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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2016 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.2 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.0…

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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.2 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The energy index continued to decrease and was the major cause of the seasonally adjusted decline in the all items index, more than offsetting increases in the indexes for food and for all items less food and energy. The gasoline index fell sharply, declining 13.0 percent, and the indexes for fuel oil and electricity also decreased, though the index for natural gas rose.

The food index increased 0.2 percent in February, as the food at home index rose for the first time since September. Major grocery store food group indexes were mixed. The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.3 percent. Increases in the indexes for shelter, apparel, and medical care were the largest contributors to the rise, but almost all major components increased in February.

The all items index rose 1.0 percent over the last 12 months, a smaller increase than the 1.4-percent change for the 12 months ending January. The energy index fell 12.5 percent over the past year, with all of its major components declining. The food index advanced 0.9 percent, with the index for food at home declining but the food away from home index rising. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.3 percent, its largest 12-month increase since May 2012.

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. ended 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 Feb. 2016

Consumer Price Index Data for February 2016

Food

The food index increased 0.2 percent in February after being unchanged in January. The food at home index turned up in February, rising 0.2 percent after declining in recent months. The index for fruits and vegetables rose for the second month in a row, increasing 0.8 percent. The index for fresh fruits rose 2.3 percent, while the fresh vegetables index declined 0.4 percent. The index for nonalcoholic beverages rose 0.6 percent in February, its largest increase since November 2014. The index for cereals and bakery products also increased in February, rising 0.2 percent. In contrast to these increases, the indexes for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and for other food at home both declined slightly in February, each falling 0.1 percent, while the index for dairy and related products was unchanged. The food at home index has declined 0.3 percent over the past 12 months. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs fell 3.7 percent over the span, and the index for dairy and related products declined 2.6 percent. The index for food away from home increased 0.1 percent in February and has risen 2.6 percent over the last 12 months.

Energy

The energy index fell 6.0 percent in February, its third consecutive decline. The gasoline index was the primary factor in the decrease; it fell 13.0 percent. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices declined 9.9 percent in February, and the index has fallen over 50 percent since June 2014.) The fuel oil index also continued to decline, falling 2.9 percent after a 6.5 percent decrease in January. The electricity index declined slightly in February, falling 0.2 percent. The index for natural gas was the only component to rise, increasing 1.0 percent after falling in each of the 5 previous months. All the energy component indexes have declined over the last 12 months, with declines ranging from 3.0 percent (electricity) to 32.1 percent (fuel oil).

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.3 percent in February, the same increase as the prior month. The shelter index repeated its January increase of 0.3 percent, with the indexes for rent and for owners' equivalent rent both increasing 0.3 percent, and the index for lodging away from home rising 0.9 percent. The apparel index rose sharply in February, increasing 1.6 percent, its largest increase since February 2009. The medical care index rose 0.5 percent, the same increase as in January, with the index for prescription drugs rising 0.9 percent and the hospital services index advancing 0.5 percent. The index for motor vehicle insurance increased 0.4 percent in February, the same increase as last month. The index for education rose 0.3 percent. The indexes for new vehicles, used cars and trucks, alcoholic beverages, recreation, and tobacco all increased 0.2 percent in February. The indexes for personal care and for airline fares both edged up 0.1 percent, while the index for household furnishings and operations was unchanged. The communication index was one of the few to decline in February, falling 0.5 percent.

The index for all items less food and energy increased 2.3 percent over the past 12 months, a figure that has been slowly rising since it was 1.7 percent for the 12 months ending May 2015. The index for shelter has risen 3.3 percent over the last year, its largest 12-month increase since the period ending September 2007, and the medical care index has increased 3.5 percent, its largest rise since October 2012.

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.0 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 237.111 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.1 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 0.7 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 230.972 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index was unchanged prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index was unchanged on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 16, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 15, 2016Publication referenceMar 16, 201630 days laterApr 15, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.65%Observed 3.68%Observed +3 bps vs. earlier reference3.58%Observed −10 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.74%Observed 1.94%Observed +20 bps vs. earlier reference1.76%Observed −18 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 16, 2015 – Jun 16, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 16, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.50%3.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Dec 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.96% · Dec 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Dec 31, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Jan 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Jan 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jan 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Jan 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.72% · Feb 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.62% · Feb 25, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Mar 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Mar 10, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Mar 17, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 24, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 31, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Apr 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Apr 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Apr 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Apr 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.61% · May 5, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · May 12, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · May 19, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · May 26, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jun 2, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Jun 9, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Jun 16, 201610-year Treasury: 2.24% · Jan 4, 201610-year Treasury: 2.25% · Jan 5, 201610-year Treasury: 2.18% · Jan 6, 201610-year Treasury: 2.16% · Jan 7, 201610-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jan 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.17% · Jan 11, 201610-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jan 12, 201610-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jan 13, 201610-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jan 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 15, 201610-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jan 19, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 20, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 21, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jan 22, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 25, 201610-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jan 26, 201610-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jan 27, 201610-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jan 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Jan 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Feb 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Feb 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Feb 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Feb 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Feb 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Feb 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Mar 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.90% · Mar 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.93% · Mar 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.98% · Mar 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.92% · Mar 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.89% · Mar 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Mar 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Mar 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Apr 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Apr 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Apr 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Apr 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Apr 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Apr 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Apr 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Apr 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Apr 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.89% · Apr 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Apr 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Apr 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Apr 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Apr 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Apr 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · May 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · May 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · May 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · May 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · May 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · May 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · May 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · May 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · May 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · May 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jun 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jun 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Jun 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Jun 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Jun 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.64% · Jun 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jun 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 2016Dec 16, 2015Mar 16, 2016Jun 16, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury115 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,377.46/month

3.68% · Mar 10, 2016

At the later reference$1,360.57/month

3.58% · Apr 14, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $16.89 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →