Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2016 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

Prices for U.S. imports advanced 0.1 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.6-percent rise the previous month. In July, increasing nonfuel prices more than offset a downturn in fuel prices.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Prices for U.S. imports advanced 0.1 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.6-percent rise the previous month. In July, increasing nonfuel prices more than offset a downturn in fuel prices. The price index for U.S. exports rose 0.2 percent in July, after advancing 0.8 percent in June.

Imports

All Imports: U.S. import prices continued to advance in July, ticking up 0.1 percent. Prices for imports have not recorded a monthly decrease over the past 5 months and increased 3.0 percent since last declining in February. Prior to July, the increases were driven by rising fuel prices. In contrast, in July, nonfuel prices led the advance and fuel prices recorded a decrease. Despite the recent increases, import prices remain down on an over-the-year basis, falling 3.7 percent over the past 12 months. Import prices have not recorded a 12- month advance since 2 years ago when the index rose 0.9 percent between July 2013 and July 2014.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: The price index for nonfuel imports rose 0.3 percent in July following a 0.2- percent drop in June and a 0.3-percent advance in May. The 0.3-percent increases were the largest 1-month advances since the index rose 0.3 percent in March 2014. The last time the index increased more than 0.3 percent was a 0.4-percent rise in March 2012. The July advance was led by higher prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; and foods, feeds, and beverages. In contrast, import finished goods prices decreased in July. Prices for nonfuel imports declined 1.2 percent over the past year.

Fuel Imports: Fuel prices decreased 2.5 percent in July, the first monthly decline since the index fell 6.8 percent in February. Before the downturn, import fuel prices rose 47.1 percent from February to June. In July, a 3.6-percent drop in petroleum prices drove the downturn in fuel prices and more than offset a 31.4 percent increase in the price index for natural gas. Prices for import fuel decreased 22.3 percent for the year ended in July. A 23.1-percent decline in petroleum prices over the period and a 17.5-percent drop in natural gas prices each contributed to the overall fall in fuel prices.

Exports

All Exports: Prices for U.S. exports increased 0.2 percent in July, after rising 2.4 percent over the 3 previous months. In July, higher nonagricultural prices more than offset a decrease in agricultural prices. The price index for exports last recorded a 1-month decline when the index edged down 0.1 percent in March. Even accounting for the recent advances, export prices declined 3.0 percent over the past 12 months and have not increased on an over-the-year basis since the index advanced 0.4 percent in August 2014.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural prices increased 0.3 percent in July following a 0.5 percent advance the previous month. In July, rising prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials as well as consumer goods drove the overall rise. Prices for nonagricultural exports fell 3.0 percent over the past 12 months and declines for each of the major end-use categories contributed to the decrease from July 2015 to July 2016.

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports declined 0.4 percent in July, after rising 2.6 percent in June, 3.0 percent in May, and 0.8 percent in April. The downturn in July was led by an 8.5- percent decrease in corn prices; lower wheat prices also contributed to the overall decrease. Agricultural export prices fell 2.6 percent for the year ended in July, driven primarily by falling prices for nuts, wheat, and corn.

SELECTED JULY HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in July, after decreasing 0.2 percent in June. The price index for imports from China has not recorded a monthly advance since ticking up 0.1 percent in December 2014 and decreased 1.8 percent on a 12-month basis for the second consecutive month in July. Import prices from the European Union and Mexico also declined in July, falling 0.3 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. In contrast, prices for imports from Japan rose 0.2 percent in July. The last time the price index for imports from Japan recorded a monthly advance larger than 0.2 percent was a 0.3-percent increase in August 2011. Import prices from Canada rose 0.2 percent in July following a 2.7- percent advance in June.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices rose 1.6 percent in July, after a 0.2-percent drop in June. The July advance was led by higher prices for gold, other precious metals, and iron and steel mill products.

Finished Goods: Each of the major finished goods categories recorded declines in July. Automotive vehicles prices fell 0.3 percent, driven by lower passenger car prices. The price indexes for capital goods and consumer goods each edged down 0.1 percent in July. Capital goods prices last rose on a monthly basis in June 2014.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages increased 3.3 percent in July, driven by a 32.0-percent jump in import fruit prices. The July advance in foods, feeds, and beverages prices was the largest monthly advance since the index rose 3.6 percent in March 2014.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares declined 3.9 percent in July following monthly increases in each of the past 3 months. An 8.4-percent drop in European fares was the main contributor to the July downturn, while Asian fares also fell, declining 3.1 percent. Import air passenger fares decreased 8.3 percent over the past year. The price index for import air freight rose 2.5 percent in July, the largest 1- month rise for the index since a 5.0-percent advance in October 2015. Despite the July rise, import air freight prices fell 7.7 percent over the past 12 months.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials rose 0.6 percent in July, after advancing 1.8 percent in June. The July increase was led by a 6.7-percent rise in nonferrous metal prices.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices were mixed in July. Prices for consumer goods rose 0.5 percent, driven by a 1.7-percent advance in the price index for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials. The last time consumer goods prices increased by more than 0.5 percent was a 1.2-percent advance in June 2011. Capital goods prices edged down 0.1 percent in July and automotive vehicles prices recorded no change.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares rose 4.4 percent in July following a 3.4-percent advance in June. An 11.5-percent increase in Latin American/Caribbean fares and a 5.9-percent rise in Asian fares each contributed to the overall advance for export air passenger fares. Despite the recent increase, export air passenger fares fell 9.4 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for export air freight fell 0.2 percent in July and 3.2 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Price Index data for August 2016 are scheduled for release on Wednesday, September 14, 2016 at 8:30 a.m. (EDT).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 11, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 12, 2016Publication referenceAug 11, 201630 days laterSep 10, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.41%Observed 3.45%Observed +4 bps vs. earlier reference3.44%Observed −1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.53%Observed 1.57%Observed +4 bps vs. earlier reference1.67%Observed +10 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 11, 2016 – Nov 11, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 11, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.50%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · May 12, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · May 19, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · May 26, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jun 2, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Jun 9, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Jun 16, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Jun 23, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jun 30, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.41% · Jul 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Jul 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Jul 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jul 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Aug 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 25, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.46% · Sep 1, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.44% · Sep 8, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.50% · Sep 15, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Sep 22, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Sep 29, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Oct 6, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 13, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.52% · Oct 20, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 27, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Nov 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Nov 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · May 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · May 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · May 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · May 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jun 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jun 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Jun 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Jun 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Jun 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.64% · Jun 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jun 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Jun 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Jun 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jun 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.40% · Jul 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.43% · Jul 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jul 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jul 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Jul 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Aug 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Sep 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.54% · Sep 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.61% · Sep 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Sep 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Sep 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Sep 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Sep 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Sep 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.66% · Sep 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Sep 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Sep 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Sep 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Sep 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Oct 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Oct 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Oct 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Oct 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Oct 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Oct 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Oct 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.82% · Nov 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Nov 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Nov 9, 201610-year Treasury: 2.15% · Nov 10, 2016May 11, 2016Aug 11, 2016Nov 11, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury128 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,338.77/month

3.45% · Aug 11, 2016

At the later reference$1,337.11/month

3.44% · Sep 8, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.67 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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