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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

March 2013 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for finished goods decreased 0.6 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Finished goods prices rose 0.7 percent in February and 0.2 percent in January. At the…

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The Producer Price Index for finished goods decreased 0.6 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Finished goods prices rose 0.7 percent in February and 0.2 percent in January. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods fell 0.9 percent in March, and the crude goods index declined 2.5 percent. On an unadjusted basis, prices for finished goods increased 1.1 percent for the 12 months ended March 2013, the smallest year-over-year advance since a 0.5- percent rise in July 2012. (See table A.)

Stage-of-Processing Analysis

Finished goods

In March, the decline in the finished goods index is attributable to prices for finished energy goods, which dropped 3.4 percent. By contrast, the indexes for finished consumer foods and for finished goods less foods and energy moved up 0.8 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively.

Finished energy: Prices for finished energy goods fell 3.4 percent in March, the largest decline since a 3.5-percent decrease in February 2010. A 6.8-percent drop in the gasoline index accounted for more than eighty percent of the March decline. Lower prices for diesel fuel and home heating oil also were factors in the decrease in the finished energy goods index. (See table 2.)

Finished foods: Prices for finished consumer foods moved up 0.8 percent in March, the largest advance since a 1.1-percent rise in November 2012. Accounting for nearly ninety percent of the March increase, the index for fresh and dry vegetables surged 21.5 percent. Higher prices for strawberries also contributed to the rise in the finished consumer foods index.

Finished core: In March, the index for finished goods less foods and energy moved up 0.2 percent for the third consecutive month. Almost one-quarter of the March advance can be traced to prices for civilian aircraft, which rose 0.7 percent.

Intermediate goods

The Producer Price Index for intermediate materials, supplies, and components fell 0.9 percent in March, the largest decrease since a 1.1-percent drop in October 2011. The March decline is attributable to lower prices for intermediate energy goods, which fell 4.7 percent. By contrast, the indexes for intermediate goods less foods and energy and for intermediate foods and feeds advanced 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. (See table B.)

Intermediate energy: The index for intermediate energy goods fell 4.7 percent in March, the largest decrease since a 5.6-percent drop in March 2009. Over forty percent of the March 2013 decline can be traced to prices for diesel fuel, which moved down 12.8 percent. Decreases in the indexes for gasoline and jet fuel also contributed to lower prices for intermediate energy goods. (See table 2.)

Intermediate core: The index for intermediate goods less foods and energy moved up 0.2 percent in March, the fourth straight increase. About half of the March rise can be attributed to a 2.6-percent advance in prices for plastic resins and materials. An increase in the index for plastic products also contributed to higher intermediate core prices.

Intermediate foods: Prices for intermediate foods and feeds rose 0.1 percent in March after no change in February. In March, a 0.6-percent increase in the index for prepared animal feeds led the advance in intermediate foods and feeds prices.

Crude goods

The Producer Price Index for crude materials for further processing moved down 2.5 percent in March. For the 3 months ended in March, prices for crude goods declined 2.1 percent compared with a 1.9-percent increase for the 3 months ended in December. The monthly decrease in March was the result of an 8.5-percent decline in the index for crude energy materials. By contrast, the indexes for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs and for crude nonfood materials less energy rose 1.9 percent and 0.9 percent, respectively. (See table B.)

Crude energy: Prices for crude energy materials fell 8.5 percent in March. From December to March, the index for crude energy materials declined 4.4 percent subsequent to a 1.7-percent rise from September to December. In March, the over-the-month decline can be mostly traced to a 14.1-percent drop in the index for crude petroleum. Lower prices for coal also contributed to the decrease in prices for crude energy materials. (See table 2.)

Crude foods: Prices for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs advanced 1.9 percent in March. From December to March, the crude foods index declined 0.6 percent subsequent to a 3.0-percent rise from September to December. Nearly forty percent of the monthly increase in March can be attributed to higher prices for slaughter chickens, which rose 6.7 percent. An increase in the index for slaughter cattle also contributed to higher prices for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs.

Crude core: The index for crude nonfood materials less energy rose 0.9 percent in March. For the 3 months ended in March, the index for crude nonfood materials less energy declined 1.1 percent compared with a 1.3-percent advance for the 3 months ended in December. The monthly advance in March was led by prices for carbon steel scrap, which climbed 7.1 percent. Higher prices for corn also were a factor in the rise in the crude core index.

Services Analysis

Trade industries: The Producer Price Index for the net output of total trade industries climbed 1.5 percent in March, the largest increase since a 1.6-percent jump in August 2011. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) One-fourth of the March advance can be traced to margins received by merchant wholesalers of nondurable goods, which rose 1.8 percent. Higher margins received by clothing stores and discount department stores also contributed to the increase in the total trade industries index.

Transportation and warehousing industries: The Producer Price Index for the net output of transportation and warehousing industries moved up 0.7 percent in March after no change in February. Over eighty percent of the rise is attributable to a 2.8-percent jump in prices received by the industry for scheduled passenger air transportation. Higher prices received by the industry groups for truck transportation and for couriers and messengers also were factors in the advance in the transportation and warehousing industries index.

Services less trade, transportation, and warehousing: The Producer Price Index for the net output of services less trade, transportation, and warehousing fell 0.3 percent in March following two straight increases. Leading this decline, prices received by the industry group for depository credit intermediation decreased 2.6 percent. Lower prices received by wireless telecommunications carriers and offices of physicians also contributed to the decline in the index for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Apr 12, 2013.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 13, 2013Publication referenceApr 12, 201330 days laterMay 12, 2013
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.52%Observed 3.43%Observed −9 bps vs. earlier reference3.42%Observed −1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 12, 2013 – Jul 12, 2013
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 12, 2013Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%4.00%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.38% · Jan 17, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Jan 24, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.53% · Jan 31, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.53% · Feb 7, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.53% · Feb 14, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Feb 21, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.51% · Feb 28, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.52% · Mar 7, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.63% · Mar 14, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Mar 21, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Mar 28, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Apr 4, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Apr 11, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.41% · Apr 18, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.40% · Apr 25, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.35% · May 2, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · May 9, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.51% · May 16, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · May 23, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · May 30, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Jun 6, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Jun 13, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Jun 20, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.46% · Jun 27, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.29% · Jul 3, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Jul 11, 2013Jan 12, 2013Apr 12, 2013Jul 12, 2013
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,335.44/month

3.43% · Apr 11, 2013

At the later reference$1,333.77/month

3.42% · May 9, 2013

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.67 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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