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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

March 2007 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 1.7 percent in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase followed a 0.1 percent rise in February and was led by an increase in petroleum prices.…

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- MARCH 2007 -

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 1.7 percent in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase followed a 0.1 percent rise in February and was led by an increase in petroleum prices. The price index for exports increased for the fifth consecutive month, advancing 0.7 percent in March.

Import Goods

The 1.7 percent rise in March was the largest increase since May 2006. The price index for petroleum increased 9.0 percent in March following a 0.6 percent rise in February, and was the largest one-month jump since April 2006. The two consecutive advances in petroleum prices followed declines in four of the previous five months. Petroleum prices increased 2.4 percent over the past year. Nonpetroleum prices increased 0.3 percent in March, following a modest 0.1 percent advance in February. The price index for nonpetroleum imports increased 2.9 percent over the past 12 months while overall import prices advanced 2.8 percent for the same period.

The March increase in nonpetroleum prices was led by a 1.3 percent advance in prices for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials. The increase in nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials was driven by higher metals and natural gas prices. The price index for unfinished metals increased 2.4 percent in March and 25.3 percent over the past 12 months.

Increases in the price indexes for consumer goods and automotive vehicles also contributed to the March rise in nonpetroleum prices, advancing 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. For the year ended in March, consumer goods prices increased 1.8 percent and automotive vehicles prices rose 1.1 percent.

In contrast, capital goods prices and prices for foods, feeds, and beverages decreased in March. The price index for capital goods ticked down 0.1 percent after falling 0.2 percent in February. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices fell 0.1 percent, the first decline since June 2006. Lower vegetables prices were primarily responsible for the decrease.

Export Goods

Export prices rose 0.7 percent for the second consecutive month, as both agricultural prices and nonagricultural prices contributed to the advance. Agricultural prices increased 2.1 percent for the month and 20.2 percent over the past year. Higher corn, vegetables, meat, and wheat prices all contributed to the increase. Nonagricultural prices rose 0.6 percent for the month and 4.2 percent for the year ended in March. Overall export prices rose 5.3 percent for the March 2006-2007 period, the largest 12-month increase since September 1995.

A 1.9 percent increase in nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices was the largest contributor to the rise in nonagricultural prices. The advance followed a 2.0 percent increase in February and was driven by higher prices for metals, fuels, and chemicals. Over the past 12 months, the index rose 11.0 percent.

Prices for each of the major finished goods areas recorded little movement for the second consecutive month. Automotive vehicles prices increased a modest 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month. Prices for capital goods and consumer goods were unchanged in March after both indexes fell 0.1 percent in February. For the year ended in March, consumer goods prices increased 2.4 percent, automotive vehicles prices increased 1.4 percent, and capital goods prices increased 0.8 percent.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices of imports from China and from Japan increased 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively, in March. The increase was the largest for China since a similar change in October 2005. However, import prices from China fell 0.6 percent over the past year, while the price index of imports from Japan declined 0.7 percent for the March 2006-2007 period.

Import prices from Canada, Mexico, and the European Union all rose in March, as higher petroleum prices contributed to the increases. The price index for imports from Canada increased 1.6 percent for the month after rising 0.8 percent in February and increased 4.1 percent for the year ended in March. Prices for imports from Mexico and from the European Union increased 1.4 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively. Import prices from Mexico advanced 4.5 percent over the past 12 months, while import prices from the European Union rose 3.0 percent for the same period.

Import and Export Services

Import air passenger fares edged up 0.1 percent in March after recording no change the previous month. Export air passenger fares rose 0.8 percent in March. Both indexes advanced over the past year; import air passenger fares 7.0 percent and export air passenger fares 7.2 percent.

Import air freight prices declined 0.1 percent in March, while export air freight prices were unchanged. Over the past 12 months, import air freight prices rose 0.8 percent and export air freight rose 3.0 percent.

Export travel and tourism prices, which are lagged one month, increased 2.4 percent in February, following a 0.4 percent increase in January. The indexes are published by the country of residence of those traveling to the United States.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Apr 12, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 13, 2007Publication referenceApr 12, 200730 days laterMay 12, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.14%Observed 6.22%Observed +8 bps vs. earlier reference6.15%Observed −7 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 12, 2007 – Jul 12, 2007
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 12, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.00%6.50%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.23% · Jan 18, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.25% · Jan 25, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Feb 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Feb 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Feb 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Feb 22, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Mar 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Mar 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Mar 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 22, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 29, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Apr 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Apr 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · May 3, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · May 10, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · May 17, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · May 24, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · May 31, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · Jun 7, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jun 14, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 28, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 12, 2007Jan 12, 2007Apr 12, 2007Jul 12, 2007
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,841.30/month

6.22% · Apr 12, 2007

At the later reference$1,827.68/month

6.15% · May 10, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $13.62 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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