Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

2017 Fourth Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 0.1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.2 percent and hours worked increased 3.3 percent. (All…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

Read the release

Original source →

Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

Fourth Quarter and Annual Averages 2017, Preliminary

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 0.1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.2 percent and hours worked increased 3.3 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the fourth quarter of 2016 to the fourth quarter of 2017, productivity increased 1.1 percent, reflecting a 3.2-percent increase in output and a 2.1-percent increase in hours worked. (See tables A1 and 2.) Annual average productivity increased 1.2 percent from 2016 to 2017. (See table C1.)

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 2.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017, due primarily to a 1.8-percent increase in hourly compensation. Unit labor costs increased 1.3 percent over the last four quarters. (See tables A1 and 2.)

BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs, and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.

Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017, as output increased 7.3 percent and hours worked rose 1.5 percent. These were the largest quarterly increases in manufacturing sector productivity and output since the second quarter of 2010, when output per hour increased 7.0 percent and output jumped 10.7 percent. Productivity increased 6.7 percent in the durable goods manufacturing sector and 4.5 percent in the nondurable goods sector in the fourth quarter of 2017. Over the last four quarters, total manufacturing sector productivity increased 1.1 percent, as output increased 2.7 percent and hours worked increased 1.6 percent. Unit labor costs in manufacturing decreased 3.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017 and increased 1.1 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1 and 3.)

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Revised measures

Revised and previously published measures for the third quarter of 2017 are shown in tables A2 and B1 and cover the following major sectors: nonfarm business, business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporations.

In the third quarter of 2017, nonfarm business productivity was revised down 0.3 percentage point, to an increase of 2.7 percent. (See table B1.) Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector decreased 0.1 percent in the third quarter--rather than declining 0.2 percent as previously reported.

In the manufacturing sector, productivity was revised down 0.5 percentage point, to a decrease of 4.9 percent. Manufacturing unit labor costs increased 5.4 percent, a 0.6 percentage point increase over the previously reported figure.

In the nonfinancial corporate sector, productivity was revised down 0.4 percentage point in the third quarter of 2017, to a decrease of 0.4 percent. This downward revision to productivity is due primarily to a 0.3-percentage point downward revision to output. (See table A2.)

Annual averages

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 0.2 percent in 2017, reflecting increases of 1.5 percent in hourly compensation and 1.2 percent in productivity. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account changes in consumer prices, decreased 0.7 percent in 2017.

In the manufacturing sector, productivity increased 0.7 percent in 2017, as output increased 1.7 percent and hours worked increased 1.0 percent. Manufacturing sector productivity has grown less than 1.0 percent in each of the last 7 years. The average annual rate of manufacturing productivity growth from 2007 to 2017 is 0.8 percent, well below the long-term rate from 1987 to 2017 of 2.7 percent. Unit labor costs increased 0.9 percent in 2017.

Quarterly and annual data for all sectors from 2015 to 2017 appear in tables 1-6. Full historical measures can be found on the Productivity and Costs home page: www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.

Data in this release do not reflect the annual benchmark revision of the BLS Current Employment Statistics program data to be released February 2, 2018. This benchmark will be incorporated in our next release on March 7, 2018.

Manufacturing Previous quarter 5.7 7.3 1.5 1.8 -1.8 -3.7 A Year ago 1.1 2.7 1.6 2.2 0.0 1.1 Durable manufacturing Previous quarter 6.7 8.2 1.4 2.6 -1.0 -3.8 A year ago 1.4 2.7 1.3 2.7 0.5 1.3 Nondurable manufacturing Previous quarter 4.5 6.4 1.8 0.3 -3.3 -4.0 A year ago 0.5 2.6 2.1 1.3 -0.8 0.8

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 1, 2018.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate output per hour from compensation per unit

Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 2, 2018Publication referenceFeb 1, 201830 days laterMar 3, 2018
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.99%Observed 4.22%Observed +23 bps vs. earlier reference4.43%Observed +21 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.46%Observed 2.78%Observed +32 bps vs. earlier reference2.86%Observed +8 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 1, 2017 – May 1, 2018
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 1, 2018Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.00%3.50%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Nov 2, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Nov 9, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Nov 16, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Nov 22, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Nov 30, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Dec 7, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 14, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Dec 21, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · Dec 28, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Jan 4, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · Jan 11, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jan 18, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.15% · Jan 25, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.22% · Feb 1, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.32% · Feb 8, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.38% · Feb 15, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.40% · Feb 22, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.43% · Mar 1, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.46% · Mar 8, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.44% · Mar 15, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Mar 22, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.44% · Mar 29, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.40% · Apr 5, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.42% · Apr 12, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.47% · Apr 19, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.58% · Apr 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.37% · Nov 1, 201710-year Treasury: 2.35% · Nov 2, 201710-year Treasury: 2.34% · Nov 3, 201710-year Treasury: 2.32% · Nov 6, 201710-year Treasury: 2.32% · Nov 7, 201710-year Treasury: 2.32% · Nov 8, 201710-year Treasury: 2.33% · Nov 9, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Nov 10, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Nov 13, 201710-year Treasury: 2.38% · Nov 14, 201710-year Treasury: 2.33% · Nov 15, 201710-year Treasury: 2.37% · Nov 16, 201710-year Treasury: 2.35% · Nov 17, 201710-year Treasury: 2.37% · Nov 20, 201710-year Treasury: 2.36% · Nov 21, 201710-year Treasury: 2.32% · Nov 22, 201710-year Treasury: 2.34% · Nov 24, 201710-year Treasury: 2.32% · Nov 27, 201710-year Treasury: 2.34% · Nov 28, 201710-year Treasury: 2.37% · Nov 29, 201710-year Treasury: 2.42% · Nov 30, 201710-year Treasury: 2.37% · Dec 1, 201710-year Treasury: 2.37% · Dec 4, 201710-year Treasury: 2.36% · Dec 5, 201710-year Treasury: 2.33% · Dec 6, 201710-year Treasury: 2.37% · Dec 7, 201710-year Treasury: 2.38% · Dec 8, 201710-year Treasury: 2.39% · Dec 11, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Dec 12, 201710-year Treasury: 2.36% · Dec 13, 201710-year Treasury: 2.35% · Dec 14, 201710-year Treasury: 2.35% · Dec 15, 201710-year Treasury: 2.39% · Dec 18, 201710-year Treasury: 2.46% · Dec 19, 201710-year Treasury: 2.49% · Dec 20, 201710-year Treasury: 2.48% · Dec 21, 201710-year Treasury: 2.48% · Dec 22, 201710-year Treasury: 2.47% · Dec 26, 201710-year Treasury: 2.42% · Dec 27, 201710-year Treasury: 2.43% · Dec 28, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Dec 29, 201710-year Treasury: 2.46% · Jan 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.44% · Jan 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.46% · Jan 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.47% · Jan 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.49% · Jan 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.55% · Jan 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.55% · Jan 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.54% · Jan 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.55% · Jan 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.54% · Jan 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.57% · Jan 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.62% · Jan 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.64% · Jan 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.66% · Jan 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.63% · Jan 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.65% · Jan 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.63% · Jan 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.66% · Jan 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.70% · Jan 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.73% · Jan 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.72% · Jan 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.78% · Feb 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Feb 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Feb 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Feb 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Feb 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Feb 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Feb 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Feb 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Feb 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Feb 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Feb 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Feb 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Feb 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Feb 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Feb 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Feb 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Feb 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Feb 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Feb 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Mar 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Mar 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Mar 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Mar 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Mar 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Mar 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Mar 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Mar 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Mar 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Mar 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Mar 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Mar 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.78% · Mar 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Mar 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.74% · Mar 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.73% · Apr 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Apr 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.78% · Apr 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.80% · Apr 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Apr 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Apr 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Apr 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Apr 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Apr 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Apr 23, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Apr 24, 201810-year Treasury: 3.03% · Apr 25, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Apr 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Apr 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Apr 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 1, 2018Nov 1, 2017Feb 1, 2018May 1, 2018
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury124 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,470.56/month

4.22% · Feb 1, 2018

At the later reference$1,507.60/month

4.43% · Mar 1, 2018

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $37.05 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

Understand the Treasury–mortgage relationship →See current advertised mortgage options →