The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 0.9 percent…
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics5 min read
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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 0.9 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The food index declined in March, while the indexes for energy and for all items less food and energy rose, leading to the slight seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index. The food index fell 0.2 percent after rising in February, as five of the six major grocery store food groups declined. The energy index rose for the first time since November, with all of its major components except natural gas increasing.
While the index for all items less food and energy increased in March, the 0.1 percent advance was the smallest increase since August. Major component indexes were mixed in March. The indexes for shelter, recreation, medical care, education, tobacco, and personal care were among those that rose, while the indexes for apparel, airline fares, communication, household furnishings and operations, and used cars and trucks all declined.
The all items index rose 0.9 percent over the last 12 months, a slightly smaller increase than the 1.0-percent change for the 12 months ending February. The index for all items less food and energy has risen 2.2 percent over the last 12 months, and the food index has increased 0.8 percent. Despite rising in March, the energy index has declined 12.6 percent over the last year.
Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. ended 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 Mar. 2016
Consumer Price Index Data for March 2016
Food
The food index fell 0.2 percent in March after rising 0.2 percent in February. The food at home index decreased 0.5 percent, the largest decline since April 2009. Five of the six major grocery store food group indexes fell, with the fruits and vegetables index declining 1.9 percent, the largest decrease since January 2005. The index for fresh fruits fell 1.7 percent, and the fresh vegetables index declined 3.2 percent. The cereals and bakery products index fell 0.6 percent in March, and the index for dairy and related products decreased 0.5 percent. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs fell 0.3 percent, as did the index for nonalcoholic beverages. The index for other food at home, in contrast, rose in March, increasing 0.4 percent. The index for food at home has declined 0.5 percent over the last 12 months, with declines in the indexes for dairy and related products, for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs, and for cereals and bakery products outweighing increases in the other indexes. The index for food away from home rose 0.2 percent in March and has risen 2.7 percent over the past 12 months.
Energy
The energy index rose 0.9 percent in March after declining in each of the 3 previous months. The gasoline index, which fell 13.0 percent in February, rose in March, increasing 2.2 percent. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices increased 10.2 percent in March.) The fuel oil index also turned up in March, rising 1.7 percent, its first increase since May. The electricity index rose 0.4 percent in March after declining in each of the last 3 months. In contrast, the index for natural gas turned down in March, falling 0.7 percent after rising 1.0 percent in February. Despite the March increases, all the major energy component indexes have declined over the past year. The fuel oil index declined 34.8 percent, and the gasoline index fell 20.9 percent. The index for natural gas decreased 9.2 percent, and the electricity index declined 1.7 percent.
All items less food and energy
The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.1 percent in March after rising 0.3 percent in February. The shelter index rose 0.2 percent after rising 0.3 percent in both January and February. The index for rent rose 0.3 percent and the index for owners' equivalent rent increased 0.2 percent. The index for lodging away from home turned down in March, falling 1.8 percent after rising in 5 of the 6 previous months. The medical care index rose slightly in March, increasing 0.1 percent after rising 0.5 percent in both January and February. The indexes for prescription drugs and physicians' services both rose, but the hospital services index declined. The recreation index rose 0.2 percent in March, and the tobacco index rose 0.5 percent. The indexes for education and personal care both rose slightly, increasing 0.1 percent. The indexes for new vehicles and for alcoholic beverages were unchanged in March, while a number of indexes declined. The apparel index, which rose 1.6 percent in February, fell 1.1 percent in March. The index for airline fares fell 0.9 percent, and the indexes for used cars and trucks, for communication, and for household furnishings and operations all declined 0.1 percent.
The index for all items less food and energy increased 2.2 percent over the past 12 months, a slightly smaller figure than the 2.3 percent change for the 12 months ending February. The shelter index has risen 3.2 percent over the last year, and the index for medical care has risen 3.3 percent. The indexes for airline fares, used cars and trucks, apparel, communication, and household furnishings and operations have all declined over the past 12 months.
Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.9 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 238.132 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.4 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 0.5 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 232.209 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.5 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.
The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index rose 0.6 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.
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MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context
The mortgage market around this release
This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.
Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis
The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.
Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.
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What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan
At the publication reference$1,360.57/month
3.58% · Apr 14, 2016
At the later reference$1,358.88/month
3.57% · May 12, 2016
The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.68 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.
Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.
Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®: available observations from Apr 2, 1971 through Nov 5, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
U.S. Department of the Treasury: available observations from Jan 4, 2016 through Nov 10, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.
Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.