Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2007 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 1.5 percent in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, after rising 0.9 percent the previous month. Higher petroleum prices drove the July advance.…

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

- JULY 2007 -

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 1.5 percent in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, after rising 0.9 percent the previous month. Higher petroleum prices drove the July advance. Export prices also continued to trend upward in July, increasing 0.2 percent following a 0.3 percent advance in June.

Import Goods

Import prices rose 1.5 percent in July, the sixth consecutive increase for the index. Petroleum prices were also up for the sixth month in a row, increasing 7.0 percent in July after a 4.4 percent rise the previous month. Over the past 12 months, the price index for petroleum imports was up 4.1 percent, while overall import prices rose 2.8 percent. Nonpetroleum prices also advanced in July, rising 0.2 percent after rising 0.1 percent in June. For the year ended in July, prices for nonpetroleum imports increased 2.8 percent.

The rise in nonpetroleum import prices was driven primarily by price increases for finished goods. The price index for capital goods increased 0.2 percent, following advances of 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively, in June and May. The increase in capital goods prices was led by a 2.3 percent advance in the price index for transportation equipment, excluding motor vehicles. Consumer goods prices edged up 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month. Similarly, the price index for automotive vehicles increased 0.1 percent for the fourth consecutive month.

An increase in food prices also contributed to the overall increase in nonpetroleum import prices. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices continued to rise, advancing 1.6 percent in July and 9.8 percent over the past year. A 9.7 percent increase in vegetables prices led the July increase.

In contrast, the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials edged down 0.1 percent in July, the first decrease since January. The decline was led by lower prices for natural gas.

Export Goods

Export prices advanced 0.2 percent in July following increases of 0.3 percent and 0.2 percent in June and May, respectively. Agricultural export prices led the July increase, rising 1.5 percent. The advance followed an increase of 2.7 percent in June and continued an upward trend over the past 15 months. Higher prices for wheat, soybeans, and cotton contributed to the July increase, offsetting a decline in corn prices. Prices for agricultural exports rose 17.8 percent over the past year. Nonagricultural prices were unchanged in July. For the July 2006-2007 period, nonagricultural prices rose 2.8 percent while overall export prices increased 3.9 percent.

The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials fell 0.5 percent in July, the first decline since October 2006. Lower metals prices drove the index downward, offsetting higher prices for fuel, paper, and chemicals. Despite the July downturn, nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices increased 6.0 percent for the year ended in July.

In contrast, prices for each of the major finished goods categories rose in July. The price index for consumer goods increased 0.4 percent, while the price indexes for capital goods and automotive vehicles advanced 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.

Imports by Locality of Origin

The price index for imports from China rose 0.4 percent in July, the largest monthly increase since the index was first published in December 2003. The July increase was the third consecutive monthly advance. Over the past year, import prices from China increased 0.9 percent.

Higher petroleum prices in July contributed to increasing prices for imports from Mexico and Canada, which rose 1.7 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. For the year ended in July, import prices from Mexico rose 4.7 percent and import prices from Canada advanced 3.7 percent.

In contrast, July prices for imports from Japan and the European Union decreased 0.2 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively. Over the past 12 months, import prices from Japan fell 0.7 percent, while import prices from the European Union rose 1.1 percent.

Import and Export Services

Export travel and tourism prices, which are lagged one month, fell 0.2 percent in June after increasing in four of the previous five months.

Import air passenger fares increased 3.3 percent in July, driven by similar advances of 5.8 percent and 5.6 percent, respectively, in Asian and Latin American/Caribbean fares. Export air passenger fares also increased, rising 5.0 percent in July after falling 1.5 percent in June. Over the past year, import air passenger fares rose 7.2 percent while export air passenger fares advanced 5.6 percent.

Prices for import air freight were unchanged in July, after declining 0.2 percent in June. Prices for export air freight increased 0.6 percent. For the year ended in July, import air freight prices decreased 0.8 percent while export air freight prices advanced 1.8 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 10, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 11, 2007Publication referenceAug 10, 200730 days laterSep 9, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.63%Observed 6.59%Observed −4 bps vs. earlier reference6.46%Observed −13 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 10, 2007 – Nov 10, 2007
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 10, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.00%6.50%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · May 10, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · May 17, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · May 24, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · May 31, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · Jun 7, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jun 14, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 28, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jul 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.68% · Aug 2, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.59% · Aug 9, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.62% · Aug 16, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 23, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.45% · Aug 30, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Sep 6, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Sep 13, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Sep 20, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Sep 27, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Oct 4, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Oct 11, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Oct 18, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Oct 25, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Nov 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 8, 2007May 10, 2007Aug 10, 2007Nov 10, 2007
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,914.00/month

6.59% · Aug 9, 2007

At the later reference$1,888.32/month

6.46% · Sep 6, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $25.68 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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