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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

January 2009 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 1.1 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, following decreases in each of the previous five months. In contrast, export prices rose for the…

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- JANUARY 2009 -

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 1.1 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, following decreases in each of the previous five months. In contrast, export prices rose for the first time in six months, advancing 0.5 percent in January.

Import Goods

Import prices fell 1.1 percent in January and 23.4 percent over the past six months. For the sixth consecutive month, petroleum prices and nonpetroleum prices decreased, falling 2.4 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively, in January. However, prices for both overall imports and petroleum decreased at a smaller rate in January than in each of the previous five months since prices last rose in July. Petroleum prices fell 69.1 percent over the past six months and 55.0 percent over the past year, the largest 12- month decline since the index was first published in June 1982. Overall, import prices fell 12.5 percent for the year ended in January, the largest 12-month decline since the index was first published in September 1982. Nonpetroleum prices decreased 5.7 percent over the past six months and 0.6 percent over the past year.

The 0.8 percent January decrease in nonpetroleum prices was led by a 4.8 percent drop in the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials. Falling prices for chemicals and natural gas were the largest contributors to the decline. Nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 7.6 percent over the past year, led primarily by declining unfinished metals prices.

In contrast, prices for automotive vehicles increased in January, rising 0.2 percent after decreasing the previous two months. For the year ended in January, the index increased 0.7 percent.

The price indexes for consumer goods, capital goods, and foods, feeds, and beverages were unchanged in January. Over the past year, consumer goods prices increased 1.5 percent, capital goods prices advanced 0.9 percent, and prices for foods, feeds, and beverages rose 3.3 percent.

Export Goods

Export prices rose 0.5 percent in January after declining in each of the previous five months. The increase was driven by a 6.2 percent rise in agricultural prices as nonagricultural prices were unchanged. The rise in agricultural prices followed decreases in four of the previous five months. Higher prices for corn, soybeans, and wheat accounted for the increase in January. Despite the January increase, agricultural prices fell 9.7 percent over the past 12 months. Nonagricultural prices recorded no change in January after falling in each of the previous five months. The price index for nonagricultural exports declined 2.9 percent for the year ended in January, the largest 12-month decrease since a 2.9 percent drop for the February 2001-2002 period. Similarly, overall export prices fell 3.6 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decrease since the index fell 3.8 percent for the year ended in November 1998.

Finished goods prices also contributed to the rise in overall export prices in January. The price indexes for capital goods and automotive vehicles each advanced 0.3 percent in January. Capital goods prices and prices for automotive vehicles increased 0.9 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively, over the past year. Consumer goods prices rose 0.7 percent in January and 2.2 percent for the January 2008-2009 period.

In contrast, prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials continued to move lower in January, falling 1.2 percent. The index decreased in each of the past six months, dropping a cumulative 22.4 percent. Lower prices for chemicals, particularly organic chemicals and plastics, largely drove the January decline.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices of imports from China decreased for the fifth consecutive month, falling 0.7 percent in January after a 0.5 percent decline in December. Despite the recent decreases, import prices from China advanced 1.2 percent over the past 12 months.

Import prices from Canada fell for the sixth consecutive month, declining 0.9 percent in January following a 4.8 percent drop the previous month. Falling fuel prices continued to lead the decrease. The index fell 11.3 percent for the year ended in January, the largest 12-month decline since an identical drop for the February 2001-2002 period. The price index for imports from Mexico also decreased in January, falling 2.3 percent. The index fell 9.5 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month decline since the index was first published in December 2003.

In contrast, prices of imports from Japan and from the European Union each rose in January, increasing 0.3 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. The price index for imports from Japan increased 2.2 percent for the year ended in January, the largest 12-month advance since the index rose 2.3 percent for the July 1999-2000 period. Import prices from the European Union fell 1.8 percent over the past year.

Import and Export Services

Import air passenger fares decreased 5.6 percent in January after a 0.2 percent decline in December. The January decrease was driven by an 11.7 percent drop in Asian fares and a 19.7 percent fall in Latin American/Caribbean fares. Despite the recent decreases, the index of import air passenger fares increased 12.2 percent for the January 2008-2009 period. In contrast, export air passenger fares advanced 3.2 percent in January as a 10.5 percent increase in Asian fares and a 7.0 percent rise in Latin American/Caribbean fares more than offset a 3.4 percent fall in European fares. Export air passenger fares rose 4.9 percent over the past 12 months.

The price index for import air freight fell for the sixth consecutive month, declining 1.4 percent in January. The index decreased 2.5 percent over the past 12 months. Similarly, export air freight prices fell for the fifth consecutive month, declining 1.7 percent in January. The recent decreases notwithstanding, export air freight prices advanced 0.8 percent for the year ended in January.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 18, 2009.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 19, 2009Publication referenceFeb 18, 200930 days laterMar 20, 2009
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.96%Observed 5.16%Observed +20 bps vs. earlier reference4.98%Observed −18 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 18, 2008 – May 18, 2009
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 18, 2009Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.50%5.50%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.04% · Nov 20, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.97% · Nov 26, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.53% · Dec 4, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.47% · Dec 11, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.19% · Dec 18, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Dec 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Dec 31, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.01% · Jan 8, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.96% · Jan 15, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.12% · Jan 22, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Jan 29, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.25% · Feb 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.16% · Feb 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.04% · Feb 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.07% · Feb 26, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.15% · Mar 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.03% · Mar 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Mar 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.85% · Mar 26, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Apr 2, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.87% · Apr 9, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.82% · Apr 16, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.80% · Apr 23, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Apr 30, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.84% · May 7, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.86% · May 14, 2009Nov 18, 2008Feb 18, 2009May 18, 2009
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,639.93/month

5.16% · Feb 12, 2009

At the later reference$1,606.80/month

4.98% · Mar 19, 2009

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $33.13 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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