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Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

2000 First Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs

The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported preliminary productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons--for the first quarter of 2000. The seasonally adjusted annual rates of…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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First Quarter 2000

The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported preliminary productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons--for the first quarter of 2000. The seasonally adjusted annual rates of productivity change in the first quarter were:

1.8 percent in the business sector and 2.4 percent in the nonfarm business sector.

These productivity gains were smaller than the gains of the previous quarter (6.6 percent in the business sector and 6.9 percent in the nonfarm business sector, as revised). Output growth in the first quarter, 6.0 percent in both sectors, slowed somewhat from the rapid fourth-quarter pace, and hours of all persons in the first quarter grew more rapidly. First- quarter measures are summarized in table A and appear in detail in tables 1 through 5.

In manufacturing, productivity changes in the first quarter were:

6.9 percent in manufacturing, 9.9 percent in durable goods manufacturing, and 2.7 percent in nondurable goods manufacturing.

Productivity growth in manufacturing in the first quarter of 2000 reflected a strong increase in output, 6.2 percent, and a slight drop in the hours of all persons, -0.6 percent. Output and hours in manufacturing, which includes about 17 percent of U.S. business-sector employment, tend to vary more from quarter to quarter than data for the more aggregate business and nonfarm business sectors.

Historical measures of productivity and costs have been revised. See "Revised measures".

The data sources and methods used in the preparation of the manufacturing series differ from those used in preparing the business and nonfarm business series, and these measures are not directly comparable. Output measures for business and nonfarm business are based on measures of gross domestic product prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. Quarterly output measures for manufacturing reflect indexes of industrial production independently prepared by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. See Technical Notes for further information on data sources.

Business

Productivity in the business sector increased at a 1.8 percent annual rate from the fourth quarter of 1999 to the first quarter of 2000, as output increased 6.0 percent and hours of all persons engaged in the sector rose 4.2 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). Revised data for the fourth quarter of 1999 show that output per hour increased 6.6 percent, output increased 8.6 percent, and hours of all persons grew 1.9 percent (table 1).

Hourly compensation increased 3.7 percent during the first quarter of 2000. This measure includes wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions to employee benefit plans, and taxes. Unit labor costs, which reflect changes in hourly compensation and productivity, increased at a 1.9 percent rate during the first quarter, after declining by 3.1 percent one quarter earlier.

Real hourly compensation, which takes into account changes in consumer prices, declined at a 0.2 percent annual rate in the first quarter, following 15 consecutive quarterly increases.

The implicit price deflator for the business sector, which reflects changes in both unit labor costs and unit nonlabor payments, rose at a 2.2 percent annual rate in the first quarter.

Nonfarm business

Productivity increased 2.4 percent in the nonfarm business sector in the first quarter, as output increased 6.0 percent and hours of all persons rose 3.6 percent. During the fourth quarter of 1999, productivity had increased 6.9 percent in this sector, reflecting gains of 8.5 percent in output and 1.5 percent in hours (table 2).

Hourly compensation increased at a 4.2 percent annual rate in the first quarter. When the rise in consumer prices was taken into account, real hourly compensation rose 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2000; it had increased 0.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 1999.

Unit labor costs rose 1.8 percent in the first quarter, after falling 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 1999. The implicit price deflator for nonfarm business output rose 2.3 percent in the first quarter, compared with a 1.9 percent rise one quarter earlier.

Manufacturing

Productivity increased at a 6.9 percent seasonally adjusted annual rate in manufacturing in the first quarter of 2000, as output increased 6.2 percent and hours of all persons declined 0.6 percent. Productivity grew in both the durable and nondurable sectors of manufacturing, 9.9 and 2.7 percent, respectively. In durable goods manufacturing, output rose at a 9.6 percent annual rate in the first quarter, as hours fell 0.3 percent. Nondurable goods manufacturing output rose 1.5 percent in the first quarter, and hours declined by 1.1 percent.

Hourly compensation of all manufacturing workers rose 3.8 percent during the first quarter, but real hourly compensation fell off slightly, -0.1 percent. The hourly compensation of workers in durable goods manufacturing rose 3.1 percent, while that of employees in nondurable goods manufacturing grew 5.0 percent.

Unit labor costs in manufacturing fell 2.9 percent in the first quarter of 2000, as unit labor costs of durable goods producers declined 6.2 percent and those of nondurable goods producers rose at a 2.2 percent annual rate.

