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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

June 2007 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index advanced 1.0 percent in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, after a similar 1.1 percent increase the previous month. Higher petroleum prices drove the June…

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- JUNE 2007 -

The U.S. Import Price Index advanced 1.0 percent in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, after a similar 1.1 percent increase the previous month. Higher petroleum prices drove the June rise. Export prices also continued to trend upward in June, increasing 0.3 percent following a 0.2 percent advance in May.

Import Goods

Import prices rose 1.0 percent in June, the fifth consecutive increase for the index. Petroleum prices were also up for the fifth month in a row, increasing 4.7 percent in June after a 3.7 percent advance the previous month. After declining at the end of 2006, the price index for import petroleum rose 28.1 percent from January through June. However, the index was only up 2.1 percent over the past year compared to a 33.7 percent increase over the previous 12 months. Nonpetroleum prices also advanced in June, rising 0.2 percent after advancing 0.5 percent in May. Prices for nonpetroleum imports increased 2.6 percent for the year ended in June, while overall import prices rose 2.3 percent for the same period.

The June increase in nonpetroleum prices was led by a 0.5 percent rise in the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials, which had risen 4.3 percent over the three months prior to June. Metal prices, which drove the increases in March, April, and May, continued to rise, but a turnaround in building materials prices also contributed to the June increase.

Advances in the price indexes for capital goods, automotive vehicles, and foods, feeds, and beverages also factored into the overall increase in nonpetroleum import prices. Capital goods prices rose 0.2 percent, the first increase for the index since a 0.1 percent uptick in December 2006. Prices for automotive vehicles advanced 0.1 percent for the third consecutive month. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices edged up 0.2 percent, following increases of 0.9 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively, in May and April.

The price index for consumer goods was unchanged in June, the fifth consecutive month the index has recorded little change.

Export Goods

Export prices increased 0.3 percent in June following a 0.2 percent rise in May and a 0.4 percent advance in April. The June rise was mostly led by a 2.9 percent increase in agricultural prices, which resumed an upward trend after declining 1.4 percent in April and recording little movement in May. A sharp rise in soybean prices led the June advance, although higher prices for corn, meat, and agricultural industrial supplies and materials contributed as well. Prices for agricultural exports rose 18.5 percent over the past year. Nonagricultural prices also increased in June by 0.1 percent. For the June 2006-2007 period, nonagricultural prices rose 2.9 percent while overall export prices increased 4.1 percent.

The June advance in nonagricultural prices was driven mostly by a 0.3 percent rise in the price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials. Higher chemicals and fuel prices were the largest contributors to the increase.

Prices for each of the major finished goods categories exhibited little movement in June, with the price index for automotive vehicles ticking up 0.1 percent, while prices for capital goods and consumer goods were each unchanged. Consumer goods prices had increased 0.3 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively, in May and April.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Import prices from China increased 0.3 percent for the second consecutive month and were up 0.6 percent over the past year. The June increase was the third monthly advance in the past four months, a turnaround from the declining trend dating back to when the index was first published in December 2003.

Prices for imports from Mexico, Canada, and the European Union all increased in June, led in each case by higher petroleum prices. Import prices from Mexico rose 1.9 percent for the month and 5.8 percent for the year ended in June. The price index for imports from Canada increased 1.3 percent in June and 4.1 percent over the past 12 months. June prices for imports from the European Union advanced 0.4 percent. The index increased 2.1 percent for the June 2006-2007 period.

Import prices from Japan also rose in June, edging up 0.1 percent. Despite the increase, the index declined 0.7 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Services

Export travel and tourism prices, which are lagged one month, were unchanged in May after increasing 0.2 percent, 2.2 percent, and 2.4 percent over the previous three months.

Import air passenger fares jumped 13.4 percent in June, driven by advances of 17.9 percent and 16.7 percent, respectively, in European and Asian fares. In contrast, export air passenger fares declined 1.5 percent in June after rising 3.9 percent in May. Despite the June decrease, the index for export air passenger fares rose 5.7 percent over the past year.

Prices for both import and export air freight fell in June, declining 0.2 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively. For the year ended in June, import air freight prices decreased 2.1 percent while export air freight prices advanced 0.9 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jul 13, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJun 13, 2007Publication referenceJul 13, 200730 days laterAug 12, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.53%Observed 6.73%Observed +20 bps vs. earlier reference6.59%Observed −14 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Apr 13, 2007 – Oct 13, 2007
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jul 13, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.00%6.50%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Apr 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · May 3, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · May 10, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · May 17, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · May 24, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · May 31, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · Jun 7, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jun 14, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 28, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jul 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.68% · Aug 2, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.59% · Aug 9, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.62% · Aug 16, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 23, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.45% · Aug 30, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Sep 6, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Sep 13, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Sep 20, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Sep 27, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Oct 4, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Oct 11, 2007Apr 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007Oct 13, 2007
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,941.81/month

6.73% · Jul 12, 2007

At the later reference$1,914.00/month

6.59% · Aug 9, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $27.81 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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