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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2009 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index edged down 0.2 percent in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, as declining nonpetroleum prices more than offset an upturn in petroleum prices. Export…

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- FEBRUARY 2009 -

The U.S. Import Price Index edged down 0.2 percent in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, as declining nonpetroleum prices more than offset an upturn in petroleum prices. Export prices also recorded a modest decrease in February, falling 0.1 percent.

Import Goods

Import prices fell 0.2 percent in February after declining 1.2 percent in January. The index decreased every month since July 2008 and fell 12.8 percent for the year ended in February, the largest 12-month decline since the index was first published in 1982. The February decrease was led by a 0.6 percent drop in nonpetroleum prices which fell for the seventh consecutive month. Nonpetroleum import prices declined 1.9 percent over the past year. In contrast, petroleum prices advanced 3.9 percent in February after falling 68.9 percent from July through January. The price index for import petroleum fell 52.4 percent for the February 2008-2009 period.

The continued decline in nonpetroleum prices was led by a 2.0 percent drop in nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices. That decrease was driven by a sharp fall in natural gas prices, although lower prices for chemicals and some metals also contributed to the decline. The price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials fell 4.5 percent in January and has not recorded an increase since July 2008. Lower prices for foods, feeds, and beverages and capital goods also contributed to the drop in nonpetroleum prices in February, decreasing 3.2 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively.

In contrast, prices for automotive vehicles rose for the second consecutive month, increasing 0.2 percent in February following a 0.3 percent advance in January.

The price index for consumer goods was unchanged in February as price declines for jewelry and diamonds were offset by price increases for nonmanufactured consumer goods. Consumer goods prices also recorded no change in January.

Export Goods

Export prices edged down 0.1 percent in February as a 1.7 percent drop in agricultural prices more than offset a 0.1 percent increase in nonagricultural prices. The drop in export prices followed a 0.5 percent increase in January; however, the index declined in each of the previous five months and decreased 4.5 percent for the year ended in February. Agricultural prices fell for the fourth time in the past five months in February after rising 6.2 percent in January. The February decrease was led by lower prices for corn, wheat, and soybeans, all of which turned down after rising in January. Agricultural export prices fell 15.2 percent over the past year, the largest annual decrease since the index was first published in 1985.

Nonagricultural prices ticked up 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month in February, the first monthly advances for the index since July 2008. Despite the modest upturn, the index declined 3.3 percent for the February 2008-2009 period. The February increase was driven by a 0.3 percent rise in capital goods prices that was led in turn by higher semiconductor prices. The February increase in capital goods prices followed a 0.5 percent advance the previous month.

In contrast, the price indexes for consumer goods, automotive vehicles, and nonagricultural supplies and materials all declined in February. Consumer goods prices and prices for automotive vehicles each decreased 0.3 percent. The 0.3 percent drop in automotive vehicles prices was the largest one-month drop since the index was first published monthly in December 1988. Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices fell 0.1 percent in February, the seventh consecutive month the index was down.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices for imports from China fell 0.5 percent in February after decreasing in each of the previous five months. Despite the recent downward trend, import prices from China rose 1.0 percent for the year ended in February.

Import prices from Canada and from Mexico also continued to decline in February, falling 1.6 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively. Prices for imports from Canada fell for the seventh consecutive month, and decreased 14.4 percent over the past year, the largest annual decline since January 2002. The price index for imports from Mexico fell 8.6 percent for the February 2008-2009 period.

In contrast, prices for imports from Japan rose for the fifth consecutive month in February, advancing 0.2 percent for the month. The index increased 1.9 percent over the past 12 months.

The price index for imports from the European Union was unchanged in February and declined 2.5 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Services

Import air passenger fares decreased 4.6 percent in February following a 5.6 percent drop the previous month. The February decrease was led by lower European fares which fell 5.7 percent after rising 5.3 percent in January. Despite the recent drop, the index for import air passenger fares rose 8.1 percent for the year ended in February. Export air passenger fares also decreased in February, falling 10.7 percent as lower fares from Asia, Europe, and the Latin America/Caribbean region all contributed to the overall decrease. Fares for export air passengers decreased 1.9 percent over the past 12 months.

Import air freight prices fell 1.1 percent in February, partially attributable to a 2.3 percent drop in European air freight prices. The price index for import air freight decreased 4.8 percent over the past year. Prices for export air freight declined 3.3 percent in February and 4.0 percent for the February 2008-2009 period.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 13, 2009.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 11, 2009Publication referenceMar 13, 200930 days laterApr 12, 2009
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.25%Observed 5.03%Observed −22 bps vs. earlier reference4.87%Observed −16 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 13, 2008 – Jun 13, 2009
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 13, 2009Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.50%5.25%6.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.19% · Dec 18, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Dec 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Dec 31, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.01% · Jan 8, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.96% · Jan 15, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.12% · Jan 22, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Jan 29, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.25% · Feb 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.16% · Feb 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.04% · Feb 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.07% · Feb 26, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.15% · Mar 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.03% · Mar 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Mar 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.85% · Mar 26, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Apr 2, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.87% · Apr 9, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.82% · Apr 16, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.80% · Apr 23, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Apr 30, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.84% · May 7, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.86% · May 14, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.82% · May 21, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.91% · May 28, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.29% · Jun 4, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.59% · Jun 11, 2009Dec 13, 2008Mar 13, 2009Jun 13, 2009
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,615.97/month

5.03% · Mar 12, 2009

At the later reference$1,586.71/month

4.87% · Apr 9, 2009

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $29.26 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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