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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

June 1994 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.3 percent before seasonal adjustment in June to a level of 148.0 (1982-84=100), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. For the…

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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.3 percent before seasonal adjustment in June to a level of 148.0 (1982-84=100), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. For the 12-month period ended in June, the CPI-U increased 2.5 percent.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) also increased 0.3 percent in June, prior to seasonal adjustment. The June 1994 CPI-W level of 145.4 was 2.4 percent higher than the index in June 1993.

CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U)

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI-U rose 0.3 percent in June after increasing 0.2 percent in May. An upturn in the index for energy was primarily responsible for the slightly larger advance in the overall CPI-U. After declining 1.0 percent in May, the energy index increased 0.1 percent in June, largely as a result of a turnaround in the gasoline index. The food index rose 0.3 percent, the same as in May. The June increase of 0.3 percent in the CPI-U excluding food and energy was also the same as in May.

Consumer prices rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 2.5 percent in the second quarter, the same as in the first quarter of 1994. The 2.5 percent annual rate during the first 6 months of 1994 compares with an increase of 2.7 percent for all of 1993. Thus far in 1994, as throughout the preceding 3 years, the food and energy components have continued to act as moderating influences on consumer price movements. Through the first 6 months of 1994, the food index increased at a 0.8 percent annual rate, while energy costs have declined at a 0.2 percent rate. A 1.0 percent decrease at an annual rate in the index for energy services more than offset a rise of 1.1 percent in the index for petroleum-based energy goods.

Excluding food and energy, the CPI-U has advanced at a 3.0 annual rate thus far in 1994. This follows a 3.2 percent increase in all of 1993 and continues the deceleration in this index since 1990. The moderation in 1994 thus far reflects a slowdown in the increase in charges for services, particularly those for medical care and public transportation. The index for services less energy, which increased 3.9 percent in 1993, has risen at a 3.3 percent annual rate in 1994. The index for commodities less food and energy has risen at a 2.4 percent annual rate, following a 1.6 percent rise in all of 1993. The rates for selected groups during the past 6-1/2 years are shown below.

Percent change 12 months SAAR 6 ended in December Mos end in June

The food and beverage index rose 0.3 percent in June, the same as in May. Grocery store food prices were up 0.4 percent in June, the same as in the preceding month. Another sharp advance in the index for fruits and vegetables accounted for about two-thirds of the June increase. A 1.5 percent decline in the index for fresh fruits was more than offset by increases of 6.3 percent in the index for fresh vegetables and 0.4 percent for processed fruits and vegetables. The indexes for cereal and bakery products and for other food at home also contributed to the June food advance, increasing 0.6 and 0.3 percent, respectively. On the other hand, the indexes for dairy products and for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs each declined slightly in June. Beef prices fell 0.7 percent in June and were 1.1 percent lower than a year earlier. The index for pork fell 0.7 percent, reflecting smaller than usual price increases in June. Poultry and egg prices, however, increased substantially in June--up 1.3 and 3.3 percent, respectively. The other two components of the food and beverage index--restaurant meals and alcoholic beverages--were unchanged and up 0.3 percent, respectively.

The housing component, which advanced 0.2 percent in May, rose 0.1 percent in June. Shelter costs increased 0.1 percent, following a 0.3 percent rise in May. Within shelter, renters' costs rose 0.1 percent, maintenance and repair costs were up 0.4 percent, and homeowners' costs were unchanged. The index for fuel and other utilities declined for the third consecutive month, down 0.1 percent in June. The index for household fuels fell 0.2 percent, as a 1.3 percent decline in the index for natural gas more than offset a 0.4 percent increase in the index for electricity. (Prior to seasonal adjustment, charges for electricity, reflecting the introduction of summer rates in some areas, rose 5.7 percent.) The index for fuel oil and other household fuels was unchanged in June. The index for other utilities and public services also was unchanged in June as a 0.5 percent decline in charges for cable television offset small increases in charges for telephone services, water and sewerage maintenance, and refuse collection. The index for household furnishings and operation advanced 0.3 percent in June.

The transportation index advanced 0.6 percent in June, following a decline of 0.4 percent in May. The indexes for public transportation and motor fuels, which had declined substantially in May, turned up in June. The index for gasoline, which declined 1.8 percent in May, rose 0.5 percent in June. (Prior to seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices rose 2.4 percent.) As of June, the gasoline index was 1.7 percent lower than a year earlier and 19.2 percent below its peak level of December 1990. Automobile purchase costs continued to advance in June. The index for new vehicles rose 0.6 percent and has advanced at a 4.7 percent seasonally adjusted annual rate during the first half of 1994. Automobile finance charges advanced 3.4 percent in June, following increases of 2.3 and 3.7 percent in the 2 preceding months. The index for used cars rose 1.2 percent. The index for public transportation increased 1.4 percent, following a 3.6 decline in May. Airline fares rebounded in June--up 3.0 percent--after registering a record 5.4 percent decline in May.

The index for apparel and upkeep advanced for the second consecutive month--up 0.6 percent in June--as seasonal price declines were somewhat less than usual again in June. (Prior to seasonal adjustment, prices for apparel and upkeep fell 0.6 and 1.3 percent in May and June, respectively.)

Medical care costs rose 0.4 percent in June, to a level 4.6 percent above a year earlier. The index for medical care commodities--prescription drugs, nonprescription drugs, and medical supplies--rose 0.3 percent in June. The index for medical care services rose 0.4 percent in June. Charges for professional services and hospital and related services increased 0.3 and 0.5 percent, respectively.

Entertainment costs, which increased 0.3 percent in May, declined 0.1 percent in June, reflecting widespread price declines. The index for entertainment commodities fell 0.1 percent, while that for entertainment services was unchanged on average.

The index for other goods and services rose 0.4 percent in June after advancing 0.6 percent in May. The index for tobacco and smoking products, which rose 1.3 percent in May, declined 0.1 percent in June. This decline was more than offset by increases in educational expenses for the summer sessions and a 1.2 percent rise in the cost of beauty parlor services.

CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W)

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers rose 0.3 percent in June.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jul 13, 1994.

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MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJun 13, 1994Publication referenceJul 13, 199430 days laterAug 12, 1994
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®8.25%Observed 8.68%Observed +43 bps vs. earlier reference8.57%Observed −11 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Apr 13, 1994 – Oct 13, 1994
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jul 13, 1994Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.8.00%8.50%9.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 8.26% · Apr 15, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.49% · Apr 22, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.32% · Apr 29, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.53% · May 6, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.77% · May 13, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.56% · May 20, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.53% · May 27, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.55% · Jun 3, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.25% · Jun 10, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.33% · Jun 17, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.46% · Jun 24, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.57% · Jul 1, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.68% · Jul 8, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.72% · Jul 15, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.53% · Jul 22, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.57% · Jul 29, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.38% · Aug 5, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.57% · Aug 12, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.54% · Aug 19, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.56% · Aug 26, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.48% · Sep 2, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.51% · Sep 9, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.66% · Sep 16, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.73% · Sep 23, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.82% · Sep 30, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.89% · Oct 7, 1994Apr 13, 1994Jul 13, 1994Oct 13, 1994
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$2,345.12/month

8.68% · Jul 8, 1994

At the later reference$2,321.64/month

8.57% · Aug 12, 1994

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $23.48 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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