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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

March 2004 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.9 percent in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Higher prices for both petroleum and nonpetroleum imports contributed to the overall increase. Export…

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- MARCH 2004 -

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.9 percent in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Higher prices for both petroleum and nonpetroleum imports contributed to the overall increase. Export prices also rose 0.9 percent in March, the largest monthly increase in this index in nine years.

Import Goods

Import prices continued an upward trend in March, rising 0.9 percent for the month and 2.9 percent over the first quarter of 2004. Higher prices for import petroleum accounted for most of the increase, rising 6.1 percent in March. Petroleum prices have advanced in 9 of the past 10 months, after falling sharply last spring. Over the past 12 months, the index was up 1.9 percent. Nonpetroleum import prices were up a modest 0.2 percent in March, after rising 0.4 percent and 0.8 percent in the first two months of 2004. For the year ended in March, nonpetroleum import prices were up 1.0 percent, while prices of overall imports rose 1.2 percent.

The March increase in nonpetroleum import prices was led by a continued advance in the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials, up 1.1 percent. Higher prices for building materials and unfinished metals were the primary contributors to the increase. Nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices were up 3.8 percent for the year ended in March.

The price index for foods, feeds, and beverages also rose in March, up 0.8 percent. The increase continued a recent upward trend and was led by higher seafood prices. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices were up 3.1 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for automotive vehicles increased 0.1 percent last month and 1.3 percent over the March 2003-2004 period.

Import prices for capital goods and consumer goods continued to register little movement, as both were unchanged in March. Over the past year, capital goods prices fell 0.6 percent, while prices for consumer goods rose 0.8 percent.

Export Goods

Export prices were up 0.9 percent in March and 2.3 percent over the first quarter of 2004, the largest 3-month jump in export prices since the second quarter of 1988. Prices for both agricultural and nonagricultural exports contributed to the recent increase in overall export prices. The price index for agricultural exports rose 3.3 percent in March, led by a sharp increase in soybean prices. Agricultural prices have been trending upward since the middle of 2003 and were up 20.7 percent over the past 12 months. Nonagricultural export prices rose 0.6 percent last month, following increases of 0.6 percent and 0.7 percent in February and January. Prices for nonagricultural exports were up 1.9 percent for the year ended in March, while overall export prices rose 3.4 percent over the same period.

A 1.7 percent increase in the price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials was the primary contributor to the March increase in export prices. Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices were up 6.0 percent over the past three months and 7.5 percent for the year ended in March. Prices for capital goods, which account for approximately 42 percent of exports, rose 0.3 percent for the second consecutive month. The increase was mainly attributable to higher prices for computer peripherals and semiconductors. Notwithstanding the recent increases, capital goods prices were down 0.2 percent over the past 12 months.

The price indexes for both automotive vehicles and consumer goods were unchanged in March, and each was up 0.5 percent over the past 12 months.

Imports by Locality of Origin

The price indexes for imports from Latin America and from the European Union both increased in March, led by higher petroleum prices. Prices for imports from Latin America were up 1.6 percent last month and 2.1 percent for the year ended in March, while prices for imports from Europe rose 0.6 percent in March and 4.1 percent over the past 12 months.

Import prices from Canada also increased in March, rising 1.3 percent. A 1.6 percent rise in prices for manufactured goods more than offset a 0.7 percent decline in nonmanufactured goods prices. For the March 2003-2004 period, overall import prices from Canada were up 3.7 percent.

Prices for imports from Japan and the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries were unchanged last month. Import prices from Japan were up 0.7 percent for the year ended in March, whereas prices of imports from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries fell 1.8 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Services

The price indexes for both import and export air passenger fares posted declines in March, decreasing 0.3 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. The modest decreases followed February drops of 2.7 percent for import air passenger fares and 3.5 percent for export air passenger fares. For the year ended in March, import fares declined 4.6 percent, whereas export fares were up 13.7 percent over the same period.

Import air freight prices rose 1.9 percent during the first quarter of 2004, after declining 1.6 percent for the previous three months. For the year ended in March, import air freight prices were up 6.3 percent. Export air freight prices rose by a similar amount in March, rising 1.8 percent. Over the past 12 months, the index was up 0.8 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Apr 7, 2004.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 8, 2004Publication referenceApr 7, 200430 days laterMay 7, 2004
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.59%Observed 5.52%Observed −7 bps vs. earlier reference6.12%Observed +60 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 7, 2004 – Jul 7, 2004
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 7, 2004Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.00%5.75%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.87% · Jan 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Jan 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.64% · Jan 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.68% · Jan 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.72% · Feb 5, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Feb 12, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 19, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 26, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.59% · Mar 4, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.41% · Mar 11, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.38% · Mar 18, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.40% · Mar 25, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.52% · Apr 1, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Apr 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Apr 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Apr 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Apr 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.12% · May 6, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · May 13, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · May 20, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · May 27, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Jun 3, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Jun 10, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Jun 17, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.25% · Jun 24, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · Jul 1, 2004Jan 7, 2004Apr 7, 2004Jul 7, 2004
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,707.13/month

5.52% · Apr 1, 2004

At the later reference$1,821.86/month

6.12% · May 6, 2004

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $114.73 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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