Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

2012 Fourth Quarter (Revised) Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 1.9 percent annual rate during the fourth quarter of 2012, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The decrease in productivity reflects increases of 0.5 percent in…

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Fourth Quarter and Annual Averages 2012, Revised

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 1.9 percent annual rate during the fourth quarter of 2012, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The decrease in productivity reflects increases of 0.5 percent in output and 2.5 percent in hours worked. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the fourth quarter of 2011 to the fourth quarter of 2012, productivity increased 0.5 percent as output and hours worked increased 2.5 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively. (See table A.) Annual average productivity increased 0.7 percent from 2011 to 2012. (See table C.)

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked of all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers. The measures released today were based on more recent source data than were available for the preliminary report.

Unit labor costs in nonfarm businesses increased 4.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012, the combined effect of the 1.9 percent decrease in productivity and a 2.6 percent increase in hourly compensation. Unit labor costs rose 2.1 percent over the last four quarters. (See table A.)

BLS defines unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity; increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.

Data in this release reflect the annual benchmark revision of BLS Current Employment Statistics program data on nonfarm employment and hours, and the revised seasonal adjustment of those data. More detail can be found in tables 1 through 6 and appendix tables 1 through 6. See Revised measures.

Manufacturing sector productivity increased 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012, as output increased 2.5 percent and hours increased 0.4 percent. Productivity increased 2.7 percent in the durable goods sector and increased 1.7 percent in the nondurable goods sector. Over the last four quarters, manufacturing productivity increased 1.8 percent, as output increased 3.3 percent and hours worked rose 1.4 percent. Unit labor costs in manufacturing decreased 1.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012 and increased 2.3 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A and 3.)

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing and nonfinancial corporate output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Revised measures

Quarterly and annual measures of hours and related series including productivity for all sectors were revised back to 1990 to incorporate revised Current Employment Statistics program data published February 1, 2013. The data were subject to revision from 2008 forward as a result of annual benchmarking of establishment survey data and revised seasonal adjustment of those data, and from 1990 to 2008 due to other minor revisions. All index measures related to hours show historical revisions because the 2005 base year values were revised; resulting revisions to percent changes are small. Third quarter, fourth quarter, and annual average data for 2012 were also revised for regular updates of source data on output and compensation. Revised and previous measures for the third and fourth quarters of 2012 are shown in table B for the business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing sectors. Revised annual average measures for 2008 to 2012 are shown in table C for the nonfarm business and manufacturing sectors. Revised third quarter measures for the nonfinancial corporate sector are shown in table D. Quarterly and annual data for all sectors appear in tables 1-6 for 2010 through 2012, and in appendix tables 1-6 for 2008 and 2009. Full historical annual and quarterly measures can be found on the labor productivity and costs home page at http://www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.

In the fourth quarter of 2012, nonfarm business productivity declined 1.9 percent, as output was revised upward slightly more than hours. Unit labor costs rose 4.6 percent, about the same as the preliminary estimate. Manufacturing productivity growth was revised upward, to 2.1 percent, reflecting an upward revision to output that was larger than an upward revision to hours. Due to both the upward revision to productivity and a downward revision to hourly compensation, manufacturing unit labor costs fell 1.9 percent, rather than rising 0.4 percent as reported in the preliminary release. (See table B.)

In the third quarter of 2012, nonfarm business productivity growth was little changed, at 3.1 percent, reflecting a slight upward revision to hours. However, unit labor costs decreased 1.9 percent rather than falling 2.3 percent as reported February 7, due to an upward revision to hourly compensation and the slight downward revision to productivity. In the manufacturing sector, productivity was not revised in the third quarter. Unit labor costs increased less than previously reported due to a downward revision to hourly compensation. (See table B.)

Annual Average productivity growth for 2012 in the nonfarm business sector was revised down slightly to 0.7 percent, due to an upward revision to hours worked. The 2.2 percent increase in hours was the largest since a similar gain in 2006. The upward revision to hours also led to a downward revision to compensation per hour. The increase of 1.4 percent in hourly compensation is the smallest in the annual series which begins in 1948 except for another 1.4 percent increase in 2009. Real hourly compensation, which also takes into account changes in consumer prices, decreased 0.6 percent in 2012 in the nonfarm business sector, the same as the decline in 2011. Nonfarm business unit labor costs rose 0.7 percent in 2012, as previously reported. (See table C.)

Manufacturing sector productivity grew 2.2 percent in 2012, reflecting a 4.5 percent increase in output combined with a 2.3 percent increase in hours. The increase in hours worked was the largest since 1994, and follows a 2.1 percent increase in 2011. Unit labor costs were revised downward to 0.0 percent in the manufacturing sector.

Sector Nonfarm Durable Nondurable Business Business Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y

Sector Nonfarm Durable Nondurable Business Business Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous

Percent change, annual rate fourth quarter 2012

Percent change, annual rate, third quarter 2012

Percent change, annual rate, third quarter 2012

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 7, 2013.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate output per hour from compensation per unit

Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 5, 2013Publication referenceMar 7, 201330 days laterApr 6, 2013
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.53%Observed 3.52%Observed −1 bps vs. earlier reference3.54%Observed +2 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 7, 2012 – Jun 7, 2013
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 7, 2013Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%3.50%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.32% · Dec 13, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.37% · Dec 20, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.35% · Dec 27, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.34% · Jan 3, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.40% · Jan 10, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.38% · Jan 17, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Jan 24, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.53% · Jan 31, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.53% · Feb 7, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.53% · Feb 14, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Feb 21, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.51% · Feb 28, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.52% · Mar 7, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.63% · Mar 14, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Mar 21, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Mar 28, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Apr 4, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Apr 11, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.41% · Apr 18, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.40% · Apr 25, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.35% · May 2, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · May 9, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.51% · May 16, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · May 23, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · May 30, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Jun 6, 2013Dec 7, 2012Mar 7, 2013Jun 7, 2013
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,350.49/month

3.52% · Mar 7, 2013

At the later reference$1,353.84/month

3.54% · Apr 4, 2013

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $3.36 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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