2017 Fourth Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 0.1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.2 percent and hours worked increased 3.3 percent. (All…
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics4 min read
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Fourth Quarter and Annual Averages 2017, Preliminary
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 0.1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.2 percent and hours worked increased 3.3 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the fourth quarter of 2016 to the fourth quarter of 2017, productivity increased 1.1 percent, reflecting a 3.2-percent increase in output and a 2.1-percent increase in hours worked. (See tables A1 and 2.) Annual average productivity increased 1.2 percent from 2016 to 2017. (See table C1.)
Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.
Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 2.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017, due primarily to a 1.8-percent increase in hourly compensation. Unit labor costs increased 1.3 percent over the last four quarters. (See tables A1 and 2.)
BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs, and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.
Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017, as output increased 7.3 percent and hours worked rose 1.5 percent. These were the largest quarterly increases in manufacturing sector productivity and output since the second quarter of 2010, when output per hour increased 7.0 percent and output jumped 10.7 percent. Productivity increased 6.7 percent in the durable goods manufacturing sector and 4.5 percent in the nondurable goods sector in the fourth quarter of 2017. Over the last four quarters, total manufacturing sector productivity increased 1.1 percent, as output increased 2.7 percent and hours worked increased 1.6 percent. Unit labor costs in manufacturing decreased 3.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017 and increased 1.1 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1 and 3.)
The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.
Revised measures
Revised and previously published measures for the third quarter of 2017 are shown in tables A2 and B1 and cover the following major sectors: nonfarm business, business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporations.
In the third quarter of 2017, nonfarm business productivity was revised down 0.3 percentage point, to an increase of 2.7 percent. (See table B1.) Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector decreased 0.1 percent in the third quarter--rather than declining 0.2 percent as previously reported.
In the manufacturing sector, productivity was revised down 0.5 percentage point, to a decrease of 4.9 percent. Manufacturing unit labor costs increased 5.4 percent, a 0.6 percentage point increase over the previously reported figure.
In the nonfinancial corporate sector, productivity was revised down 0.4 percentage point in the third quarter of 2017, to a decrease of 0.4 percent. This downward revision to productivity is due primarily to a 0.3-percentage point downward revision to output. (See table A2.)
Annual averages
Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 0.2 percent in 2017, reflecting increases of 1.5 percent in hourly compensation and 1.2 percent in productivity. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account changes in consumer prices, decreased 0.7 percent in 2017.
In the manufacturing sector, productivity increased 0.7 percent in 2017, as output increased 1.7 percent and hours worked increased 1.0 percent. Manufacturing sector productivity has grown less than 1.0 percent in each of the last 7 years. The average annual rate of manufacturing productivity growth from 2007 to 2017 is 0.8 percent, well below the long-term rate from 1987 to 2017 of 2.7 percent. Unit labor costs increased 0.9 percent in 2017.
Quarterly and annual data for all sectors from 2015 to 2017 appear in tables 1-6. Full historical measures can be found on the Productivity and Costs home page: www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.
Data in this release do not reflect the annual benchmark revision of the BLS Current Employment Statistics program data to be released February 2, 2018. This benchmark will be incorporated in our next release on March 7, 2018.
Manufacturing Previous quarter 5.7 7.3 1.5 1.8 -1.8 -3.7 A Year ago 1.1 2.7 1.6 2.2 0.0 1.1 Durable manufacturing Previous quarter 6.7 8.2 1.4 2.6 -1.0 -3.8 A year ago 1.4 2.7 1.3 2.7 0.5 1.3 Nondurable manufacturing Previous quarter 4.5 6.4 1.8 0.3 -3.3 -4.0 A year ago 0.5 2.6 2.1 1.3 -0.8 0.8
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MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context
The mortgage market around this release
This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.
Separate output per hour from compensation per unit
Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.
Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.
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What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan
At the publication reference$1,470.56/month
4.22% · Feb 1, 2018
At the later reference$1,507.60/month
4.43% · Mar 1, 2018
The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $37.05 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.
Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.
Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®: available observations from Apr 2, 1971 through Nov 5, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
U.S. Department of the Treasury: available observations from Jan 4, 2016 through Nov 10, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.
Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.