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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

January 2007 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index decreased 1.2 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decline followed a 1.1 percent rise in December and was led by a 7.3 percent downturn in…

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- JANUARY 2007 -

The U.S. Import Price Index decreased 1.2 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decline followed a 1.1 percent rise in December and was led by a 7.3 percent downturn in petroleum prices. Export prices rose 0.3 percent in January, after increasing 0.7 percent the previous month.

Import Goods

Import prices fell 1.2 percent in January after increases of 1.1 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively, in December and November. A 7.3 percent decrease in petroleum prices drove the overall January drop, as petroleum prices resumed a recent downward pattern after increasing 4.6 percent in December. Nonpetroleum prices were unchanged in January after a 0.5 percent advance the previous month. Prices for nonpetroleum imports rose 1.6 percent over the 12 months ended in January.

Changes in prices for nonpetroleum imports were highlighted by a turnaround in the index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices, which declined 1.0 percent. The January decrease followed increases of 1.7 percent and 4.1 percent, respectively, in December and November. The drop in nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices was driven by a downturn in natural gas prices. In the previous two months, natural gas prices had led the advance in nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices. Capital goods prices edged down 0.1 percent, declining for the first time since a 0.1 percent decrease in April 2006.

In contrast, the price index for consumer goods rose 0.3 percent. The increase in consumer goods prices was driven by higher prices for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical preparatory materials. The price indexes for foods, feeds, and beverages and for automotive vehicles also increased in January, advancing 1.5 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. A 4.9 percent increase in vegetables prices led the January rise in foods, feeds, and beverages prices. In December, the index for foods, feeds, and beverages had increased 0.7 percent. The modest increase in prices for automotive vehicles in January followed a 0.1 percent drop in December.

Export Goods

Export prices increased 0.3 percent in January as higher prices for both agricultural and nonagricultural exports contributed to the rise. The advance in the prices for overall exports followed increases of 0.7 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively, in December and November. For the year ended in January, export prices rose 4.1 percent. The 0.7 percent increase in agricultural prices was led by higher prices for vegetables and meat, which more than offset lower prices for corn, wheat, and soybeans. Agricultural prices rose 13.5 percent over the past 12 months. Nonagricultural prices also increased in January, rising 0.3 percent.

A 0.3 percent advance in nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices led the January increase in nonagricultural prices. Metals prices continued to rise in January. However, prices for fuels and lubricants, up over the past 12 months, fell in January. For the year ended in January, nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices rose 8.4 percent.

Prices for each of the major finished goods areas also increased in January. The price index for capital goods, which makes up about 40 percent of overall exports, rose 0.2 percent for the month and 0.9 percent over the past year. Automotive vehicles prices increased 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month. Prices for automotive vehicles rose 1.5 percent for the year ended in January. The price index for consumer goods advanced 0.8 percent for the month and 2.4 percent for the January 2006-2007 period.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Import prices from Japan ticked up 0.1 percent in January, the first increase since a 0.2 percent rise in June 2006. Prices of imports from Japan decreased 0.4 percent over the past 12 months. For the second consecutive month, import prices from China recorded no change. Over the past year, prices of imports from China declined 0.8 percent.

Prices for imports from Canada and Mexico decreased in January, led by lower petroleum prices. Import prices from Canada declined 1.6 percent for the month after advances of 1.9 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively, in December and November. Prices for imports from Canada fell 2.3 percent for the January 2006-2007 period. Import prices from Mexico decreased 0.4 percent for the month. Despite the January decline, prices of imports from Mexico increased 2.0 percent over the past 12 months.

In contrast, prices of imports from the European Union rose in January, increasing 0.5 percent. Import prices from the European Union advanced 4.4 percent for the year ended in January.

Import and Export Services

Import air passenger fares fell 2.1 percent in January after increasing 3.3 percent in December. In January, the decrease was led by a 9.9 percent drop in Asian fares. Despite declines in five of the past six months, import air passenger fares increased 7.0 percent over the past 12 months. Export air passenger fares increased 3.3 percent in January, following a 0.9 percent upturn in December. The index rose 6.9 percent over the past year.

Prices for import air freight rose 0.8 percent in January following a 1.0 percent increase the previous month. Higher air freight prices from both Europe and Asia, up 2.6 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively, contributed to the increase. Import air freight prices rose 4.3 percent for the year ended in January. The price index for export air freight increased 1.5 percent in January and rose 6.0 percent over the past 12 months.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 15, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 16, 2007Publication referenceFeb 15, 200730 days laterMar 17, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.21%Observed 6.30%Observed +9 bps vs. earlier reference6.14%Observed −16 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 15, 2006 – May 15, 2007
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 15, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.00%6.25%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 16, 200630-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Nov 22, 200630-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Nov 30, 200630-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Dec 7, 200630-year fixed mortgage: 6.12% · Dec 14, 200630-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Dec 21, 200630-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Dec 28, 200630-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Jan 4, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · Jan 11, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.23% · Jan 18, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.25% · Jan 25, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Feb 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Feb 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Feb 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Feb 22, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Mar 1, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Mar 8, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Mar 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 22, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 29, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Apr 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Apr 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · May 3, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · May 10, 2007Nov 15, 2006Feb 15, 2007May 15, 2007
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,856.92/month

6.30% · Feb 15, 2007

At the later reference$1,825.74/month

6.14% · Mar 15, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $31.18 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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