Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 2nd Quarter 2026

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the second quarter of 2026 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In the…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the second quarter of 2026 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In the first quarter, real GDP increased 2.1 percent.

The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the second quarter were increases in consumer spending, exports, and investment that were partly offset by a decrease in government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

Real GDP increased at the same rate as in the advance estimate. An upward revision to consumer spending was partly offset by an upward revision to imports. For more information, refer to the "Technical Notes" below.

Compared to the first quarter, the deceleration in real GDP in the second quarter reflected a downturn in government spending and decelerations in investment and exports that were partly offset by an acceleration in consumer spending. Imports increased more in the second quarter than in the first quarter.

Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, the sum of consumer spending and gross private fixed investment, increased 4.2 percent in the second quarter, revised up 0.3 percentage point from the previous estimate.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 5.8 percent in the second quarter, revised up 0.1 percentage point from the previous estimate. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 5.3 percent, revised up 0.2 percentage point, and the PCE price index excluding food and energy increased 3.6 percent, also revised up 0.2 percentage point.

Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 2.2 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 1.2 percent in the first quarter. The average of real GDP and real GDI increased 1.8 percent, compared with an increase of 1.7 percent.

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $400.9 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $74.4 billion in the first quarter.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Aug 26, 2026.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish annualized growth from growth over a year

Real GDP measures inflation-adjusted production. BEA usually reports quarter-to-quarter growth at an annualized pace: the result if that quarter’s growth continued for four quarters, rather than the actual change over the past year. Check whether the article is an advance, second or third estimate and which quarter it covers. Additional data and later annual updates can change earlier estimates. Read consumer spending, investment and other components alongside the headline. The benchmark window supplies historical context; it does not identify the report’s effect on mortgage rates. BEA GDP definitions, statistical conventions and revisions.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 27, 2026Publication referenceAug 26, 202630 days laterSep 25, 2026
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.58%Observed 6.65%Observed +7 bps vs. earlier reference7.03%Observed +38 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.65%Observed 4.66%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference5.17%Observed +51 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 26, 2026 – Nov 26, 2026
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 26, 2026Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.00%5.75%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · May 28, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jun 4, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Jun 11, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.47% · Jun 18, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jun 25, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Jul 2, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jul 9, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.55% · Jul 16, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Jul 23, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Jul 30, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Aug 6, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Aug 13, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Aug 20, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Aug 27, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Sep 3, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.76% · Sep 10, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.95% · Sep 17, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.03% · Sep 24, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.28% · Oct 1, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.40% · Oct 8, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.40% · Oct 15, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.32% · Oct 22, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.24% · Oct 29, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Nov 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · May 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · May 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jun 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.53% · Jun 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · Jun 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jun 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jun 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jun 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.44% · Jun 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jul 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.54% · Jul 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.62% · Jul 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.58% · Jul 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · Jul 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.60% · Jul 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Jul 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.71% · Jul 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Jul 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Jul 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.61% · Jul 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Jul 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.75% · Jul 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Aug 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Aug 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.72% · Aug 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Aug 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Aug 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.72% · Aug 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.71% · Aug 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Aug 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Aug 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.74% · Aug 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.64% · Aug 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.66% · Aug 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Aug 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.73% · Aug 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.75% · Aug 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.79% · Sep 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.79% · Sep 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.77% · Sep 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.78% · Sep 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.80% · Sep 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.83% · Sep 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.95% · Sep 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.97% · Sep 14, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Sep 15, 202610-year Treasury: 5.01% · Sep 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.94% · Sep 17, 202610-year Treasury: 5.01% · Sep 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Sep 22, 202610-year Treasury: 5.11% · Sep 23, 202610-year Treasury: 5.18% · Sep 24, 202610-year Treasury: 5.17% · Sep 25, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Sep 28, 202610-year Treasury: 5.26% · Sep 29, 202610-year Treasury: 5.29% · Sep 30, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Oct 1, 202610-year Treasury: 5.28% · Oct 2, 202610-year Treasury: 5.31% · Oct 5, 202610-year Treasury: 5.27% · Oct 6, 202610-year Treasury: 5.28% · Oct 7, 202610-year Treasury: 5.22% · Oct 8, 202610-year Treasury: 5.24% · Oct 9, 202610-year Treasury: 5.21% · Oct 13, 202610-year Treasury: 5.19% · Oct 14, 202610-year Treasury: 5.10% · Oct 15, 202610-year Treasury: 5.09% · Oct 16, 202610-year Treasury: 5.15% · Oct 19, 202610-year Treasury: 5.12% · Oct 20, 202610-year Treasury: 5.13% · Oct 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.96% · Oct 22, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Oct 23, 202610-year Treasury: 5.00% · Oct 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.99% · Oct 27, 202610-year Treasury: 5.05% · Oct 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.98% · Oct 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.94% · Oct 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.91% · Nov 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.95% · Nov 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.90% · Nov 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.84% · Nov 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.86% · Nov 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.88% · Nov 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.98% · Nov 10, 2026May 26, 2026Aug 26, 2026Nov 26, 2026
30-year fixed mortgage24 observations10-year Treasury117 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The future portion of the window has no observations. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,925.89/month

6.65% · Aug 20, 2026

At the later reference$2,001.96/month

7.03% · Sep 24, 2026

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $76.06 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

Understand the Treasury–mortgage relationship →See current advertised mortgage options →