Fourth-quarter and annual measures for nonfinancial corporations

Fourth-quarter and annual 1999 measures of productivity and costs also were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector (tables B, C, and 6). Output per all-employee hour rose 5.1 percent from the third to the fourth quarter of 1999, as output increased 7.5 percent and employee hours rose 2.3 percent. In the third quarter, productivity had risen 4.0 percent, as output rose 6.6 percent and hours of all employees increased 2.4 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). The sector includes all corporations doing business in the United States, except those classified as depository institutions, nondepository institutions, security and commodity brokers, insurance carriers, regulated investment offices, small business investment offices, and real estate investment trusts.

Hourly compensation increased 3.5 percent in the fourth quarter, and real hourly compensation rose 0.7 percent. Unit labor costs fell 1.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 1999, the first decline since the third quarter of 1997, when they also fell 1.5 percent. Total unit costs declined 0.3 percent during the fourth quarter, after having increased 1.3 percent during the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, unit profits rose 10.7 percent. Unit profits fell 9.6 percent during the third quarter of 1999. The implicit price deflator for nonfinancial corporate output rose 0.9 percent during the fourth quarter of 1999.

Productivity grew 4.0 percent in 1999 for nonfinancial corporations, the same as the previous year (table C). Nonfinancial corporate output grew slower in 1999, 5.9 percent, than it had in 1998, when it grew 6.7 percent. Hours of employees in nonfinancial corporations rose 1.7 percent during 1999, compared with a 2.6 percent rise one year earlier.

Hourly compensation grew 4.9 percent in 1999, less than the 5.4 percent increase in 1998. Real hourly compensation increased 2.8 percent in 1999, compared with a 4.0 percent rise one year earlier.

Total unit costs rose 0.8 percent in 1999, reflecting an increase of 0.8 percent in unit labor costs and a 0.6 percent rise in unit nonlabor costs. Unit profits fell 1.3 percent in 1999; in 1998, they had fallen 4.0 percent.

REVISED MEASURES

Current and previous measures for the fourth quarter of 1999 for the business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing sectors are compared in table D. Some of the quarterly movements differ from those reported on March 7, based on information then available. Output and productivity were revised up, and unit labor costs correspondingly revised down, in all three sectors.

The revisions of productivity and cost measures to reflect the most recent revision of the national income and product accounts have been extended back to 1947 for the business and nonfarm business sectors and to 1958 for nonfinancial corporations. In addition, revised NIPA estimates beginning with 1959 incorporate several corrections. Based on these revisions, the long-term rate of growth in output per hour in the nonfarm business sector, 1947-1999, was 2.2 percent a year. Tables 1-6 show revised data in all sectors for 1998-1999. Appendix tables 1-3 show annual indexes of productivity and costs for the business, nonfarm business, and nonfinancial corporate sectors for all years since the inception of the series.

Productivity and cost measures were revised to reflect the results of the 1998 Hours at Work Survey, which are now available. This survey is used to adjust the number of hours for which private nonfarm employees are paid (as reported in the BLS Current Establishment Statistics program) to hours at the workplace. For 1998, these results show that hours of all persons in the nonfarm business sector rose at the same rate as had previously been reported. Hours of all persons in manufacturing fell 0.4 percent in 1998; previously, they had been reported as increasing 0.1 percent.

The Consumer Price Index Research Series has been updated. This affected indexes of real hourly compensation for all years.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release May 4, 2000.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate output per hour from compensation per unit

Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierApr 4, 2000Publication referenceMay 4, 200030 days laterJun 3, 2000
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®8.23%Observed 8.13%Observed −10 bps vs. earlier reference8.54%Observed +41 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Feb 4, 2000 – Aug 4, 2000
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around May 4, 2000Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.8.00%8.50%9.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 8.25% · Feb 4, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.36% · Feb 11, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.38% · Feb 18, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.31% · Feb 25, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.27% · Mar 3, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.23% · Mar 10, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.24% · Mar 17, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.23% · Mar 24, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.23% · Mar 31, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.20% · Apr 7, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.12% · Apr 14, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.16% · Apr 21, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.13% · Apr 28, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.28% · May 5, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.52% · May 12, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.64% · May 19, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.62% · May 26, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.54% · Jun 2, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.32% · Jun 9, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.22% · Jun 16, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.14% · Jun 23, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.22% · Jun 30, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.16% · Jul 7, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.09% · Jul 14, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.21% · Jul 21, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.13% · Jul 28, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.12% · Aug 4, 2000Feb 4, 2000May 4, 2000Aug 4, 2000
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$2,228.54/month

8.13% · Apr 28, 2000

At the later reference$2,315.25/month

8.54% · Jun 2, 2000

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $86.71 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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