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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2004 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.4 percent in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was attributable primarily to higher nonpetroleum import prices. Export prices also…

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- FEBRUARY 2004 -

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.4 percent in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was attributable primarily to higher nonpetroleum import prices. Export prices also were up in February, increasing 0.6 percent for the second consecutive month.

Import Goods

Overall import prices rose for the fifth consecutive month, increasing 0.4 percent in February following a 1.5 percent advance in January. Petroleum prices posted little movement last month, increasing 0.2 percent after rising 17.1 percent over the previous four months. Nonpetroleum import prices were up 0.4 percent in February after increasing 0.8 percent the previous month. Overall import prices increased 0.8 percent for the year ended in February, as prices of nonpetroleum imports rose 1.8 percent while petroleum prices declined 4.9 percent over the same period.

Prices for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials had the largest impact on the price index for nonpetroleum imports for the second consecutive month, increasing 1.4 percent in February following a 3.2 percent rise in January. Higher prices for both building materials and unfinished metals led the advance. Prices for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials were up 7.8 percent for the year ended in February.

Rising prices for foods, feeds, and beverages and for automotive vehicles also contributed to the February increase in nonpetroleum import prices. The price index for foods, feeds, and beverages rose 1.6 percent, largely attributed to higher prices for vegetables and seafood. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices were up 3.9 percent over the past year. Automotive vehicle prices increased 0.1 percent in February and 1.2 percent over the past 12 months.

Prices for capital goods and for consumer goods were unchanged in February. For the year ended in February, capital goods prices fell 0.9 percent while consumer goods prices were up 0.6 percent.

Export Goods

Export prices were up 0.6 percent in both January and February, the largest increase over two months since 1995. Higher prices for both agricultural exports and nonagricultural exports contributed to the overall increase in February. The price index for agricultural exports rose 1.2 percent in February, resuming the recent upward trend in this index after a modest 0.2 percent decline in January. Higher prices for corn, soybeans, and vegetables all contributed to the increase. Prices for nonagricultural exports were up 0.6 percent for the second consecutive month. Over the February 2003-2004 period, agricultural prices were up 14.9 percent and prices for nonagricultural exports were up 1.4 percent. Overall export prices rose 2.4 percent during the past year.

For the second consecutive month, higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials led the advance in the price index for nonagricultural exports. The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials rose 1.6 percent in February after increasing 2.6 percent the previous month. Rising prices for exported metals, chemicals, and lumber all contributed to the increase. Over the past 12 months, nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices were up 7.1 percent.

Prices for capital goods and automotive vehicles were up in February, increasing 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. Despite the February increase, the price index for capital goods was down 1.0 percent over the past 12 months. Automotive vehicle prices were up 0.5 percent for the year ended in February.

In contrast, consumer goods prices fell 0.1 percent in February. Over the past 12 months, the index was up 0.4 percent.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices for imports from Canada rose 2.4 percent in February. The advance was led primarily by a 2.7 percent jump in manufactured goods prices, the largest increase for this index since monthly publication began in October 1992. Overall import prices from Canada were up 5.5 percent during the past 12 months.

Import prices from the European Union and Latin America rose in February, increasing 0.9 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. Prices for imports from the European Union rose 3.5 percent for the year ended in February, while prices for imports from Latin America fell 1.0 percent over the same period.

The price index for imports from Japan also was up, rising a modest 0.1 percent in February and 0.6 percent over the past 12 months. In contrast, import prices from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries declined 0.3 percent last month and fell 1.9 percent for the year ended in February.

Import and Export Services

The indexes for both import and export air passenger fares fell in February, declining 2.7 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively. Import air passenger fares were down for the second consecutive month and decreased 3.2 percent for the year ended in February. In contrast, the decline in export air passenger fares followed a 7.9 percent increase in January. Over the past 12 months, the price index for export air passenger fares was up 15.1 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 11, 2004.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 10, 2004Publication referenceMar 11, 200430 days laterApr 10, 2004
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.72%Observed 5.41%Observed −31 bps vs. earlier reference5.79%Observed +38 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 11, 2003 – Jun 11, 2004
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 11, 2004Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.00%5.75%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.88% · Dec 12, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Dec 19, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Dec 26, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Dec 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.87% · Jan 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Jan 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.64% · Jan 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.68% · Jan 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.72% · Feb 5, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Feb 12, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 19, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 26, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.59% · Mar 4, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.41% · Mar 11, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.38% · Mar 18, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.40% · Mar 25, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.52% · Apr 1, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Apr 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Apr 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Apr 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Apr 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.12% · May 6, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · May 13, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · May 20, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · May 27, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Jun 3, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Jun 10, 2004Dec 11, 2003Mar 11, 2004Jun 11, 2004
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,686.47/month

5.41% · Mar 11, 2004

At the later reference$1,758.35/month

5.79% · Apr 8, 2004

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $71.88 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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