Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

August 2018 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand declined 0.1 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices were unchanged in July and increased 0.3 percent in June. (See table…

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The Producer Price Index for final demand declined 0.1 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices were unchanged in July and increased 0.3 percent in June. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 2.8 percent for the 12 months ended in August.

In August, the decline in the final demand index can be attributed to a 0.1-percent decrease in prices for final demand services. The index for final demand goods was unchanged.

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services edged up 0.1 percent in August after advancing 0.3 percent in both July and June. For the 12 months ended in August, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 2.9 percent.

Final demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services inched down 0.1 percent in August, the same as in July. The August decrease was led by a 0.9-percent decline in the index for final demand trade services. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services fell 0.6 percent. In contrast, the index for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing rose 0.3 percent.

Product detail: In August, over 80 percent of the decrease in prices for final demand services can be traced to margins for machinery and equipment wholesaling, which fell 1.7 percent. The indexes for health, beauty, and optical goods retailing; application software publishing; airline passenger services; and hospital outpatient care also moved lower. Conversely, prices for loan services (partial) jumped 3.0 percent. The indexes for food retailing, bundled wired telecommunication access services, and physician care also rose. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods was unchanged in August after increasing in each of the prior three months. In August, a 0.4-percent advance in prices for final demand energy offset a 0.6-percent decline in the index for final demand foods. Prices for final demand goods less foods and energy were unchanged.

Product detail: In August, the index for residential electric power moved up 0.6 percent. Prices for fresh and dry vegetables, corn, gasoline, and passenger cars also increased. In contrast, the index for fresh fruits and melons dropped 11.3 percent. Prices for diesel fuel, meats, eggs for fresh use, and iron and steel scrap also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in August, prices for processed goods were unchanged, the index for unprocessed goods fell 5.8 percent, and prices for services edged up 0.1 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand was unchanged in August, the same as in July. In August, a 0.2-percent rise in prices for processed materials less foods and energy offset declines of 0.8 percent for processed foods and feeds and 0.3 percent for processed energy goods. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand climbed 6.3 percent.

Product detail: In August, prices for steel mill products increased 2.6 percent. The indexes for industrial electric power, industrial chemicals, commercial electric power, and jet fuel also moved higher. Conversely, meat prices decreased 1.7 percent. The indexes for diesel fuel, lumber, primary nonferrous metals, and natural cheese (except cottage cheese) also declined. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 5.8 percent in August, the largest decrease since dropping 9.7 percent in January 2015. In August, 60 percent of the broad-based decline is attributable to prices for unprocessed energy materials, which moved down 7.9 percent. The indexes for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs and for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy fell 5.2 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in August, prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand advanced 2.9 percent.

Product detail: Over half of the August decrease in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand can be traced to prices for crude petroleum, which dropped 13.4 percent. The indexes for slaughter poultry, slaughter barrows and gilts, raw milk, iron and steel scrap, and grapes also moved lower. In contrast, corn prices rose 11.7 percent. The indexes for hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds and for wastepaper also increased.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand edged up 0.1 percent in August after climbing 0.2 percent in July. The August increase was the result of a 0.5- percent advance in the index for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand. Conversely, margins for trade services for intermediate demand fell 1.1 percent, and prices for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand inched down 0.1 percent. For the 12 months ended in August, prices for services for intermediate demand rose 2.9 percent.

