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Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

March 2007 Employment Cost Index

Total compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.8 percent from December 2006 to March 2007, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This was about the same as the 0.9…

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Total compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.8 percent from December 2006 to March 2007, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This was about the same as the 0.9 percent increase for the September to December 2006 period. Wages and salaries rose 1.1 percent for the three-month period, compared with 0.7 percent for the previous period. Benefit costs changed by 0.1 percent, after an increase of 1.1 percent during the previous three-month period. The Employment Cost Index (ECI), a component of the National Compensation Survey, measures quarterly changes in compensation costs, which include wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits for civilian workers (nonfarm private industry and state and local government).

Increases in wages and salaries accounted for 84 percent of the rise in compensation costs for civilian workers from December 2006 to March 2007, not seasonally adjusted. Among private industry workers, wages and salaries comprised 96 percent of the compensation gain. In state and local government, wages and salaries accounted for 40 percent of the change in compensation. In state and local government, benefit increases were due primarily to increases in defined benefits and health benefits.

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

For private industry, compensation costs rose 0.6 percent, compared to 0.8 percent for the prior quarter, while state and local government increased 1.3 percent, compared to 1.0 percent for the quarter ended December 2006. (See tables A and 1.)

Wages and salaries of civilian workers increased 1.1 percent, up from 0.7 percent in the September to December 2006 quarter. For private industry workers, wages and salaries increased 1.1 percent, up from 0.8 percent. In state and local government, the increase was 0.9 percent, up from 0.8 percent in the prior quarter. (See tables A and 2.)

NOTE

Beginning with this release, "white-collar occupations," "blue-collar occupations," "excluding sales occupations," "manufacturing - durable goods," and "manufacturing - nondurable goods' series have been discontinued. For more information, see www.bls.gov/ncs/ect/sp/ecsm0001.htm.

The change in benefit costs for civilian workers in the March quarter was 0.1 percent, down from an increase of 1.1 percent in the December quarter. For state and local government, benefits increased 2.1 percent, up from 1.4 percent in the previous quarter. (See tables A and 3.)

In private industry, benefit costs declined 0.3 percent compared to a 0.9 percent increase the previous quarter. This decline was due primarily to lower employer contributions to defined benefit retirement plans, which was seen across industries and occupational groups. Lower contributions may be due to several factors. For example, over the last couple of years, many employers have had to make additional payments to defined benefit funds to make up for lower than expected earnings from investments during the early part of the decade; if these payments are no longer required, current contributions would be lessened. Also, the recent improved performance of the stock market may have also been a factor, requiring employers to contribute less to retirement plans.

Over-the-year changes, not seasonally adjusted

Annual compensation costs for civilian workers increased 3.5 percent for the year ended March 2007, compared with a 2.8 percent increase for the year ended March 2006. In private industry, compensation costs rose 3.2 percent in the year ended March 2007. In March 2006, the increase was 2.6 percent. For state and local government, the yearly increase for March 2007 was 4.6 percent. In March 2006, it was 3.7 percent.

The components of compensation differed in their rate of change. While increases in wages and salaries for civilian workers accelerated, benefit costs increases decelerated due to a slowdown in private industry. Wages and salaries rose 3.6 percent for civilian workers for the year ended March 2007, greater than the 2.7 percent gain for March 2006. Benefit costs increased 3.1 percent for the March 2007 12-month period. In March 2006, the increase was 3.4 percent. Differences in 12-month percent changes for benefit costs between private industry and state and local government were significant. Private industry benefits increased 2.2 percent, down from 3.0 percent while state and local government increased 6.3 percent, up from 5.4 percent. (See tables B, 8, and 12.)

Nonfarm private industry

For the year ended March 2007, compensation costs increased 2.6 percent for goods-producing industries, compared to a 2.3 percent increase in March 2006. Compensation costs for manufacturing remained low, at 1.9 percent, for the year ended March 2007, the same for the year ended March 2006. Compensation costs for the construction industry rose 4.0 percent, compared to 3.4 percent for the previous year. (See table 5.)

The over-the-year increase for March 2007 in compensation costs for service-providing industries was 3.3 percent. In March 2006, the increase was 2.7 percent. Among the supersector industries, compensation gains ranged from 2.3 percent in the trade, transportation, and utilities industries to 4.7 percent in the leisure and hospitality industry. (See Table 5.)

Among private industry occupational groups, over-the-year compensation gains ranged from 2.1 percent for production, transportation, and material moving to 3.7 percent for service occupations. (See table 5.)

Compensation costs for union workers advanced 2.2 percent for the year ended March 2007, compared with a 2.7 percent increase for March 2006. For nonunion workers, the increase for the 12-month period ended March 2007 was 3.3 percent. In March 2006, the increase was 2.6 percent. Wages and salaries for union workers increased 2.5 percent for the 12-month period ended March 2007, while wages for nonunion workers rose 3.7 percent. Benefit costs for union workers rose 1.6 percent for the 12-month period while benefit costs for nonunion workers rose 2.4 percent. (See tables C, 6, 10, and 12.)

State and local government

For the year ended March 2007, compensation costs for state and local government workers rose 4.6 percent compared to 3.7 percent a year ago. The 12-month gain in wages and salaries was 3.8 percent. Last year, the gain was 2.8 percent. For benefits, costs increased 6.3 percent compared to 5.4 percent for the previous year. (See tables B, 7, 11, and 12.)

Over-the-year changes in wages and salaries, constant dollars, not seasonally adjusted

Employment cost changes are also provided that measure the change in wages and salaries after adjustment for the changes in the prices of consumer goods and services. These "constant dollar" estimates show that wages and salaries for civilian workers increased 0.7 percent for the 12-month period ended March 2007, compared to a decrease of 0.7 percent in March 2006. The private industry increase was 0.7 percent compared to a decrease of 0.9 percent in March 2006. State and local government registered a 1.0 percent increase, compared to a decrease of 0.6 percent for the previous year. (See table D.)

ECI data are available on the Compensation Cost Trends page at http://www.bls.gov/ncs/ect/home.htm. The FTP site can be accessed at: ftp://ftp.bls.gov.

For technical assistance in using the BLS Internet site, send e-mail to webmaster@bls.gov. For ECI data requests, send e-mail to NCSinfo@bls.gov.

BLS news releases, including the ECI, are available through an e-mail subscription service. See the subscription link on http://www.bls.gov/ncs/ect/home.htm or http://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Apr 27, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 28, 2007Publication referenceApr 27, 200730 days laterMay 27, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.16%Observed 6.16%Observed Unchanged vs. earlier reference6.37%Observed +21 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 27, 2007 – Jul 27, 2007
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 27, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.00%6.50%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Feb 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Feb 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Feb 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Feb 22, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Mar 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Mar 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Mar 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 22, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 29, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Apr 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Apr 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · May 3, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · May 10, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · May 17, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · May 24, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · May 31, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · Jun 7, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jun 14, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 28, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jul 26, 2007Jan 27, 2007Apr 27, 2007Jul 27, 2007
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,829.63/month

6.16% · Apr 26, 2007

At the later reference$1,870.63/month

6.37% · May 24, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $41.00 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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