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Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2007 Employment Cost Index

Total compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.8 percent from June to September 2007, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This was about the same as the 0.9…

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Total compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.8 percent from June to September 2007, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This was about the same as the 0.9 percent increase for the March to June period. Both components of compensation-wages and salaries and benefits-rose the same amount, 0.8 percent. In the previous quarter, wages and salaries also increased 0.8 percent and benefits increased 1.3 percent. The Employment Cost Index (ECI), a component of the National Compensation Survey, measures quarterly changes in compensation costs for civilian workers (nonfarm private industry and state and local government workers).

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

For private industry, compensation costs rose 0.8 percent from June to September 2007, compared to 0.9 percent for the prior quarter, while state and local government costs increased 0.8 percent, compared to 1.1 percent for the quarter ended June 2007. (See tables A and 1.)

Wages and salaries for private industry workers increased 0.8 percent, the same as the previous quarter. In state and local government, the increase was 1.0 percent, compared with 0.8 percent in the prior quarter. (See tables A and 2.)

Benefit costs for private industry rose 0.8 percent, compared to 1.1 percent the previous quarter. For state and local government, benefit costs increased 0.7 percent, compared to 1.7 percent in the previous quarter. (See tables A and 3.)

Over-the-year changes, not seasonally adjusted

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 3.3 percent for the year ended September 2007, the same as for the year ended September 2006. In private industry, compensation costs rose 3.1 percent in the year ended September 2007, about the same as the September 2006 increase of 3.0 percent. For state and local government, for the 12 months ended September 2007, the increase was 4.3 percent. In September 2006 the increase was 4.1 percent. The components of compensation were similar in their rates of change and little changed over the year. (See tables B, 4, 5, and 7.)

Nonfarm private industry

For the year ended September 2007, compensation costs increased 2.4 percent for goods-producing industries, compared to a 2.2 percent increase in September 2006. Compensation cost increases for manufacturing remained low, at 1.8 percent for the year ended September 2007, compared to 1.6 percent for the year ended September 2006. Compensation costs for the construction industry rose 3.8 percent, compared to 3.3 percent for the previous year. (See table 5.)

The over-the-year increase for September 2007 in compensation costs for service-providing industries was 3.3 percent, about the same as the September 2006 increase of 3.2 percent. Among the major service-providing industries, compensation gains ranged from 2.2 percent in the trade, transportation, and utilities industries to 5.0 percent in the leisure and hospitality industry. (See table 5.)

Among private industry occupational groups, over-the-year compensation gains ranged from 2.2 percent for production, transportation, and material moving to 4.0 percent for service occupations. (See table 5.)

Compensation costs for union workers advanced 2.0 percent for the year ended September 2007. This was outpaced by the compensation of nonunion workers, which increased 3.2 percent for the same 12-month period. Wages and salaries for union workers increased 2.7 percent for the 12-month period ended September 2007, less than that for nonunion workers, which rose 3.4 percent. Benefit costs for union workers rose 0.9 percent for the 12-month period, which were also less than benefit cost increases for nonunion workers, which rose 2.7 percent. (See tables C, 6, 10, and 12.)

State and local government

For the year ended September 2007, wages and salaries for state and local government workers rose 3.5 percent compared to 3.7 percent a year ago. For benefits, costs increased 6.0 percent compared to 5.2 percent for the previous year. Wages and salaries for hospitals rose to 4.4 percent from 3.7 percent a year earlier. Public administration wages and salaries increased 4.3 percent, up from 2.7 percent while education services wages and salaries increased 3.0 percent compared to 4.1 percent the year earlier. (See tables B, 11, and 12.)

Over-the-year changes in wages and salaries, constant dollars, not seasonally adjusted

After adjusting for the changes in the prices of consumer goods and services, wages and salaries for civilian workers increased 0.6 percent for the 12-month period ended September 2007, compared to a 1.1 percent increase for the 12-month period ending September 2006. The increase for private industry was 0.5 percent compared to an increase of 1.0 percent for the year ending September 2006. State and local government registered a 0.7 percent increase, compared to an increase of 1.6 percent for the previous year. (See table D.)

Sector, occupational group and industry Sep. Sep. Sep. Sep. Sep. Sep. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Civilian workers 1.5 0.6 0.0 -2.3 1.1 0.6 Occupation Management, professional, and related 1.5 0.8 -0.1 -2.2 1.5 0.7 Sales and office 1.9 0.8 0.4 -2.4 1.0 0.2 Natural resources, construction, and maintenance 1.3 0.3 -0.2 -2.1 1.3 0.6 Production, transportation, and material moving 1.4 0.2 0.0 -2.5 0.2 0.0 Service 1.5 0.0 -0.6 -2.1 0.6 1.5 Industry Goods producing 1.3 0.6 0.3 -2.3 0.7 0.3 Service providing 1.6 0.6 -0.1 -2.3 1.2 0.6 Private industry 1.5 0.8 0.0 -2.3 1.0 0.5 State and local government 1.5 0.1 -0.5 -2.0 1.6 0.7

ECI data are available on the Compensation Cost Trends page at www.bls.gov/ect. For ECI data requests, send e-mail to NCSinfo@bls.gov. For technical assistance in using the BLS Internet site, send e-mail to webmaster@bls.gov.

BLS news releases, including the ECI, are available through an e-mail subscription service. See the subscription link at www.bls.gov/ect or www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 31, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierOct 1, 2007Publication referenceOct 31, 200730 days laterNov 30, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.42%Observed 6.33%Observed −9 bps vs. earlier reference6.10%Observed −23 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 31, 2007 – Jan 31, 2008
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 31, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.00%6.00%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.68% · Aug 2, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.59% · Aug 9, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.62% · Aug 16, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 23, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.45% · Aug 30, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Sep 6, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Sep 13, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Sep 20, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Sep 27, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Oct 4, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Oct 11, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Oct 18, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Oct 25, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Nov 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.20% · Nov 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.10% · Nov 29, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 5.96% · Dec 6, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Dec 13, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Dec 20, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Dec 27, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.07% · Jan 3, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.87% · Jan 10, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.69% · Jan 17, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.48% · Jan 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.68% · Jan 31, 2008Jul 31, 2007Oct 31, 2007Jan 31, 2008
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,862.79/month

6.33% · Oct 25, 2007

At the later reference$1,817.98/month

6.10% · Nov 29, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $44.80 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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