Product detail: Most of the August increase in the index for services for intermediate demand can be traced to prices for gross rents for retail properties, which advanced 5.5 percent. The indexes for loan services (partial), portfolio management, financial auditing, and chemicals and allied products wholesaling also increased. In contrast, margins for metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling declined 10.5 percent. The indexes for tax preparation and planning; hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing; and airline passenger services also decreased.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 4 intermediate demand were unchanged in August following a 0.1-percent decline in July. In August, the index for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand rose 0.2 percent. Conversely, prices for total goods inputs edged down 0.1 percent. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for gross rents for retail properties, loan services (partial), portfolio management, chemicals and allied products wholesaling, and corn were offset by declines in the indexes for diesel fuel; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; grapes; lumber; and hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing. (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in August, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand climbed 3.5 percent.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: The index for stage 3 intermediate demand declined 0.8 percent in August, the largest decrease since falling 0.8 percent in February 2016. In August, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand moved down 1.5 percent. In contrast, the index for total services inputs edged up 0.1 percent. Declines in the indexes for slaughter poultry; slaughter barrows and gilts; raw milk; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; diesel fuel; and tax preparation and planning outweighed increases in prices for gross rents for retail properties, steel mill products, and jet fuel. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand increased 4.3 percent.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand fell 1.2 percent in August, the largest decline since a 1.2-percent decrease in March. In August, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand moved down 2.8 percent. Conversely, the index for total services inputs inched up 0.1 percent. Declines in the indexes for crude petroleum; natural gas; tax preparation and planning; lumber; hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing; and airline passenger services outweighed advances in prices for financial auditing; hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds; and corn. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand rose 5.4 percent.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand declined 0.5 percent in August, the first decrease since falling 0.6 percent in August 2016. In August 2018, the index for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand dropped 0.8 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved down 0.2 percent. Declines in the indexes for diesel fuel; metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; iron and steel scrap; nonferrous scrap; crude petroleum; and airline passenger services outweighed higher prices for wastepaper, corn, and loan services (partial). For the 12 months ended in August, the index for stage 1 intermediate demand increased 5.9 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Sep 12, 2018.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierAug 13, 2018Publication referenceSep 12, 201830 days laterOct 12, 2018
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.59%Observed 4.54%Observed −5 bps vs. earlier reference4.90%Observed +36 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.88%Observed 2.97%Observed +9 bps vs. earlier reference3.15%Observed +18 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jun 12, 2018 – Dec 12, 2018
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Sep 12, 2018Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.50%3.75%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.62% · Jun 14, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.57% · Jun 21, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · Jun 28, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 5, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Jul 12, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 19, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Jul 26, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.60% · Aug 2, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.59% · Aug 9, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Aug 16, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Aug 23, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Aug 30, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Sep 6, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.60% · Sep 13, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.65% · Sep 20, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.72% · Sep 27, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.71% · Oct 4, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.90% · Oct 11, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.85% · Oct 18, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.86% · Oct 25, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.83% · Nov 1, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Nov 8, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Nov 15, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.81% · Nov 21, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.81% · Nov 29, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.75% · Dec 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jun 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jun 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jun 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jun 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jun 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jun 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Jul 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jul 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jul 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Jul 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jul 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 31, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Aug 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Aug 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Aug 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Aug 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Aug 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Aug 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Aug 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Sep 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Sep 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Sep 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Sep 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Sep 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Sep 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · Sep 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · Sep 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.99% · Sep 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.99% · Sep 17, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Sep 18, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Sep 19, 201810-year Treasury: 3.07% · Sep 20, 201810-year Treasury: 3.07% · Sep 21, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Sep 24, 201810-year Treasury: 3.10% · Sep 25, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Sep 26, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Sep 27, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Sep 28, 201810-year Treasury: 3.09% · Oct 1, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Oct 2, 201810-year Treasury: 3.15% · Oct 3, 201810-year Treasury: 3.19% · Oct 4, 201810-year Treasury: 3.23% · Oct 5, 201810-year Treasury: 3.21% · Oct 9, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Oct 10, 201810-year Treasury: 3.14% · Oct 11, 201810-year Treasury: 3.15% · Oct 12, 201810-year Treasury: 3.16% · Oct 15, 201810-year Treasury: 3.16% · Oct 16, 201810-year Treasury: 3.19% · Oct 17, 201810-year Treasury: 3.17% · Oct 18, 201810-year Treasury: 3.20% · Oct 19, 201810-year Treasury: 3.20% · Oct 22, 201810-year Treasury: 3.17% · Oct 23, 201810-year Treasury: 3.10% · Oct 24, 201810-year Treasury: 3.14% · Oct 25, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Oct 26, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Oct 29, 201810-year Treasury: 3.12% · Oct 30, 201810-year Treasury: 3.15% · Oct 31, 201810-year Treasury: 3.14% · Nov 1, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Nov 2, 201810-year Treasury: 3.20% · Nov 5, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Nov 6, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Nov 7, 201810-year Treasury: 3.24% · Nov 8, 201810-year Treasury: 3.19% · Nov 9, 201810-year Treasury: 3.14% · Nov 13, 201810-year Treasury: 3.12% · Nov 14, 201810-year Treasury: 3.11% · Nov 15, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Nov 16, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 19, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 20, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 21, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Nov 23, 201810-year Treasury: 3.07% · Nov 26, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 27, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 28, 201810-year Treasury: 3.03% · Nov 29, 201810-year Treasury: 3.01% · Nov 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Dec 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Dec 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Dec 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Dec 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Dec 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Dec 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Dec 12, 2018Jun 12, 2018Sep 12, 2018Dec 12, 2018
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,527.19/month

4.54% · Sep 6, 2018

At the later reference$1,592.18/month

4.90% · Oct 11, 2018

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $64.99 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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