonpetroleum prices rose 2.3 percent for the year ended in August, while overall import prices increased 1.9 percent for the same period.

The August downturn in nonpetroleum prices was driven by a 1.0 percent decline in nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices. The drop in natural gas prices more than offset higher metals prices. Despite the August drop, the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices rose 6.0 percent over the past 12 months.

Each of the major finished goods areas rose 0.2 percent in August. The increase in consumer goods prices followed a similar 0.2 percent advance in July and was led by modest price increases for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials and home entertainment equipment. The price index for capital goods rose 0.2 percent for the fourth consecutive month, and in August an upturn in computer prices contributed to the advance. Automotive vehicle prices also rose 0.2 percent in August after 0.1 percent increases in each of the prior four months.

Higher foods, feeds, and beverages prices also helped to offset lower fuel prices in August, increasing 0.7 percent for the month.

Export Goods

Prices for overall exports resumed an upward trend in August, rising 0.2 percent after a modest 0.1 percent downturn in July. The price indexes for both agricultural goods and nonagricultural goods contributed to the August advance, increasing 1.0 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. The rise in agricultural prices followed increases of 1.4 percent in July and 2.7 percent in June. Higher prices for wheat, meat, and fish all factored into the August increase. Agricultural prices rose 17.6 percent over the past year. Nonagricultural prices ticked up 0.1 percent in August after a 0.2 percent decline the previous month and advanced 2.4 percent for the year ended in August. Overall exports rose 3.6 percent for the same period.

The price indexes for capital goods, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles all increased 0.1 percent in August. Each of those indexes has trended up for the past 12 months, rising 1.5 percent, 2.2 percent, and 1.1 percent, respectively over that period.

Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials also contributed to the increase in nonagricultural goods prices, rising 0.1 percent. That increase followed a 1.0 percent decline in July and was largely led by rising prices for chemicals and some metals which mostly offset declining prices for fuel and steelmaking materials.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Import prices from China rose 0.3 percent in August, the fourth consecutive month that the index has risen by at least that magnitude. Prior to May, the index had not risen by more than 0.2 percent since publication began in December 2003. Prices of imports from China increased 1.1 percent for the year ended in August.

The price indexes for imports from Mexico and the European Union also advanced in August, rising 0.7 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. Import prices from Mexico increased 3.6 percent over the past year, while prices of imports from the European Union rose 2.1 percent for the same period.

In contrast, import prices from Canada fell 0.5 percent in August because of lower fuel prices, while prices of imports from Japan were unchanged. Despite the August downturn, the price index for imports from Canada advanced 2.1 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for imports from Japan fell 0.7 percent for the August 2006-2007 period.

Import and Export Services

The price index for export travel and tourism, which is lagged one month, declined 1.3 percent in July after a 0.2 percent drop in June.

Import air passenger fares increased for the sixth consecutive month, ticking up 0.1 percent in August. Higher European and Latin American/Caribbean fares more than offset a 2.0 percent decline in Asian fares. The price index for import air passenger fares rose 8.2 percent for the year ended in August. Export air passenger fares also increased in August, advancing 3.4 percent after a 5.1 percent gain in July. The index rose 3.9 percent over the past 12 months.

The price indexes for import air freight and export air freight each increased in August, rising 1.4 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. Higher air freight prices to and from Europe led the increases. Import air freight prices advanced 1.3 percent over the past year, while over the same period, export air freight prices rose 1.5 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Sep 14, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierAug 15, 2007Publication referenceSep 14, 200730 days laterOct 14, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.59%Observed 6.31%Observed −28 bps vs. earlier reference6.40%Observed +9 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jun 14, 2007 – Dec 14, 2007
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Sep 14, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.25%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jun 14, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 28, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jul 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.68% · Aug 2, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.59% · Aug 9, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.62% · Aug 16, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 23, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.45% · Aug 30, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Sep 6, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Sep 13, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Sep 20, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Sep 27, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Oct 4, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Oct 11, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Oct 18, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Oct 25, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Nov 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.20% · Nov 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.10% · Nov 29, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 5.96% · Dec 6, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Dec 13, 2007Jun 14, 2007Sep 14, 2007Dec 14, 2007
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,858.87/month

6.31% · Sep 13, 2007

At the later reference$1,876.52/month

6.40% · Oct 11, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $17.64 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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