2018 Fourth Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs
Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 1.3 percent during the fourth quarter of 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.3 percent and hours worked increased 1.0 percent. (All quarterly…
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics3 min read
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Fourth Quarter and Annual Averages 2018, Preliminary
Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 1.3 percent during the fourth quarter of 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.3 percent and hours worked increased 1.0 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the fourth quarter of 2017 to the fourth quarter of 2018, manufacturing productivity increased 0.7 percent, reflecting a 2.8-percent increase in output and a 2.1-percent increase in hours worked. (See tables A1 and 3.) Annual average productivity increased 0.6 percent from 2017 to 2018. (See table C1.)
Durable manufacturing labor productivity increased 2.6 percent, with output increasing 5.7 percent and hours increasing 3.0 percent. Labor productivity in the nondurable manufacturing sector increased 1.2 percent, with output declining 1.2 percent and hours declining 2.4 percent. (See tables A1, 4, and 5.)
Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.
Revised measures
Revised and previously published measures for the third quarter of 2018 are shown in tables A2 and B1 and cover the following major sectors: nonfarm business, business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporations.
In the third quarter of 2018, nonfarm business productivity was revised down 0.1 percentage point, to an increase of 2.2 percent. (See table B1.) Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 0.9 percent in the third quarter, the same rate as previously reported.
In the manufacturing sector, productivity was revised up 0.1 percentage point, to an increase of 1.1 percent. Manufacturing unit labor costs decreased 1.3 percent, a 0.1-percentage point downward revision from the previously reported figure.
In the nonfinancial corporate sector, productivity was revised up 0.6 percentage point in the third quarter of 2018, to an increase of 6.1 percent--the largest increase since a 6.7-percent increase in the fourth quarter of 2012. This upward revision to productivity is due primarily to a 0.6-percentage point upward revision to output, with a small contribution from a 0.1-percentage point downward revision to hours. (See table A2.)
Annual averages
Quarterly and annual data, where available, for all sectors from 2016 to 2018 appear in tables 1-6. Full historical measures can be found on the Productivity and Costs home page: www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.
Data in this release do not reflect the annual benchmark revision of the BLS Current Employment Statistics program data released February 1, 2019. This benchmark will be incorporated in our next release on March 7, 2019.
Nonfarm business Previous quarter N.A. N.A. 1.6 N.A. N.A. N.A. A year ago N.A. N.A. 1.9 N.A. N.A. N.A.
Business Previous quarter N.A. N.A. 1.7 N.A. N.A. N.A. A year ago N.A. N.A. 1.8 N.A. N.A. N.A.
Manufacturing Previous quarter 1.3 2.3 1.0 N.A. N.A. N.A. A Year ago 0.7 2.8 2.1 N.A. N.A. N.A.
Durable Previous quarter 2.6 5.7 3.0 N.A. N.A. N.A. manufacturing A year ago 1.3 4.4 3.1 N.A. N.A. N.A.
Nondurable Previous quarter 1.2 -1.2 -2.4 N.A. N.A. N.A. manufacturing A year ago 0.7 1.1 0.4 N.A. N.A. N.A.
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MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context
The mortgage market around this release
This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.
Separate output per hour from compensation per unit
Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.
Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.
What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan
At the publication reference$1,512.93/month
4.46% · Jan 31, 2019
At the later reference$1,504.06/month
4.41% · Mar 7, 2019
The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $8.88 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.
Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.
Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®: available observations from Apr 2, 1971 through Nov 5, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
U.S. Department of the Treasury: available observations from Jan 4, 2016 through Nov 10, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.
Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.