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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2003 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.2 percent in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was led by a continued rise in petroleum prices. Export prices advanced for the…

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

- DECEMBER 2003 -

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.2 percent in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was led by a continued rise in petroleum prices. Export prices advanced for the fourth consecutive month, up 0.2 percent in December.

Import Goods

The price index for overall imports rose for the third consecutive month, rising 0.2 percent in December. From December 2002-December 2003, the index was up 1.9 percent, which followed a 4.2 percent increase over the previous year. The December increase was led by higher petroleum prices, which were up 1.8 percent in December, after rising 2.1 percent in November and 1.5 percent in October. From December 2002-2003, import petroleum prices rose 9.1 percent, after surging 56.9 percent during the previous year. Prices for nonpetroleum imports edged up 0.1 percent in December, following a 0.2 percent increase in November. Nonpetroleum import prices rose 1.0 percent over the past year.

The 0.1 percent rise in the price index for nonpetroleum imports reflected higher prices for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials and for foods, feeds, and beverages, up 0.8 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively. Continued increases in metals prices contributed to the rise in the index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials, which was up 6.7 percent over the past 12 months. Higher meat prices led the rise in the foods, feeds, and beverages index, which was up 3.0 percent for the year.

In contrast, the price index for imported capital goods dipped 0.2 percent in December, after increasing by the same amount in November. The decline in December was led by falling semiconductor prices, which continued a downward trend. For the year, capital goods prices were down 1.0 percent.

Prices for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines and for consumer goods were unchanged in December. Over the past year, the indexes have increased 0.7 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.

Export Goods

Export prices increased 0.2 percent in December, following a 0.5 percent rise in November. Export prices rose 2.2 percent over the past 12 months, following a 1.0 percent increase during the previous year. Prices for both agricultural and nonagricultural exports contributed to the December increase. Prices for feedstuff, wheat, and soybeans led the 0.7 percent increase in agricultural exports prices, which were up 13.6 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for nonagricultural exports rose 0.2 percent in December, after increasing the same amount in November. For the year, nonagricultural prices were up 1.3 percent.

The price indexes for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, for capital goods, and for consumer goods each increased in December. Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials were up 0.6 percent, led by higher prices for fuel oil and metals. This index increased 5.9 percent over the December 2002-December 2003 period. The price indexes for capital goods and for consumer goods each rose 0.1 percent in December. Over the past 12 months, capital goods prices fell 0.5 percent, while consumer goods prices increased 0.8 percent.

The price index for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines was the only major export commodity price index to decrease, falling 0.1 percent in December. For the year, the index was up 0.5 percent.

Summary of December-to-December Percent Changes

Imports by Locality of Origin

The price indexes for imports from the European Union and from Latin America each rose in December, reflecting higher prices for petroleum products. Prices of imports from the European Union increased 0.4 percent for the month and were up 3.3 percent over the December 2002-2003 period. Import prices from Latin America rose 1.6 percent in December and were up 3.5 percent over the past 12 months.

In contrast, prices for imports from Canada declined in December, falling 0.2 percent. Over the past year, however, the index was up 4.4 percent.

The price indexes for imports from Japan and from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries both were unchanged in December. For the year ended in December, each index decreased 0.4 percent.

Import and Export Services

The price index for import air passenger fares edged up 0.9 percent in December, after dropping 7.4 percent in November and 9.1 percent in October. Over the past 12 months, the index was down a modest 0.2 percent. Prices for export air passenger fares were unchanged in December, after declining 1.4 percent in November. Export air passenger fares were up 14.7 percent for the year ended in December.

The price index for import air freight declined 1.6 percent over the last quarter of 2003, following an increase of 4.8 percent in the third quarter. From December 2002-December 2003, the index rose 7.5 percent. Export air freight prices increased 0.3 percent from September to December and were up 0.2 percent over the past 12 months.

ANNOUNCEMENT OF CHANGES IN THE U.S. IMPORT AND EXPORT PRICE INDEXES

Beginning with the release of January 2004 data on February 13, the U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes will be reweighted using 2002 trade weights. Previous practice was to update the weights every five years. Import and export price indexes will now be reweighted annually, with a two-year lag in the weights. The index reference base will remain fixed at calendar year 2000=100. In addition, the U.S. carrier and foreign carrier air passenger fares indexes found in table 11 will be replaced with indexes that measure prices for inbound and outbound flights.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 13, 2004.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 14, 2003Publication referenceJan 13, 200430 days laterFeb 12, 2004
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.88%Observed 5.87%Observed −1 bps vs. earlier reference5.66%Observed −21 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 13, 2003 – Apr 13, 2004
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 13, 2004Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.00%5.75%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.05% · Oct 17, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.05% · Oct 24, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Oct 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Nov 7, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Nov 14, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.83% · Nov 21, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Nov 28, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.02% · Dec 5, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.88% · Dec 12, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Dec 19, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Dec 26, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Dec 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.87% · Jan 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Jan 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.64% · Jan 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.68% · Jan 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.72% · Feb 5, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Feb 12, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 19, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 26, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.59% · Mar 4, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.41% · Mar 11, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.38% · Mar 18, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.40% · Mar 25, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.52% · Apr 1, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Apr 8, 2004Oct 13, 2003Jan 13, 2004Apr 13, 2004
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,773.65/month

5.87% · Jan 8, 2004

At the later reference$1,733.60/month

5.66% · Feb 12, 2004

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $40.05 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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