2019 Third Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2019, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.1 percent and hours worked increased 2.4 percent. (All quarterly…
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics4 min read
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Third Quarter 2019, Preliminary
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2019, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.1 percent and hours worked increased 2.4 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the third quarter of 2018 to the third quarter of 2019, productivity increased 1.4 percent, reflecting a 2.3-percent increase in output and a 0.9-percent increase in hours worked. (See table A1.)
Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.
Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 3.6 percent in the third quarter of 2019, reflecting a 3.3-percent increase in compensation per hour and a 0.3-percent decline in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 3.1 percent over the last four quarters. (See table 2.)
BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs, and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.
Hours worked data for the nonfarm business labor productivity measures include hours worked for all persons working in the sector--wage and salary workers, the self-employed, and unpaid family workers. Quarterly changes in hours worked by self-employed and unpaid family workers are more volatile than for wage and salary workers. In the third quarter of 2019, self-employed workers made an unusually large contribution to growth in hours worked by all persons. (See Technical Notes section for further information.)
Manufacturing sector labor productivity declined 0.1 percent in the third quarter of 2019, as output increased 1.1 percent and hours worked increased 1.3 percent. Total manufacturing sector productivity also declined 0.1 percent over the last four quarters, as output decreased 0.5 percent and hours worked decreased 0.4 percent. (See tables A1 and 3.) Productivity increased 1.2 percent in the durable manufacturing sector in the third quarter of 2019, reflecting a 2.4-percent increase in output and a 1.2- percent increase in hours worked. Productivity decreased 1.5 percent in the nondurable manufacturing sector as output declined 0.2 percent and hours worked increased 1.3 percent. (See tables A1, 4, and 5.) Unit labor costs in the manufacturing sector increased 3.6 percent in the third quarter of 2019, and increased 4.9 percent from the same quarter a year ago.
The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.
Revised measures
Revised and previous measures for the second quarter of 2019 are shown in tables A2 and B1, covering the following major sectors: nonfarm business, business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporations.
In the second quarter of 2019, nonfarm business sector productivity increased 2.5 percent, slightly more than reported on September 5. Unit labor costs increased 2.4 percent during the second quarter, slightly less than previously reported. In the manufacturing sector, productivity was revised down 0.2 percentage point to a decrease of 2.4 percent in the second quarter of 2019. Durable manufacturing productivity decreased 0.8 percent and nondurable manufacturing productivity fell 4.3 percent after revisions. Unit labor costs in total manufacturing increased 6.9 percent in the second quarter of 2019 rather than increasing 6.7 percent as reported September 5.
Second-quarter 2019 measures of productivity and costs were revised for the nonfinancial corporate sector. Productivity increased 2.5 percent rather than increasing 2.8 percent as previously reported. Unit labor costs increased 2.5 percent rather than the preliminary estimate of a 2.2-percent increase. (See table A2.)
Complete annual and quarterly data series can be found on the Productivity and Costs home page: www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.
Manufacturing Previous quarter -0.1 1.1 1.3 3.5 1.7 3.6 A Year ago -0.1 -0.5 -0.4 4.8 3.0 4.9 Durable manufacturing Previous quarter 1.2 2.4 1.2 3.1 1.3 1.9 A year ago 0.6 0.6 0.0 4.8 3.0 4.2 Nondurable manufacturing Previous quarter -1.5 -0.2 1.3 4.3 2.4 5.8 A year ago -0.6 -1.7 -1.1 4.8 2.9 5.4
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MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context
The mortgage market around this release
This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.
Separate output per hour from compensation per unit
Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.
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What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan
At the publication reference$1,394.46/month
3.78% · Oct 31, 2019
At the later reference$1,377.46/month
3.68% · Dec 5, 2019
The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $17.00 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.
Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.
Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®: available observations from Apr 2, 1971 through Nov 5, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
U.S. Department of the Treasury: available observations from Jan 4, 2016 through Nov 10, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
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Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.