2018 Third Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.2 percent during the third quarter of 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 4.1 percent and hours worked increased 1.8 percent. (All…
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics3 min read
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Third Quarter 2018, Preliminary
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.2 percent during the third quarter of 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 4.1 percent and hours worked increased 1.8 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the third quarter of 2017 to the third quarter of 2018, productivity increased 1.3 percent, reflecting a 3.7-percent increase in output and a 2.4-percent increase in hours worked. (See tables A1 and 2.)
Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.
Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 1.2 percent in the third quarter of 2018, reflecting a 3.5-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 2.2-percent increase in labor productivity. Unit labor costs increased 1.5 percent over the last four quarters. (See tables A1 and 2.)
BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs, and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.
Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 0.5 percent in the third quarter of 2018, as output increased 3.4 percent and hours worked increased 2.9 percent. Productivity increased 1.5 percent in the durable manufacturing sector, as output rose 4.9 percent and hours worked increased 3.4 percent. In the non-durable goods manufacturing sector, a 0.1-percent decline in productivity reflected a 1.9-percent increase in output and a 2.0-percent increase in hours worked. Over the last four quarters, total manufacturing sector productivity increased 1.3 percent, as output increased 3.4 percent and hours worked increased 2.1 percent. Unit labor costs in manufacturing increased 0.9 percent in the third quarter of 2018 and increased 0.9 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1 and 3.)
The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.
Revised measures
Revised and previous measures for the second quarter of 2018 are shown in tables A2 and B1, covering the following major sectors: nonfarm business, business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporations.
In the second quarter of 2018, nonfarm business sector productivity increased 3.0 percent, slightly higher than reported on September 6. Unit labor costs declined 1.0 percent during the second quarter, the same rate as previously reported. In the manufacturing sector, productivity was revised down 0.3 percentage point to an increase of 1.2 percent, due to a downward revision to output. Durable manufacturing productivity was revised down from 1.1 percent to 0.3 percent, due to a downward revision to output; nondurable manufacturing productivity was revised up slightly to 2.4 percent. Unit labor costs in total manufacturing increased 0.1 percent rather than decreasing 0.2 percent as previously reported.
Second-quarter 2018 measures of productivity and costs were revised for the nonfinancial corporate sector. Productivity decreased 0.9 percent rather than decreasing 0.7 percent as previously reported. Unit labor costs increased 2.7 percent rather than the preliminary estimate of a 2.4-percent increase. (See table A2.)
Complete annual and quarterly data series can be found on the Productivity and Costs home page: www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.
Manufacturing Previous quarter 0.5 3.4 2.9 1.5 -0.5 0.9 A Year ago 1.3 3.4 2.1 2.2 -0.4 0.9 Durable manufacturing Previous quarter 1.5 4.9 3.4 1.8 -0.2 0.3 A year ago 1.6 4.0 2.4 2.7 0.1 1.1 Nondurable manufacturing Previous quarter -0.1 1.9 2.0 0.8 -1.2 0.9 A year ago 1.2 2.7 1.5 1.2 -1.4 0.0
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MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context
The mortgage market around this release
This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.
Separate output per hour from compensation per unit
Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.
Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.
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What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan
At the publication reference$1,579.44/month
4.83% · Nov 1, 2018
At the later reference$1,575.81/month
4.81% · Nov 29, 2018
The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $3.63 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.
Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.
Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®: available observations from Apr 2, 1971 through Nov 5, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
U.S. Department of the Treasury: available observations from Jan 4, 2016 through Nov 10, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.
Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.