Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2023 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.7 percent in August and 0.6 percent in July. (See table…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.7 percent in August and 0.6 percent in July. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand advanced 2.2 percent for the 12 months ended in September, the largest increase since moving up 2.3 percent for the 12 months ended in April.

Leading the increase in the final demand index in September, prices for final demand goods rose 0.9 percent. The index for final demand services advanced 0.3 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services increased 0.2 percent in September, the fourth consecutive advance. For the 12 months ended in September, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 2.8 percent.

Final Demand

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods moved up 0.9 percent in September, the third consecutive increase. Nearly three-quarters of the broad-based September advance is attributable to a 3.3-percent rise in prices for final demand energy. The indexes for final demand foods and for final demand goods less foods and energy moved up 0.9 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Over 40 percent of the September increase in prices for final demand goods can be traced to a 5.4-percent rise in the index for gasoline. Prices for jet fuel, processed young chickens, meats, electric power, and diesel fuel also advanced. In contrast, the index for fresh and dry vegetables declined 13.9 percent. Prices for wood pulp and for utility natural gas also fell. (See table 2.)

Final demand services: The index for final demand services advanced 0.3 percent in September following a 0.2-percent rise in August. Over 60 percent of the September increase is attributable to prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing, which climbed 0.3 percent. The index for final demand trade services moved up 0.5 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Conversely, prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services declined 0.4 percent.

Product detail: A 13.9-percent jump in the index for deposit services (partial) was a major factor in the September rise in prices for final demand services. The indexes for machinery, equipment, parts, and supplies wholesaling; health, beauty, and optical goods retailing; traveler accommodation services; outpatient care (partial); and application software publishing also moved higher. In contrast, prices for airline passenger services fell 2.1 percent. The indexes for automobile retailing (partial) and for bundled wired telecommunications access services also decreased.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in September, prices for processed goods advanced 0.5 percent, the index for unprocessed goods rose 4.0 percent, and prices for services moved up 0.3 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand increased 0.5 percent in September after rising 2.2 percent in August. Most of the September advance is attributable to prices for processed energy goods, which jumped 2.4 percent. The index for processed foods and feeds moved up 1.1 percent, while prices for processed materials less foods and energy were unchanged. For the 12 months ended in September, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand fell 3.7 percent.

Product detail: A major factor in the September increase in prices for processed goods for intermediate demand was the index for diesel fuel, which advanced 2.5 percent. Prices for gasoline, jet fuel, liquefied petroleum gas, processed young chickens, and fatty acids also moved higher. Conversely, the index for steel mill products decreased 3.7 percent. Prices for natural gas to electric utilities and for soybean cake and meal also declined.

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand rose 4.0 percent in September, the third consecutive increase. Over 70 percent of the September advance can be traced to a 7.5-percent jump in prices for unprocessed energy materials. The index for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs moved up 3.5 percent. In contrast, prices for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy fell 0.8 percent. For the 12 months ended in September, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand decreased 21.0 percent.

Product detail: Seventy percent of the September rise in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand can be attributed to the index for crude petroleum, which increased 10.1 percent. Prices for raw milk; slaughter chickens; hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds; slaughter cattle; and recyclable paper also advanced. Conversely, the index for nonferrous scrap fell 0.8 percent. Prices for corn and for wheat also declined.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand increased 0.3 percent in September after no change in August. Nearly 60 percent of the broad-based September advance is attributable to prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand, which rose 0.3 percent. The indexes for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand and for trade services for intermediate demand moved up 0.7 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in September, prices for services for intermediate demand increased 4.1 percent.

