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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2015 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices declined 0.9 percent in July, after recording no change the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Both fuel prices and nonfuel prices contributed to the July decrease. The price index for…

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U.S. import prices declined 0.9 percent in July, after recording no change the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Both fuel prices and nonfuel prices contributed to the July decrease. The price index for U.S. exports fell 0.2 percent in July following a 0.3-percent drop in June.

Imports

All Imports: Import prices fell 0.9 percent in July, the first monthly decline since the index decreased 0.2 percent in April and the largest 1-month drop since a 3.2-percent decline in January. A downturn in fuel prices in July drove much of the overall decrease, although a continued downward trend in nonfuel prices also supported the drop. The price index for overall imports decreased 10.4 percent for the year ended in July, and has not recorded a 12-month advance since the index rose 0.9 percent in July 2014.

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel declined 5.7 percent in July, after rising 16.3 percent between February and June. The July drop was led by a 5.9-percent drop in petroleum prices that followed a 1.6- percent increase the previous month. Natural gas prices also reversed direction in July, falling 2.0 percent, after recording a 2.4-percent advance in June. Fuel prices declined 42.7 percent over the past year. The price indexes for petroleum and natural gas also fell between July 2014 and July 2015, decreasing 43.4 percent and 42.8 percent, respectively.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: The price index for nonfuel imports fell 0.3 percent in July and has not recorded a monthly advance since the index ticked up 0.1 percent in July 2014. In July 2015, lower prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials, consumer goods, and capital goods all contributed to the overall decrease. Prices for nonfuel imports also declined over the past 12 months, falling 2.6 percent. The drop was the largest year-over-year decrease since the index fell 3.1 percent for the 12 months ended in October 2009. Lower prices over the past year for finished goods; nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; and foods, feeds, and beverages all contributed to the 12-month decline for nonfuel import prices in July.

Exports

All Exports: U.S. export prices fell 0.2 percent in July as decreasing nonagricultural prices more than offset an upturn in agricultural prices. The July drop followed a 0.3-percent decrease in June and a 0.5-percent increase in May. The price index for exports also declined over the past year, falling 6.1 percent, and has not recorded a 12-month increase since the index rose 0.4 percent in August 2014.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: The price index for nonagricultural exports decreased 0.4 percent in July, after declining 0.2 percent the previous month. Falling prices for each of the major finished goods categories and nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials contributed to the July decrease. Nonagricultural exports fell 5.1 percent over the past 12 months, driven by a 13.6-percent decrease in the price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials.

Agricultural Exports: Prices for agricultural exports increased 0.8 percent in July following a 1.6-percent decline in June. The July advance is the first monthly rise since the index ticked up 0.1 percent in November 2014, and the largest 1-month increase since the index rose 1.5 percent in April 2014. The July upturn was led by an 8.8-percent rise in soybean prices, a 7.0-percent advance in wheat prices, and a 10.7-percent increase in corn prices. The price index for agricultural exports fell 14.6 percent over the past year.

SELECTED JULY HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China fell 0.2 percent in July following a 0.1- percent drop the previous month. Import prices from China have not recorded a monthly increase since the index advanced 0.1 percent in December, and the index declined 1.2 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for imports from Japan declined 0.3 percent in July, after a 0.5-percent drop in June. Prices for imports from Japan fell 3.0 percent for the year ended in July. Import prices from Canada, Mexico, and the European Union also decreased in July, led by falling prices for fuel. In July, prices for imports from Canada declined 1.7 percent, import prices from Mexico decreased 0.8 percent, and the price index for imports from the European Union edged down 0.1 percent.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices declined 0.8 percent in July following a 0.4-percent decrease the previous month. Falling metals prices, which decreased 3.4 percent in July and 1.4 percent in June, drove the decline in each month.

Finished Goods: Both consumer goods prices and capital goods prices fell in July, while the price index for automotive vehicles recorded no change. Consumer goods prices declined 0.3 percent led by lower prices for household goods and medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials. Prices for capital goods decreased 0.2 percent driven by lower prices for computers, peripherals, and semiconductors.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: The price index for import foods, feeds, and beverages recorded no change in July, after decreasing 0.7 percent in June.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares fell 4.1 percent in July following an 8.9-percent increase in June and a 1.9-percent rise in May. The July downturn was led by a 6.9-percent decline in European fares and a 3.2-percent decrease in Asian fares. The index for import air passenger fares fell 2.4 percent for the year ended in July. Import air freight prices decreased 3.1 percent in July, after declining 0.8 percent in June. The July drop was led by lower Asian air freight prices and was the largest monthly decline since the index fell 3.3 percent in January 2012. Prices for import air freight decreased 5.9 percent over the past year.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices declined 1.1 percent in July following a 0.3-percent drop the previous month. The July decrease was driven by lower prices for metals, fuel, and chemicals.

Finished Goods: Each of the major finished goods categories recorded declines in July. Consumer goods prices and prices for automotive vehicles each fell 0.2 percent. The price index for capital goods edged down 0.1 percent.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares increased 3.1 percent in July, led by a 4.0-percent advance in European fares. The rise in overall export air passenger fares is the largest monthly increase since the index advanced 8.3 percent in December 2014. Despite the July rise, export air passenger fares fell 15.5 percent over the past 12 months. Export air freight prices rose 0.4 percent in July and fell 0.9 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Price Index data for August 2015 are scheduled for release on Thursday, September 10, 2015 at 8:30 a.m. (EDT).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 13, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 14, 2015Publication referenceAug 13, 201530 days laterSep 12, 2015
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.04%Observed 3.94%Observed −10 bps vs. earlier reference3.90%Observed −4 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 13, 2015 – Nov 13, 2015
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 13, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · May 14, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · May 21, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · May 28, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Jun 4, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jun 11, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.00% · Jun 18, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.02% · Jun 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Jul 2, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 9, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.09% · Jul 16, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 23, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Jul 30, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Aug 6, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Aug 13, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Aug 20, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Aug 27, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Sep 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Sep 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Sep 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Sep 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Oct 1, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Oct 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Oct 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Nov 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Nov 12, 2015May 13, 2015Aug 13, 2015Nov 13, 2015
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,421.89/month

3.94% · Aug 13, 2015

At the later reference$1,415.00/month

3.90% · Sep 10, 2015

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $6.88 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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