Product detail: A 4.0-percent rise in the index for gross rents of retail properties was a major factor in the September advance in prices for services for intermediate demand. The indexes for deposit services (partial); machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; arrangement of freight and cargo transportation; investment banking; and hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing also rose. In contrast, prices for loan services (partial) decreased 2.0 percent. The indexes for metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling and for airline passenger services also fell.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 4 intermediate demand increased 0.4 percent in September, the third consecutive rise. In September, the index for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand advanced 0.5 percent, and prices for total goods inputs moved up 0.3 percent. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for gross rents of retail properties, deposit services (partial), machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, gasoline, investment banking, and for commercial and industrial machinery and equipment repair and maintenance outweighed declines in the indexes for loan services (partial); grains; and metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling. For the 12 months ended in September, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand rose 2.4 percent.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: The index for stage 3 intermediate demand advanced 0.9 percent in September after moving up 1.1 percent in August. In September, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand rose 1.6 percent, and the index for total services inputs increased 0.3 percent. Higher prices for raw milk, slaughter chickens, jet fuel, deposit services (partial), diesel fuel, and arrangement of freight and cargo transportation outweighed declines in the indexes for grains, loan services (partial), and television advertising time sales. For the 12 months ended in September, prices for stage 3 intermediate demand fell 3.2 percent.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand rose 1.5 percent in September, the third consecutive increase. In September, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand jumped 3.4 percent, and the index for total services inputs edged up 0.1 percent. Advances in the indexes for crude petroleum, deposit services (partial), gas fuels, oilseeds, arrangement of freight and cargo transportation, and machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling outweighed decreases in prices for loan services (partial), broadcast and network television advertising time sales, and wood pulp. For the 12 months ended in September, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand declined 6.9 percent.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: The index for stage 1 intermediate demand moved up 0.4 percent in September after advancing 1.4 percent in August. In September, the index for total services inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand rose 0.4 percent, and prices for total goods inputs climbed 0.3 percent. Increases in the indexes for gross rents of retail properties; diesel fuel; hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing; gasoline; investment banking; and traveler accommodation services outweighed decreases in the indexes for grains; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; and airline passenger services. For the 12 months ended in September, prices for stage 1 intermediate demand fell 1.0 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 11, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 11, 2023Publication referenceOct 11, 202330 days laterNov 10, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®7.12%Observed 7.49%Observed +37 bps vs. earlier reference7.50%Observed +1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.29%Observed 4.58%Observed +29 bps vs. earlier reference4.61%Observed +3 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 11, 2023 – Jan 11, 2024
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 11, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%5.75%8.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Jul 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jul 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.90% · Aug 3, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Aug 10, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.09% · Aug 17, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.23% · Aug 24, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Aug 31, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.12% · Sep 7, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Sep 14, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.19% · Sep 21, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.31% · Sep 28, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.49% · Oct 5, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.57% · Oct 12, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.63% · Oct 19, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.79% · Oct 26, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.76% · Nov 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.50% · Nov 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.44% · Nov 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.29% · Nov 22, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.22% · Nov 30, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.03% · Dec 7, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.95% · Dec 14, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Dec 21, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.61% · Dec 28, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.62% · Jan 4, 202430-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Jan 11, 202410-year Treasury: 3.99% · Jul 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.76% · Jul 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jul 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jul 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jul 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jul 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jul 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jul 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.91% · Jul 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.96% · Jul 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Jul 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Aug 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.02% · Aug 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.00% · Aug 9, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.16% · Aug 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.21% · Aug 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.28% · Aug 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Aug 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 23, 202310-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Aug 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Aug 30, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.18% · Sep 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Sep 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Sep 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Sep 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Sep 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.29% · Sep 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.33% · Sep 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.32% · Sep 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.37% · Sep 19, 202310-year Treasury: 4.35% · Sep 20, 202310-year Treasury: 4.49% · Sep 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.44% · Sep 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.55% · Sep 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.56% · Sep 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.61% · Sep 27, 202310-year Treasury: 4.59% · Sep 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.59% · Sep 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.69% · Oct 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.81% · Oct 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.73% · Oct 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.72% · Oct 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.78% · Oct 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.66% · Oct 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.58% · Oct 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.70% · Oct 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.63% · Oct 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.71% · Oct 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.83% · Oct 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.91% · Oct 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.98% · Oct 19, 202310-year Treasury: 4.93% · Oct 20, 202310-year Treasury: 4.86% · Oct 23, 202310-year Treasury: 4.83% · Oct 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.95% · Oct 25, 202310-year Treasury: 4.86% · Oct 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.84% · Oct 27, 202310-year Treasury: 4.88% · Oct 30, 202310-year Treasury: 4.88% · Oct 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.77% · Nov 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.67% · Nov 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.57% · Nov 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.67% · Nov 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.58% · Nov 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.49% · Nov 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.62% · Nov 9, 202310-year Treasury: 4.61% · Nov 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.63% · Nov 13, 202310-year Treasury: 4.44% · Nov 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.53% · Nov 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.45% · Nov 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.44% · Nov 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.42% · Nov 20, 202310-year Treasury: 4.41% · Nov 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.42% · Nov 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.47% · Nov 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.39% · Nov 27, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Nov 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.27% · Nov 29, 202310-year Treasury: 4.37% · Nov 30, 202310-year Treasury: 4.22% · Dec 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.28% · Dec 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.18% · Dec 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.12% · Dec 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.14% · Dec 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.23% · Dec 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.23% · Dec 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Dec 12, 202310-year Treasury: 4.04% · Dec 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Dec 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.91% · Dec 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Dec 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Dec 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Dec 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.89% · Dec 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.90% · Dec 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.89% · Dec 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Dec 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Dec 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Jan 2, 202410-year Treasury: 3.91% · Jan 3, 202410-year Treasury: 3.99% · Jan 4, 202410-year Treasury: 4.05% · Jan 5, 202410-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jan 8, 202410-year Treasury: 4.02% · Jan 9, 202410-year Treasury: 4.04% · Jan 10, 202410-year Treasury: 3.98% · Jan 11, 2024Jul 11, 2023Oct 11, 2023Jan 11, 2024
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury128 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$2,095.59/month

7.49% · Oct 5, 2023

At the later reference$2,097.64/month

7.50% · Nov 9, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $2.05 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →